Free MLB Picks For Today, Friday 8/30/2024
Game 1 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Brewers at Reds Game 1—Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in 25 games this season dealing with an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 19.2% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls are 39.5% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez has 36 appearances with an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 19.4% with 3% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Rea in his past four road starts has an ERA of 1.40 with WHIP of 1.01. Martinez in his past three starts allowed 11 runs with four homers in 13 1/3rd innings. Milwaukee has won 10 of 14. The Reds bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.48 with the Brewers at 2.79. The Brewers are also in the better hitting form over that ten game period. The Reds have lost nine of thirteen. Play Milwaukee -118 in Game 1.
Game 2 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Brewers at Reds—DL Hall to start for Milwaukee. Hall has five starts this season producing an ERA of 6.43 with WHIP of 2.10. The left-handed fans 20.8% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.4% with 2.14 home runs per nine innings. Rhett Lowder is the starter for Cincinnati. Lowder expected to make his MLB debut here. A first-round pick in 2023 out of Wake Forest who put up good numbers and limit baserunners in three levels of the minors.
The Pick:
Hall in his past three starts allowed 12 runs in 11 2/3rd innings walking nine batters. Lowder has allowed two earned runs in his past six minor league starters. The Reds are batting .270 in their past five games. Play Cincinnati -134 in Game 2.
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Red Sox at Tigers—Tanner Houck will start for Boston. Houck has 26 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 6.6% walks. Grounders are 55.8% with 0.57 home runs per nine innings. Casey Mize to start for Detroit. Mize in 16 starts has an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.45. The righty is fanning 16.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.5% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Houck in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.16 with WHIP of 1.48. Mize has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts. The Tigers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.09. They are hitting .269 in this period. Boston has dropped five of seven. The Tigers have won 13 of 17. Play Detroit +116.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Braves at Phillies—Reynaldo Lopez will start for Atlanta. Lopez has 21 starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 2.02 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 25.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.2% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez has 21 starts with an ERA of 2.82 and WHIP of 1.06. The left hander strikes out 24.4% with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 52.4% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 18 of his 21 starts. Suarez in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.58 with WHIP of 1.62. The Braves have won nine of twelve. The Braves bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.21. Play Atlanta +115.
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Cubs at Nationals—Shota Imanaga to start for Chicago. Imanaga has 24 starts in the year putting up an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander fans 24.6% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls are 35.3% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin has 27 starts on the campaign putting up an ERA of 3.80 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander strikes out 20.5% with 6% walks. Grounders sit at 42.7% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Imanaga in his past eight starts has an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP of 0.97. Irvin in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.46 with WHIP of 1.50. In their past ten games the Cubs are batting .283. They have won six of seven. Play Chicago -162.
San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Padres at Rays—Martin Perez to start for San Diego. Perez has 21 starts in the year dealing an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander strikes out 18% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls are 44.3% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Taj Bradley will start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in 19 starts has an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 26.9% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.1% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Perez in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.20 with WHIP of 1.16. Bradley in their past five starts has an ERA of 7.96 with WHIP of 1.62. In their past ten games the Rays are batting .187. They have lost five of seven. Play San Diego +116.
St Louis Cardinals vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Cardinals at Yankees—Erick Fedde will start for St Louis. Fedde has 26 starts in the year delivering an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 20.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 42.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Marcus Stroman to start for NY. Stroman has 25 starts with an ERA of 3.88 and WHIP of 1.39. The veteran strikes out 17% with 10% walks. Ground balls are 48.3% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.94 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Fedde in his past four starts has an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.28. Stroman in his past three home starts allowed 14 runs in 18 innings battling control issues. The Cardinals have won six of nine. Their bullpen in the past ten games has an ERA of 2.97. NY is batting .230 in this period. Play St Louis +154.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Pirates at Guardians—Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh. Falter has 22 starts in the season producing an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 17.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 34.4% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Ben Lively will start for Cleveland. Guardians in 23 starts an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 19.7% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls are 41.1% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Falter in his past three starts allowed 11 earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Lively allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of eight. The Pirates bullpen has been hammered over their past five games with an ERA of 12.71. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +122.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Athletics at Rangers—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has 26 starts delivering an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 18.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.5% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray will start for Texas. Gray appeared in 22 games with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander fans 19.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls are 40.5% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Sears in his past nine starts has an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.06. Gray in his past seven starts has an ERA of 7.76 with WHIP of 1.57 pitching to high contact. In their past ten games the Rangers are batting .230. Oakland has won six of eight on the road. Texas has lost six of nine at home. Play Oakland +130.
