Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 8/14/2024
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Royals at Twins—Cole Ragans will start for Kansas City. Ragans in 24 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander strikes out 28.8% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls served at 40.4% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober is the starter for Minnesota. Ober has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 0.97. The righthander fans 27.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.9% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC bats .236 on the road. Minnesota pitching limits opponents to .230 hitting at home. The Twins bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.72. KC is 31-23 to the under on the road and the team mark behind Ragans is 14-9 to the under. Play Kansas City and Minnesota under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Tanner Gordon to start for Colorado. Gordon has five starts in the season carrying an ERA of 6.15 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 20.5% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.4% with 2.39 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Montgomery is the starter for Arizona. Montgomery in 17 starts has an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP of 1.68. The lefthander fans 14.6% with 8.5% walks. Grounders are 42.7% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.60 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Colorado pitching is giving up .287 hitting on the road. The Diamondbacks staff surrenders .264 at home. Colorado bullpen an ERA of 6.82 on the road with Arizona’s pen at 4.02 at home. In their past ten games the Diamondbacks are batting .288 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. The Rockies on the road and Diamondbacks at home trend well to the over. Play Colorado and Arizona over 9.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Pirates at Padres—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has 23 starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 21.2% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.1% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez will start for San Diego. Perez in 18 starts has an ERA of 4.78 with WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander strikes out 18.1% with 8.1% walks. Grounders dished at 44.3% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .235 on the road. San Diego in their past ten games is hitting .270 and putting up six runs per game. They have won 17 of 20 after winning the opener of this series. Keller on the road has an ERA of 4.59. Pittsburgh is 32-41 as an underdog with a -2.04-unit loss. Play San Diego -130.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Rangers at Red Sox—Dane Dunning expected starter for Texas. Dunning appeared in 20 games producing an ERA of 4.77 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander strikes out 22.9% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls served at 44.5% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck has 23 starts with an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.14. The righty fans 21.3% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dished at 55.5% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Past ten games the Rangers bullpen sits with an ERA of 5.84 and the Rangers are at 6.55. In this period the Red Sox are hitting .265. Play Texas and Boston over 9.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Nationals at Orioles—DJ Herz will start for Washington. Herz in 11 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander strikes out 29% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.8% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 16 starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 22% with 9.8% walks. Grounders sit at 40.2% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Both starters form poor entering this game. Herz control poor last outing. As this series opened the Nationals had gone over in five of six and Orioles in 11 of 15. The Baltimore pen in their past ten games carries an ERA of 6.82. They are 33-19 to the over facing teams that average 4.2 runs per game or greater. The team is 12-4 to the over behind Kremer. Play Washington and Baltimore over 9.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Cubs at Guardians—Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in 20 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran strikes out 18.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Alex Cobb is the starter for Cleveland. Cobb in his 2024 debut allowed four earned runs with one strikeout in 4 2/3rd innings at Minnesota. He was out with a hip injury. The righthander last year made 28 starts with an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP of 1.32. He struck out 20.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 57.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland has won eight of nine against the Cubs. Taillon in his past three starts allowed 12 earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. The Guardians bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.72 with the Cubs at 4.34. Cleveland is 37-20 at home with a +7.37-unit return. Chicago is 19-26 when lined between -105 and +125 with a -4.86-unit return. Play Cleveland -125.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Mariners at Tigers—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in 13 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 2.27 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander fans 19.2% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.9% with 0.53 home runs per nine innings. Bryan Sammons will be primary pitcher for Detroit. Sammons appeared in three games with an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 0.62. The lefthander strikes out 18.8% with 4.2% walks. Grounders sit at 25% with 2.77 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.48 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Tigers are batting .233 at home with a -34-run differential. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.28. Woo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Play Seattle -138.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Cardinals at Reds—Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson has 22 starts in the season providing an ERA of 3.99 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran strikes out 21.7% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.7% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Carson Spiers is the starter for Cincinnati. Spiers in 13 appearances an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 21.4% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds are batting .226 at home. Their bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.86. St Louis struggling at the plate as in their past ten games batting .232. Head-to-head they have gone under in 7 of 9 this season. Play St Louis and Cincinnati under 9.5.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Marlins at Phillies—Xzavion Curry to start for Miami. Curry appeared in 7 games in 2024 posting an ERA of 5.84 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander fans 13.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 21.6% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Phillips will start for Philadelphia. Phillips has six appearances with an ERA of 4.83 and WHIP of 1.07. The righty is striking out 18.4% with 4.8% walks. Grounders served at 41.1% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.59. They have lost 11 of 15 games. Miami has won 7 of 11 on the road. Play Miami +165.
