Free MLB Picks For Today, Thursday 8/22/2024
Cleveland Guardians vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Guardians at Yankees—Gavin Williams will start for Cleveland. Williams in nine starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander strikes out 24.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 39.4% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.43 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hole. Gerritt Cole will start for NY. Cole has ten starts with an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.37. The veteran fans 26.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 36.6% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of six starts. Williams on the road has an ERA of 2.49 with WHIP of 1.03. The Guardians bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.15 but hitting only .208. The Yankees in this period are batting .240. Play Cleveland and NY under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Rockies at Nationals—Cal Quantrill is the starter for Colorado. Quantrill in 24 starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 4.59 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 17.6% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 44.1% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin has 25 starts with an ERA of 5.92 with WHIP of 1.57. The lefthander strikes out 16.6% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.7% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.56 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Quantrill has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Corbin in his past four starts allowed 21 runs with four homers in 17 1/3rd innings. The Nationals in their past ten games are batting .240. After dropping the opener of this series, Washington has lost five of six. Play Colorado +113.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Brewers at Cardinals—Freddy Peralta will start for Milwaukee. Peralta in 25 starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.21. The veteran strikes out 28.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.6% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas is the starter for St Louis. Mikolas has 25 starts with an ERA of 5.41 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 16.6% with 3.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.2% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.19 does imply a drop in ERA should form hold.
The Pick:
After winning the opener of this series the Brewers have won nine of ten against the Cardinals. Peralta on the road has an ERA of 3.66. Mikolas in his past six starts allowed 25 runs in 31 innings coughing up seven homers. In their past ten games the Brewers bullpen has an ERA of 2.45 with the Cardinals at 4.31. Play Milwaukee -119.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Tigers at Cubs—Brant Hurter is the starter for Detroit. Hurter appeared in three games of the season putting up an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 0.79. The lefthander strikes out 24.1% with 1.9% walks. Ground balls served at 61.5% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has 20 starts posting an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander fans 24% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 41.7% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Hurter has allowed no more than three earned runs in his starts. The Tigers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.84 with the Cubs at 2.50. Both teams struggle in this span hitting with the Cubs at .221 average and Detroit at .238. Steele has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Play Detroit and Chicago under 8.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Rays at Athletics—Jeffrey Springs is the starter for Tampa Bay. Springs has four starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 25.3% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.5% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. Osvaldo Bido is the starter for Oakland. Bido appeared in 12 games putting up an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 24.1% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls are 31% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Springs has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Bido has allowed two earned runs in his past three starts working 18 innings. After the first two in this series the Rays have gone under in 12 of 16 with the Athletics under in 10 of 14. Play Tampa Bay and Oakland under 8.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Reds at Pirates—Nick Lodolo will start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has 20 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 4.55 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 23.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Paul Skenes to start for Pittsburgh. Skenes in 16 starts has an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 0.97. The lefthander has an elite 31.8% K rate with 6.3% walks. Grounders are 48.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lodolo in his past four starts has allowed 21 runs in 19 1/3rd innings. Skenes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in ten of his past eleven starts. As this series began the Reds had dropped four of five. The Pittsburgh bullpen is in great form as in their past ten games carries an ERA of 1.71. In that span the Reds are hitting .214. Play Pittsburgh -150.
LA Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Angels at Blue Jays—Griffin Canning to start for LA. Canning has 25 starts on the season carrying an ERA of 5.41 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander has seen his Ks fall to 16.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 40% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Jake Bloss to start for Toronto. Bloss in three starts has an ERA of 6.94 with WHIP of 1.63. The righthander strikes out 20% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls are 25% with 3.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick: Bloss came over in a trade from Houston and was pounded in his past three Triple A starts. In their past ten games the Angels bullpen carries an ERA of 2.68. The Blue Jays over this period are batting .221. The Angels have won 8 of their past 12 on the road. Play LA +142.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Astros at Orioles—Spencer Arighetti to start for Houston. Arighetti in 22 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.45. The rookie righthander strikes out 27.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls are 35.5% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.30 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Corbin Burnes will start for Baltimore. Burnes has 25 starts with an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.11. The veteran fans 23.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 48.2% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Astros have won 11 of 14. The Orioles have dropped four of six. Arrighetti has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five of seven starts. Burnes has allowed 16 runs with three homers in his past three starts working 15 innings. The Baltimore bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.85 with the Astros at 1.83. The Orioles over this period are hitting .236. Play Houston +148.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Phillies at Braves—Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez in 24 starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander fans 18.6% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 58.1% with limited home run damage. Spencer Schwellenbach is the starter for Atlanta. Schwellenbach has 13 starts with an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander fans 27.5% with 4.5% walks. Grounders are 42.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Sanchez in his past four starts allowed 15 runs in 25 1/3rd innings. His ERA on the road is 5.53 with a WHIP of 1.77 struggling with control. Schwellenbach has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of seven starts. In their past ten games the Braves are hitting .254 and putting up 5.5 runs per game. The Phillies bullpen over this period carries an ERA of 6.15. Philadelphia has lost four of five on the road. Play Atlanta -111.
NY Mets vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/22/2024
Mets at Padres—Luis Severino will start for NY. Severino has 24 starts in the year delivering an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.22. The veteran strikes out 19.6% with 7.9% walks. Grounders are 47.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease in 26 starts puts up an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander has an elite 31.5% K rate with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Severino in his past four road starts allowed 16 runs with six homers in 22 innings of work. Cease in his past six at home carries an ERA of 2.23 with WHIP of 0.99. The Mets in their early August trip out West lost six of nine and struggled to score. NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.54 with the Padres at 2.70. The Padres are hitting well. They have won 13 of 17. Play San Diego -147.