Free MLB Picks For Today, Saturday 8/31/2024
St Louis Cardinals vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Cardinals at Yankees—Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson has 25 starts in the year carrying an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander strikes out 21.4% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 46.1% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Will Warren is the starter for NY. Warren in four starts an ERA of 9.68 with WHIP of 1.81. The righty is fanning 27.1% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls are 31.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. His FIP of 3.95 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Gibson in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.91 with WHIP of 1.54. He is struggling with the home run ball. The Cardinals in their past ten games are hitting .261. Play St Louis and NY over 9.5.
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Cubs at Nationals—Javier Assad will start for Chicago. Assad in 24 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander fans 19.7% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 43% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.49 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. DJ Herz to start for Washington. Herz has 14 starts with an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander fans 29.1% with 8.4% walks. Grounders are 37.4% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Assad in his past four road games allowed 10 earned runs with five homers in 20 innings. Herz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts. As this series opened the Nationals had gone under in 10 of 12. In their past ten games the Nationals have a bullpen ERA of 2.76. Play Chicago and Washington under 9.
San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Padres at Rays—Randy Vasquez is the starter for San Diego. Vasquez has 18 starts on the campaign, puts up an ERA of 4.52 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander strikes out 14.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 38.6% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Shane Baz to start for Tampa Bay. Baz has eight starts with an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.32. The righty is fanning 19.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.2% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Vazquez had allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of nine starts. Baz in his past three home starts allowed eight earned runs in 17 1/3rd innings giving up four homers. The Rays have lost five of seven as this series opened. They are hitting .187 in their past ten games. Play San Diego +107.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Pirates at Guardians—Luis Ortiz is the starter for Pittsburgh. Ortiz appeared in 32 starts on the year putting up an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 7.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 38.5% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Matthew Boyd is the starter for Cleveland. Boyd has three starts with an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 0.90. The lefthander fans 18.5% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.18 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Ortiz in his past six starts has an ERA of 5.13 getting hurt by the home run ball. Pittsburgh has lost four of five with their pitching staff getting hammered. Cleveland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.86. Play Cleveland -155.
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Red Sox at Tigers—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta has 21 appearances in the year delivering an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran strikes out 29.6% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.4% with 1.94 home runs per nine innings. Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in 26 starts an ERA of 2.58 with WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander has an elite 30.3% K rate with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.4% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pivetta in his past five road starts has allowed 18 runs in 17 1/3rd innings allowing eight homers. Skubal has an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.09 in his past five starts. The Red Sox bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.21. The Tigers bats were hot entering this series. Play Boston and Detroit over 7.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Athletics at Rangers—Joey Estes is the starter for Oakland. Estes in 19 appearances this year is dealing with an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 18.3% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls served at 22.9% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Cody Bradford will start for Texas. Bradford has nine appearances, has an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 0.94. The lefthander fans 22.7% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 22.7% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Estes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts with a WHIP of 0.98. Bradford in his past six starts has an ERA of 4.55. The Rangers in their past ten games are hitting .228. The Athletics have won seven of nine on the road. The Rangers have lost seven of nine at home. Play Oakland +137.
NY Mets vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Mets at White Sox—Jose Quintana to start for NY. Quintana has 26 starts on the campaign putting up an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander strikes out 17.6% with 9% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.8% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Davis Martin will start for Chicago. Martin appeared in six games delivering an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander fans 21.7% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls served at 49.4% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Quintana in his past five starts allowed 19 earned runs with 14 walks in 27 innings. Martin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. NY in their past ten games is hitting .230. NY has lost seven of eleven on the road with two wins by one run. Play Chicago on run line +1.5 runs at +105.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Blue Jays at Twins—Jose Berrios is the starter for Toronto. Berrios has 27 starts on the campaign putting up an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran strikes out 19.1% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.9% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.88 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Zebby Matthews is the starter for Minnesota. Matthews in three starts an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 21% with 3.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.3% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Berrios has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Matthews has limited baserunners in his fifteen innings. The Twins have gone under in seven of nine. In their past ten games the Blue Jays are hitting .206. Play Toronto and Minnesota under 8.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Royals at Astros—Cole Ragans to start for KC. Ragans in 27 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander strikes out 29% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls are 40.6% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Yusie Kikuchi will start for Houston. Kikuchi has 27 starts with an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander fans 27% with 6.6% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Ragans has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Kikichi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. The KC bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.03 with the Astros at 3.00. Houston has won five of seven at home. Play Houston -133.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Brewers at Reds—Frankie Montas to start for Milwaukee. Montas in 24 starts on the season carrying an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.28. The veteran strikes out 20.2% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. David Buchanan to start for Cincinnati. Buchanan makes his 2024 debut here. He spent several seasons overseas. A career 5.01 ERA with WHIP of 1.51 in 192 1/3rd innings in the Majors with 115 strikeouts. In Triple A this year he posted an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.49 with 78 Ks in 102 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Montas in his past three starts allowed four earned runs with 16 strikeouts in 18 innings of work. The Reds have lost seven of nine. Milwaukee has won 12 of 16. The Brewers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.89. The Reds bullpen has in this span an ERA of 5.01. Play Milwaukee +121.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Braves at Phillies—Max Fried is the starter for Atlanta. Fried has 23 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 22.8% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls served at 58.1% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. Zack Wheeler is the starter for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 26 starts an ERA of 2.74 with WHIP of 1.00. the veteran fans 27.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls are 41.7% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Fried in his past three starts allowed six earned runs with 16 strikeouts in 17 1/3rd innings. Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Braves have gone under in eight of twelve games. In their past ten games the Phillies bullpen has an ERA of 2.18.Play Atlanta and Philadelphia under 7.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Orioles at Rockies—Dean Kremer to star for Baltimore. Kremer has nineteen starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 9.8% walks. Grounders are 40.4% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in 24 starts an ERA of 4.95 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander strikes out 19.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls are 46.1% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kremer in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.39 getting hurt with poor control. Feltner allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine straight starts. In their past ten games the Orioles are batting .181. Play Colorado +150.
LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—Gavin Stone to start for LA. Stone in 24 starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 20% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.2% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in 7 starts has an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is fanning 19.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Stone in his past three starts allowed two earned runs with 23 strikeouts in 19 innings. Kelly in his return from injury allowed 12 earned runs with seven walks and three homers in 16 innings. When this series began the Dodgers had won eight of ten. Their bullpen ERA in this period is 1.56. In their past five games the Diamondbacks are batting .241. Play LA -127.
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Marlins at Giants—Edward Cabrera will start for Miami. Cabrera has fifteen starts on the campaign putting up an ERA of 5.60 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander strikes out 26.2% with 12.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.7% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Mason Black to start for San Francisco. Black in four appearances puts up an ERA of 8.79 with WHIP of 1.95. The righty fans 13.9% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls are 28.8% with 2.51 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cabrera in his past three starts allowed 12 earned runs with nine walks in 15 1/3rd innings. As this series opened the Giants had lost five of seven. In their past ten games the Marlins are hitting .288 with the Giants at .219. Play Miami +147.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/31/2024
Mariners at Angels—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in 16 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 2.05 with WHIP of 0.81. The righthander strikes out 20.4% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls are 43.4% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Anderson to start for LA. Anderson has 26 starts with an ERA of 3.41 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander fans 18.5% with 9.4% walks. Grounders are 38.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.45 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Woo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of seven starts. Anderson in his past three starts allowed 16 runs in 16 2/3rd innings. When this series started the Angels had lost 13 of 16. The Mariners bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 2.93. In that period the Angels are batting .183. Play Seattle -161.