NY Mets vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Mets at White Sox—Tyler Megill is the starter for NY. Megill appeared in 10 games with an ERA of 5.17 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander strikes out 26.3% with 10.5% walks. Grounders are 38.3% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.08 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Jonathan Cannon to start for Chicago. Cannon appeared in 17 games with an ERA of 4.57 and WHIP of 1.39. The righty is fanning 16.2% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 39% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Megill in his past four starts allowed 15 earned runs with five homers in 16 1/3rd innings. Cannon in his past three starts allowed 15 earned runs with eight walks in 8 2/3rd innings. Chicago has lost 38 of 41. Chicago bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 5.59 with the Mets at 4.20. Play NY and Chicago over 9.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Blue Jays at Twins—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 26 starts with an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 22.2% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 38.1% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Pablo Lopez is the starter for Minnesota. Lopez in 26 starts an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.14. The righty is striking out 26.4% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls are 41.6% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gausman in his past four starts has an ERA of 2.00 and WHIP of 0.85. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. The Twins have gone under in four of six. The Blue Jays under in three straight. In their past five games the Blue Jays are batting .227. Both bullpens in good shape over that five-game period. Play Toronto and Minnesota under 8.
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Royals at Astros—Seth Lugo is the starter for KC. Lugo has 27 starts on the year producing an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fans 20.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.6% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 23 starts has an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander fans 24.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 59.2% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lugo in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.25 with WHIP of 1.44. Valdez in his past five starts has an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP of 1.00. KC bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.30 with the Astros at 2.90. Houston is batting .269 in this span. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +140.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Orioles at Rockies—Albert Suarez will start for Baltimore. Suarez appeared in 26 games delivering an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander fans 18.8% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 35% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber will start for Colorado. Gomber has 25 starts with an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander strikes out 16.9% with 6% walks. Ground balls served at 40% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past four starts allowed two earned runs in 23 1/3rd innings. Gomber in his past two home starts allowed nine earned runs with three homers in 8 2/3rd innings. The Rockies have dropped six of nine. The Baltimore bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.60 with the Rockies at 5.76. Play Baltimore -157.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Mariners at Angels—George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby in 27 starts deals with an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 23.5% with 3.1% walks. Grounders served at 40.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Samuel Aldergheri will start for LA. Aldergheri will make his MLB debut. The lefthander was in three spots in the lower minors this season with an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP of 1.15.
The Pick:
Kirby in his past four starts has an ERA of 6.52 with WHIP of 1.91. LA bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.98. In their past ten games the Mariners are batting .224. LA has won six straight against Seattle. Play LA +160.
LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—Clayton Kershaw to start for LA. Kershaw has six starts this year producing an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander strikes out 19% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 39.6% with limited home run damage. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.65 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander fans 22.7% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.1% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kershaw has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his six starts. Gallen in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.47. Both bullpens in their past ten games has an ERA under two. In their past ten games the Dodgers are batting .218. Play Arizona +107.
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/30/2024
Marlins at Giants—Adam Oller to start for Miami. Oller in his two starts in 2024 allowed six earned runs with six walks in 10 1/3rd innings. The righthander was a 20th round pick in 2016 out of Northwestern St who had mixed results in two Triple A locations. An MLB career ERA of 6.90 with WHIP of 1.68 striking out 67 batters in 104 1/3rd innings. Blake Snell to start for San Francisco. Snell in 15 starts has an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander has an elite 33% K rate with 11.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.9% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Snell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his past nine starts. Miami in their past ten games is batting .270. The Giants in this period are hitting .223. They have lost five of eight at home. Play Miami +227.