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Astros at Rays—Ronel Blanco is the starter for Houston. Blanco has 22 starts in the year posting an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 24.5% with 9.9% walks. Grounders sit at 38.1% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell in 23 starts with an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.35. The righty is fanning 21.2% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.3% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rays are batting .224 at home with the Astros hitting .262 on the road. Tampa Bay bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.21. They have lost six of seven. It is a seven-game win streak for the Astros. The Rays are 31-33 at home with a -9.07-unit loss. The team mark behind Blanco is 15-7 with a +5.02 unit return. Play Houston -121.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Athletics at Mets—Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes appeared in 16 games on the year carrying an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander fans 18.3% with 6.1% walks. Grounders are 23.5% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson has 12 starts with an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander fans 18.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 52.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.44 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.60. Estes on the road has an ERA of 7.47 getting hurt with walks and the home run ball. Peterson at home carries an ERA of 3.91 with poor control. The Mets are 41-32 to the over facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater. Play Oakland and NY over 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Yankees at White Sox—Will Warren is the starter for New York. Warren in two starts allowed 12 earned runs with 12 strikeouts but five walks in 9 2/3rd innings of work. An eighth-round draft pick in 2021 out of Southeastern Louisiana who struggled with a 6.11 ERA and WHIP of 1.41 in Triple A this year. The righty struck out 115 batters with 35 walks in 95 2/3rd innings. Davis Martin will start for Chicago. Martin appeared in three games with an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP of 1.46. The righthander struck out 22.2% with 13% walks. Grounders were 35.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past five games is batting .290 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. The Yankees bullpen in their past ten games carries an ERA of 5.53. Play Chicago on run line +1.5 runs at +132.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Dodgers at Brewers—Walker Buehler to start for LA. Buehler in eight starts is dealing an ERA of 5.84 with WHIP of 1.51. The righthander fans 18.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.3% with 2.43 home runs per nine innings. Frankie Montas is the starter for Milwaukee. Montas has 21 starts with an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP of 1.46. The veteran strikes out 19.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls are 41.6% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
LA has won nine of ten against the Brewers. Montas has been roughed up over his past five starts. The Dodgers in their past five games are batting .250 and putting up 5.8 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.91. The Dodgers are 15-8 when lined between -148 and -118 with a +3.13 unit return. Play LA -132.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Blue Jays at Angels—Jose Berrios is the starter for Toronto. Berrios has 24 starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP of 1.21. The righthander is striking out 18.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.2% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.14 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Tyler Anderson is the starter for LA. Anderson in 23 starts has an ERA of 2.99 and WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander strikes out 18.8% with 9% walks. Grounders are 37.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.38 does imply a rising ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Blue Jays had won four of five against the Angels after taking the opener of this series. LA has a -52-run differential at home. They are 7-13 as a favorite with a -7.52-unit loss. Anderson’s posts an ERA of 3.97 at home and deals with control issues. Play Toronto -108.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/14/2024
Braves at Giants—Grant Holmes to start for Atlanta. Holmes appeared in 13 games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 26.8% with 5.9% walks. Grounders are 42.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Robbie Ray to start for San Francisco. Ray has four starts with an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander has an elite 33.3% K rate with 10.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 29.5% with 2.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.83 with the Braves at 6.75. Atlanta is batting .230 on the road. They have dropped seven of nine after the opener of this series. The team behind Holmes is 0-3 in his starts. Play San Francisco -115.