Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 8/28/2024
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Cubs at Pirates—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks appeared in 23 games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 6.33 and WHIP of 1.45. The veteran strikes out 15.3% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 45.2% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.23 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold. Pauk Skenes is the starter for Pittsburgh. Skenes has 17 starts with an ERA of 2.16 with WHIP of 0.94. The rookie righthander has an elite 32.5% K rate with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.2% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Hendricks in his past six road starts has an ERA of 5.85 in 32 1/3rd innings. Skenes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 10 of his past 11 starts. But the Pirates bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.80 with the team batting .266 in this period. The Cubs pen in this period has an ERA of 4.37. After the opener of this series the Pirates have played to the over in five straight. Play Chicago and Pittsburgh over 7.5.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Royals at Guardians—Michael Wacha to start for KC. Wacha in 23 starts this season with an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran strikes out 20.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls are 40.7% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has 25 starts with an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 26.7% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 35% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wacha has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Bibee in his past four home starts has an ERA of 3.86. In their past ten games the Royals are hitting .289 with the Guardians at .193. After getting swept in their doubleheader on Monday the Guardians had dropped 8 of 11. Play KC +115.
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Astros at Phillies—Spencer Arrighetti will start for Houston. Arrighetti in 23 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.94 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 27.5% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 34.7% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Taijuan Walker is the starter for Philadelphia. Walker has 13 starts with an ERA of 6.26 and WHIP of 1.58. The veteran fans 18.5% with 9.8% walks. Grounders sit at 36.8% with 2.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his past four starts. Walker in his past seven starts has an ERA of 7.03 with WHIP of 1.56. In their past ten games the Astros have a bullpen ERA of 2.64 and hit .257. Play Houston -102.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Rays at Mariners—Tyler Alexander to start for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in 17 games this year delivering an ERA of 5.22 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander fans 19.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.2% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.66 and WHIP of 1.16. The veteran strikes out 24.9% with 6.6% walks. Grounders served at 40% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Alexander in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.19. He was roughed up in his past two starts by the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. Castillo in his past eight home starts has an ERA of 3.33 and WHIP of 1.01. After the opener of this series the Mariners have won seven of eight at home and Rays dropped four of five on the road. Seattle bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.00. The Rays in their past ten games are hitting .209. Play Seattle +118.
LA Angels vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Angels at Tigers—Griffin Canning to start for LA. Canning appeared in 26 games putting up an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander has seen his Ks fall to 17% with 8% walks. Grounders are 40.5% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda is the starter for Detroit. Maeda has 23 appearances posting an ERA of 6.42 with WHIP of 1.44. The veteran strikes out 18.3% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dished at 36.4% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.10 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Canning in his past seven starts has an ERA of 6.14. Maeda in his past eight home starts has an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP of 1.17. When this series began the Tigers had won 11 of 14. In their past ten games the Tigers have a bullpen ERA of 3.36 and hitting .272. In this period the Angels are batting .189. They have lost 11 of 13 since this series started. Play Detroit -128.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Athletics at Reds—Osvaldo Bido to start for Oakland. Bido appeared in 13 games on the year produces an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 24.6% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 30.6% with limited home run damage. Fernando Cruz to start for Cincinnati. Cruz appeared in 61 games with an ERA of 5.30 with WHIP of 1.41. This opening righty fans 34.3% with 12.6% walks. Ground balls are 32.8% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.35 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Bido has allowed one earned run in his past three starts working 17 innings. He throws about an inning per appearance. He has given up five earned runs in his past four starts working 5 1/3rd innings. The Reds have lost 8 of 11. Oakland has won five of six on the road. The Reds in their past five games has a bullpen ERA of 4.63. Play Oakland -123.
NY Yankees vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Yankees at Nationals—Carlos Rodon will start for NY. Rodon in 26 starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.16 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander strikes out 25.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 32% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has 26 starts with an ERA of 4.51 with WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander fans 23.5% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 36.4% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.63 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Rodon in his past seven starts has an ERA of 2.87 with WHIP of 1.14. Gore in his past four home starts allowed 18 runs with 17 walks in 14 1/3rd innings. NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.70. They have won five of seven. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at -116.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in 26 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.42. The veteran fans 22.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls are 40% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Brayan Bello is the starter for Boston. Bello has 24 starts with an ERA of 4.95 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander strikes out 21.6% with 9% walks. Grounders are 50.9% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Bassitt in his past three starts allowed 14 earned runs with six walks in 15 innings. Bello in his past six home starts has an ERA of 4.98 struggling with control. In their past ten games the Red Sox bullpen has an ERA of 4.19. In this period the Blue Jays are batting .264. The Blue Jays have gone over in six of nine. Boston has gone over in five of eight. Play Toronto and Boston over 9.
