Free MLB Picks For Today, Tuesday 8/27/2024
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Royals at Guardians—Michael Lorenzen to start for Kansas City. Lorenzen appeared in 23 games this season dealing with an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 17.8% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.3% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.93 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Gavin Williams will start for Cleveland. Williams in ten starts has an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.46. The righty is fanning 24.4% with 8.9% walks. Grounders are 38.4% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lorenzon has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his past five starts. Williams in his past five starts allowed 15 earned runs with four homers in 18 1/3rd innings. After winning the opener of this series the Royals had won eight of ten against the Guardians. Cleveland with the opening loss has dropped seven of ten. KC in their past ten games is hitting .296 with the Guardians at .194. Play KC +125.
LA Angels vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Angels at Tigers—Johnny Cueto to start for LA. Cueto in his 2024 debut allowed three earned runs with one strikeout in 6 1/3rd innings. He signed a minor league contract with mixed results in his two Triple A stops. He struggled last year with Miami with an ERA of 6.02 and WHIP of 1.26 in 52 1/3rd innings striking out 39. Brant Hurter to start for Detroit. Hurter appeared in four games with an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 0.79. The lefthander strikes out 24.6% with 1.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 63.3% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cueto’s numbers in the minors this year reveals an ERA of 4.84 with nine homers allowed in 61 1/3rd innings. Hurter has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four. The Tigers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.98. In that period the Angels are hitting .189. Play Detroit -154.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Athletics at Reds—Mitch Spence to start for Oakland. Spence appeared in 28 games in the year delivering an ERA of 4.67 and WHIP of 1.33. The righthander fans 19.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.9% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Nick Lodolo is the starter for Cincinnati. Lodolo has 21 starts with an ERA of 4.76 and WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 24.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Spence in his past six starts has an ERA of 7.45 with WHIP of 1.69 pitching to high contact and getting hurt with poor control along with the home run ball. Lodolo in his past seven starts deals an ERA of 7.78 with WHIP of 1.35 having issues with his control. The Reds bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.63. They played to over in six of seven. Play Oakland and Cincinnati over 9.5.
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Astros at Phillies—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in 11 starts on the campaign provides an ERA of 3.92 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran fans 22% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls are 24.7% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola has 26 starts with an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 22.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls are 44.4% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Verlander in his return allowed two earned runs with six strikeouts in five innings at home to the Red Sox. Nola in his past eight home starts carries an ERA of 2.28 with WHIP of 0.95. Phillies bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.57 with the batters hitting .296. Play Philadelphia -140.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Cubs at Pirates—Justin Steele is the starter for Chicago. Steele in 21 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.07 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander strikes out 24.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.3% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 26.4% with 7.3% walks. Grounders served at 40.1% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Steels in his past four starts allowed two earned four earned runs in 21 2/3rd innings of work with a WHIP of 0.88. Jones has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. The Pirates bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.41. In this period, they are batting .221 with the Cubs at .231. Play Chicago and Pittsburgh under 8.
NY Yankees vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Yankees at Nationals—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has 11 starts in the year delivering an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.33. The veteran fans 25.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.9% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in 26 starts an ERA of 5.73 with WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander fans 17.3% with 7.4 walks. Ground balls are 47% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.53 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Cole has allowed one earned run in his past three starts working 17 1/3rd innings. Corbin in his past ten starts carries an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP of 1.57. The Nationals have lost eight of twelve games. NY has now won five of six. The Yankees bullpen in their past ten games has a bullpen ERA of 2.38. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Yariel Rodriguez to start for Toronto. Rodriguez in 14 starts in 2024 posts an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander fans 24.4% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls are 39.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Cooper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell appeared in 20 games with an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.34. The righty is striking out 18% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.6% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Rodriguez in his past two starts allowed nine earned runs with four homers in 9 1/3rd innings. Criswell in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.94 with WHIP of 1.50. The Red Sox in their past ten games have had a bullpen ERA of 5.87. The Blue Jays over this period is putting up 5.1 runs per game. Play Toronto and Boston over 9.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Braves at Twins—Spencer Schwellenbach to start for Atlanta. Schwellenbach has fourteen starts on the campaign provides an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.03. The righthander fans 28.2% with 4.5% walks. Grounders are 41.5% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is striking out 21.2% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 36.1% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Schwellenbach in his past eight starts has an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 0.87. Woods Richardson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The Braves bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.40. Both teams hit around .240 in this period. As this series began the Braves have gone under in 11 of 13 with the Twins in three straight. Play Atlanta and Minnesota under 8.
