Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 8/21/2024
Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Orioles at Mets—Corbin Burnes to start for Baltimore. Burnes in 25 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.11. The veteran strikes out 23.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.2% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Sean Manaea is the starter for NY. Manaea has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander fans 23.8% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Burnes in his past three starts allowed 16 runs with three homers in 15 innings of work. Manaea has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 11 of his past 12 starts. The Orioles bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.58. Play NY -120.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Red Sox at Astros—Copper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell appeared in 19 games in the season delivering an ERA of 4.56 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander strikes out 17.8% with 6.5% walks. Grounders are 50% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander has ten starts with an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.21. The veteran fans 21.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls are 24.8% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.98 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Criswell in his past two starts allowed 8 runs with four walks in four innings. Verlander last pitched on June 9th and was sidelined with a neck injury. Boston bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 7.86 with the Astros at 1.97. Houston over this period is hitting .280. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +143.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Pirates at Rangers—Paul Skenes will start for Pittsburgh. Skenes has 16 starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 0.97. The rookie righthander has an elite 31.8% K rate with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 48.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Andrew Heaney gets the start for Texas. Heaney in 25 appearances an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fans 23% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls are 34.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Skenes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 10 of 11 starts. Heaney in his past five starts has allowed 19 runs in 24 1/3rd innings. The Pirates bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 1.91. Play Pittsburgh.
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
White Sox at Giants—Garrett Crochet is the starter for Chicago. Crochet in 25 starts on the campaign deals with an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander has an elite 34.5% strikeout rate with 5.9% walks. Grounders are 45.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Logan Webb will start for San Francisco. Webb has 26 starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.17 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 20.7% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 56.3% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Webb has allowed one run or fewer in four straight starts. At home this year he has a WHIP of 1.00. Crochet has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 10 of 13 starts. San Francisco bullpen has shown improvement as in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.65. On the other hand, their bats have struggled with a .218 batting average in that span of ten. Play Chicago and San Francisco under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Twins at Padres—Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has 21 starts this season carrying an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 20.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.2% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron in 25 starts has an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty is striking out 22% with 6.8% walks. Grounders are 38.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Woods Richardson in his past four road games allowed 13 runs with 8 walks in 18 innings. Waldron in his past seven starts allowed 26 earned runs in 38 2/3rd innings with eight homers. The Padres in their past ten games are batting .265. Play Minnesota and San Diego over 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Diamondbacks at Marlins—Jordan Montgomery to start for Arizona. Montgomery has 18 starts on the year putting up an ERA of 6.25 with WHIP of 1.66. The lefthander has seen his Ks fall to 15.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 43.5% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.41 suggesting a drop in ERA should form hold. Roddery Munoz is the starter for Miami. Munoz appeared in 16 games dealing with an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.47. The rookie righthander fans 19.1% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.6% with 2.54 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.72 does imply a rising ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Munoz in his past five starts allowed 22 runs with seven homers and nine walks in 22 innings. Marlin’s bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.23 and they are batting .235. Miami has lost five of six by two runs or greater. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Rockies at Nationals—Tanner Gordon will start for Colorado. Gordon has six starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 7.00 and WHIP of 1.48. The righthander fans 19% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.8% with 2.33 home runs per nine innings. Mitchell Parker is the starter for Washington. Parker has 22 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.27. The rookie lefthander strikes out 20% with 6.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gordon has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Parker has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. The Nationals bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.20. Past five games the Rockies are batting .217 with the Nationals at .223. Play Colorado and Washington under 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Guardians at Yankees—Joe Cantillo to start for Cleveland. Cantillo has three starts on the year posting an ERA of 6.23 with WHIP of 1.62. The lefthander strikes out 15.5% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.2% with 2.77 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for NY. Cortes has 25 starts with an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander fans 22.8% with 5% walks. Ground balls are 30.1% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cantillo has allowed three earned runs in all three starts. Cortes in his past six starts allowed 24 runs with six homers in 30 1/3rd innings. In their past ten games the Guardians bullpen ERA is 2.43 with the Yankees at 6.50. Play Cleveland +136.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Reds at Blue Jays—Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in eight games producing an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 20.1% with 2.5% walks. Grounders served at 37.5% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Yariel Rodriguez to start for Toronto. Rodriguez has 13 starts with an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP of 1.29. The rookie righty strikes out 23.8% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Martinez since July has an ERA of 1.77 with WHIP of 0.93. Rodriguez in his past four starts allowed nine runs with four homers and eight walks in 16 innings. The Reds bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 3.82. In this period the Blue Jays are batting .214. Play Cincinnati -101.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Phillies at Braves—Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola in 25 starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran strikes out 22.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried has 21 starts with an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander strikes out 22.6% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are served at 57.9% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Fried in his past three starts allowed 13 runs with 11 walks in 13 2/3rd innings. The Phillies bullpen though in their past ten games an ERA of 5.55. The Braves have won six of eight. Philadelphia has lost eight of thirteen on the road. Play Atlanta -117.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Brewers at Cardinals—Tobias Myers is the starter for Milwaukee. Myers appeared in 19 games producing an ERA of 2.81 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 21.2% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.05 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Kyle Gibson will start for St Louis. Gibson has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.34. The veteran strikes out 21.8% with 9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.2% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Myers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight games. He has an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 1.14 on the road. Gibson in his past three starts allowed 13 runs with five homers in 17 2/3rd innings. St Louis has lost seven of eight. The Brewers have won 11 of 14 overall and nine of ten against the Cardinals. Milwaukee bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.10 with the Cardinals at 4.22. Play Milwaukee -109.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Tigers at Cubs—Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda appeared in 22 games in the year delivering an ERA of 6.18 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander has seen his Ks fall to 18.3% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 37% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.10 does imply a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has 21 starts with an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran strikes out 19.1% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls served at 39.4% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Maeda has shown form improvement with an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 0.95 in his past four starts. Taillon in his past four starts allowed 16 runs with five homers in 21 1/3rd innings. The Tigers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.98. They have won six of eight. Play Detroit +136.
LA Angels vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Angels at Royals—Jonny Cueto is the starter for LA. Cueto makes his 2024 debut since signing a minor league deal. Last year he worked 52 1/3rd innings with the Marlins with an ERA of 6.02 with WHIP of 1.26 striking out 39 batters with 15 walks. Michael Lorenzon is the starter for KC. Lorenzon has 22 appearances delivering an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander strikes out 17.7% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 41% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.07 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Lorenzon has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. The Royals have won five of six with all five wins by two runs or greater. The Angels have dropped seven of ten. In their past ten games the Royals are hitting .288 with the Angels at .205. Play KC on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Rays at Athletics—Ryan Pepiot to start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot has 18 starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 26.5% with 8.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Spence to start for Oakland. Spence appeared in 27 games delivering an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander fans 18.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Spence in his past six home games has an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.22. Athletics have gone under in 10 of 14. Rays have gone under in 12 of 16. Play Tampa Bay and Oakland under 7.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/21/2024
Mariners at Dodgers—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 25 starts in 2024 putting up an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander fans 25.2% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.9% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty will start for LA. Flaherty in 21 starts an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 1.01. The veteran has an elite 32.2% K rate with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 41.4% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gilbert in his past four road starts allowed 14 runs with four homers in 23 2/3rd innings. Flaherty in his past two starts allowed seven earned runs with four homers in 10 2/3rd innings. The Mariners bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.74. They are hitting .190 in their past ten games. Play LA -160.