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Braves at Twins—Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale has 24 starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 2.62 with WHIP of 1.02. The lefthander has an elite 32.7% strikeout rate with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.7% with limited home run damage. David Festa is the starter for Minnesota. Festa appeared in eight games with an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.32. The rookie righthander sees 28% strikeouts with 7% walks. Grounders are 30% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in twelve straight starts. Festa in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.18. The Braves bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.30. Minnesota has lost six of eight. Atlanta has won seven of nine. Play Atlanta -145.
San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Padres at Cardinals—Joe Musgrove is the starter for San Diego. Musgrove has 13 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander strikes out 22.2% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls are 42.6% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Andre Pallante to start for St Louis. Pallante appeared in 23 games with an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP of 1.29. The righty is fanning 17.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 62.7% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Musgrove has allowed one earned run or fewer in six straight starts. Pallante in his past three home starts allowed 12 earned runs in 16 innings of work. The Padres have won 17 of 23. St Louis has lost 10 of 15. In their past ten games the Padres are hitting .260. Play San Diego -125.
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Rangers at White Sox—Jack Leiter to start for Texas. Leiter has three starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 16.39 with WHIP of 2.57 in 9 1/3rd innings. The rookie righthander strikes out 16.7% with 12.7% walks. Ground balls served at 32.5% with 2.89 home runs per nine innings. Chris Flexen is the starter for Chicago. Flexen appeared in 27 games putting up an ERA of 5.34 with WHIP of 1.50. The veteran fans 15.9% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.9% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Leiter has posted good numbers in his 77 innings in Triple A this season. Flexen in his past four starts has an ERA of 6.89 with WHIP of 2.04 struggling big time with control. Chicago has lost 31 of 35. The Rangers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.33 with the White Sox at 5.90. Chicago is hitting .221 in this period. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Giants at Brewers—Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison has 22 starts this season producing an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander strikes out 21.8% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 40.7% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta is the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta has 26 starts with an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander fans 27.6% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.8% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Harrison in his past four starts has an ERA of 5.59 and gets hurt by the home run ball. Peralta in his past two starts allowed one earned run with 11 innings. In their past ten games the Brewers have a bullpen ERA of 2.79 with the Giants at 5.35. Milwaukee was also in the better hitting form. Play Milwaukee -156.
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Marlins at Rockies—Max Meyer is the starter for Miami. Meyer has nine starts this season producing an ERA of 5.44 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander strikes out 17.6% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 48.3% with 2.14 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Freeland is the starter for Colorado. Freeland has 15 starts putting up an ERA of 5.70 with WHIP of 1.49. The lefthander fans 17.9% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.5% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.64 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Meyer in his past five starts allowed 21 earned runs with eight homers in 25 1/3rd innings. Freeland in his past three home starts allowed 11 runs with six walks in 13 1/3rd innings. Both bullpens are in poor form. Play Miami and Colorado over 10.5.
NY Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Mets at Diamondbacks—Luis Severino to start for NY. Severino has 25 starts in the year posting an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran strikes out 19.6% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.4% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Arizona. Rodriguez in three starts has an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander fans 16.2% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Severino in his past five road starts allowed 17 runs in 27 innings and getting hurt by the home run ball. Arizona in their past ten games is hitting .249. The Mets hit well on the road. The Diamondbacks have gone over in 8 of 10. Play NY and Arizona over 8.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/28/2024
Orioles at Dodgers—Corbin Burnes is the starting pitcher for Baltimore. Burnes in 26 starts this season carries an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran strikes out 22.5% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Walker Buehler to start for LA. Buehler had ten starts with an ERA of 6.09 and WHIP of 1.67. The righthander has 16.9% Ks with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 45% with 2.23 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Burnes in his past four starts allowed 22 runs with three homers in 20 2/3rd innings. Buehler in his past seven starts carries an ERA of 6.97 with WHIP of 1.87 having issues with control and giving up the home run ball. The Orioles bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.41. Play Baltimore and LA over 8.5.