San Diego Padres vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Padres at Cardinals—Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease in 27 starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander has an elite 31.2% strikeout rate with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas has 26 starts with an ERA of 5.19 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran strikes out 16.5% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego has won 14 of 18 on the road. The Cardinals lost 9 of 14. Cease has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of eight starts. Mikolas in his past ten starts has an ERA of 6.04 with WHIP of 1.42. San Diego bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.31. In this period, they are hitting .263. Play San Diego -133.
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Rangers at White Sox—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney has 26 appearances in 2024 putting up an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fans 23.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.5% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Garrett Crochet will start for Chicago. Crochet in 26 starts an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefty has an elite 34.2% K rate with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.8% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Heaney in his past six starts has an ERA of 5.52 with WHIP of 1.23. Crochet in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.69 getting crushed by the home run. The White Sox have lost 32 of 36. Their bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.92 with the Rangers at 2.33. Chicago is batting .220 against left-handed starters. Play Texas -142.
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Giants at Brewers—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 27 starts on the year deals with an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 20.8% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 56.1% with limited home run damage. Tobias Meyers to start for Milwaukee. Meyers appeared in 20 games with an ERA of 2.87 with WHIP of 1.14. The rookie righty is fanning 21.4% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls are 39.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Webb in his past six road starts has an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP of 1.55. Myers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts. The Brewers have won five straight at home. The Brewers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.79 with the Giants pen at 5.35. The Brewers are also in the better hitting form in this period. Play Milwaukee -105.
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Marlins at Rockies—Roddery Munoz is the starter for Miami. Munoz appeared in 17 games in the year producing an ERA of 5.98 with WHIP of 1.51. The righthander strikes out 19.1% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.9% with 2.55 home runs per nine innings. Cal Quantrill to start for Colorado. Quantrill has 25 starts with an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.39. The righty is fanning 17.7% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 44% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Munoz in his past six starts has an ERA of 7.82 with WHIP of 1.78 getting crushed with the home run ball and poor control. Quantril in his past five home starts has an ERA of 4.36. The Marlins have lost nine of eleven. Colorado has won four of five at home. Miami bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.08. Play Colorado -144.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Rays at Mariners—Jeffrery Springs is the starter for Tampa Bay. Springs has five starts in 2024 putting up an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.64. The lefthander fans 23.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls are 36.8% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert will start for Seattle. Gilbert at 26 starts an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 0.91. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.7% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Springs has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Gilbert in his past six home starts has an ERA of 1.85 with WHIP of 0.72. The Rays have gone under in 10 of 14. Their bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.38. Both teams struggle at the plate the past ten games with the Rays hitting .228 and Mariners .202. Play Tampa Bay and Seattle under 7.
NY Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Mets at Diamondbacks—Sean Manaea to start for NY. Manaea in 25 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander strikes out 24.3% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls are 37.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt has 25 starts with an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 22.7% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Manaea in his past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 17 innings of work. Pfaadt in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.46. The Diamondbacks bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.88. They are averaging 6.7 runs per game in this period. Arizona has won 20 of 25. They bat .275 against left-handed starters. Play Arizona -112.
Baltimore Orioles vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/27/2024
Orioles at Dodgers—Cole Irvin is the starter for Baltimore. Irvin has 22 appearances on the campaign putting up an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander strikes out 15.6% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 37.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty gets the start for LA. Flaherty in 22 starts an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander has an elite 31.6% K rate with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Irvin in his past nine starts has an ERA of 8.80 with WHIP of 1.83. Flaherty in his past twelve starts has an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 0.94. Orioles’ bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.41. In this period they are batting .201. Play LA on run line -1.5 runs at -102.