While Major League Baseball enters the all-important phase of the reach for pennants or wild cards in September, a very intriguing encounter is scheduled in Citi Field between the Boston Red Sox (70-69) and the New York Mets (75-64). This game is essential for playoff standings, but it also features two teams that want to improve their situational standing. Let us get into details about the circumstances in the game and best bet from the top handicapper insights you have to learn.
Red Sox vs. Mets 9/4/24 Game Info and Odds |
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When: | Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET |
Where: | Citi Field |
Watch: | SNY, ESPN, MLB.TV |
Red Sox odds: | -118 ML |
Mets odds: | -101 ML |
Total Line: | 8 |
Red Sox (70-69) vs. Mets (75-64)
Red Sox season has not been free from the many ups and downs, particularly the more recent games, which are more on the lower side. The last five games do not bode well, as they have won only one game against the Detroit Tigers, and four games have been lost, two of those against these same Mets. The numbers against this stretch of games against Tigers and the Mets paint a further story of a team that cannot seem to manage to put any meaningful runs on the board, which could be an Achilles’ heel in the upcoming tight playoff race.
Red Sox Last 5 Games | |||
Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
Sep 3, 2024 | NYM | 2-7 | Lose |
Sep 2, 2024 | NYM | 1-4 | Lose |
Sep 1, 2024 | DET | 1-4 | Lose |
Aug 31, 2024 | DET | 1-2 | Lose |
Aug 30, 2024 | DET | 7-5 | Win |
On the other hand, the New York Mets have been on the rise, winning their last six games and enjoying an excellent home form, recently beating the White Sox and the Red Sox. This winning streak has helped improve their position and confidence, as the team has been great at preventing runs from the opposition, enabling them to continue being dominant on home soil at Citi Field.
Mets Last 5 Games | |||
Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
Sep 3, 2024 | BOS | 7-2 | Win |
Sep 2, 2024 | BOS | 4-1 | Win |
Sep 1, 2024 | CHW | 2-0 | Win |
Aug 31, 2024 | CHW | 5-3 | Win |
Aug 30, 2024 | CHW | 5-1 | Win |
Tanner Houck (8-9, 3.12 ERA) vs. Tylor Megill (3-5, 4.82 ERA)
Bringing a 3.12 ERA and 1.17 WHIP this season, Tanner Houck of the Boston Red Sox is a hound’s game while on the mound, specifically pitching 164.2 innings. His strikeout numbers (143 Ks) and the fact that he gave up a small amount of moon shots (10 HRs allowed) can be important in keeping the Mets in check. If Houck does not crack up on that day, then perhaps he is the one element that can be responsible for the Mets’ offensive barrage.
Overall, Tylor Megill’s season has even been on the downside, with a higher ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.39 within this long season. Regardless of these statistics, Megill has good prospects regarding staying in strikeouts (61 Ks for 52.1 innings pitcher), but the big task would be to contain the Red Sox batters. While the Mets’ recent streak could work in his favor, he could also provide an essential respite for the Red Sox.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+139), Total Odds: 8
The betting odds suggest a close encounter with the Red Sox slightly favored on the spread, but the game’s total is set at 8, indicating expectations of moderate scoring influenced by recent under trends from both teams.
Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston’s recent betting trends aren’t encouraging for their supporters. Their struggle to clinch games, especially against teams with robust records, has been apparent. The total going UNDER in 6 of their last 8 games speaks to their challenges in generating offense during critical moments.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been reliable, particularly in sustaining winning streaks. Their betting trends show a strong affinity for maintaining form, especially at home, and the UNDER outcomes in recent matchups suggest their games tend to be low-scoring due to strong pitching performances.
Red Sox vs. Mets 9/4/24 Betting Picks
The statistics and the tendencies tend to support the strategy that the Mets should be chosen, particularly their recent wave of success and the Red Sox’s slump on the road. The starting pitching matchup appears to tilt toward Boston regarding individual quality. Still, it is the Mets who have the edge when considering the teams and their recent performance.
As per the figures, the UNDER on runs total looks decent because of the tendencies of both teams to underperform in scoring, especially during games played in Citi Field. In addition, the park factor favored the Mets, and the Red Sox’s unreliable progression would justify a bet on the Mets’ moneyline. Some players would also be seeking additional value, so they would be betting on props focusing on player performances – strikeouts or innings pitched may prove beneficial. Ensure you also keep updated for more free baseball predictions and betting advice.