Free MLB Picks For Today, Tuesday 8/13/2024
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Nationals at Orioles—Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin in 24 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 21.2% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls served at 42.4% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Trevor Rogers to start for Baltimore. Rogers has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander fans 17.4% with 9.9% walks. Grounders are 47.2% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Baltimore bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.82. The Nationals in that period are betting .264. Washington pitching is surrendering .264 hitting on the road. The Orioles are batting .258 at home. They are 40-29 to the over facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater. Play Washington and Baltimore over 9.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Cubs at Guardians—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has 21 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.36 The righthander is striking out 20.2% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.58 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Matthew Boyd returns from Tommy John surgery after 15 starts last season. The lefthander has a career ERA of 4.94 with WHIP of 1.32 striking out 845 batters in 868 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Cubs bullpen on the road sits with an ERA of 4.32 with the Guardians at 2.58 at home. Cleveland is 48-25 as a favorite returning +9.42 units. The Cubs sit 27-33 on the road with a -2.89-unit return. Assad has not been as strong on the road with an ERA of 4.17. Play Cleveland -115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Mariners at Tigers—George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby in 24 starts on the season carries an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander fans 24.3% with 2.8% walks. Grounders are 40.7% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has 23 starts with an ERA of 2.57 and WHIP of 0.93. The lefthander has an elite 30.1% strikeout rate with 4.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 45% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Mariners in their past ten games are batting .211 with the Tigers at .217. Seattle has gone under in 14 of 20. Tigers have gone under in 10 of 16. Kirby has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Skubal’s numbers have been better at home. Play Seattle and Detroit under 6.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Cardinals at Reds—Erick Fedde to start for St Louis. Fedde in 23 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 21.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene will start for Cincinnati. Greene has 23 starts with an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP of 1.03. The righty is fanning 27.6% with 9.3% walks. Grounders are 35.3% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds bat .227 at home where they have a -4-run differential. St Louis bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.37. Cincinnati is 28-31 at home with a -7.24-unit return. The Cardinals have been good at this price with +7.43 units when lined between -102 and +128. Play St Louis +118.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Marlins at Phillies—Valente Bellozo will start for Miami. Bellozo in four starts on the season puts up an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.02. The rookie righthander fans 22.9% with 6% walks. Grounders are 25.9% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Taijuan Walker is the starter for Philadelphia. Walker has ten starts with an ERA of 5.60 with WHIP of 1.49. The veteran strikes out 18.7% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 36% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami in their past ten games is putting up 4.5 runs per game. The Phillies are hitting .258 at home where they have a +78-win differential. But their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.47. The team is 6-2 to the over behind Walker. Play Miami and Philadelphia over 9.
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Astros at Rays—Yusie Kikuchi will start for Houston. Kikuchi in 24 starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 4.62 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 27.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Shane Baz is the starter for Tampa Bay. Baz has six starts with an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander fans 20% with 9.2% walks. Grounders sit at 42.9% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Rays are batting .226. They have a -37-run differential at home. Houston is hitting .262 on the road. The Rays bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.28. The Rays are 31-32 at home with a -8.07 unit loss. Six straight wins for the Astros. The Rays have dropped 7 of 11. Play Houston -129.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Rangers at Red Sox—Jose Urena to start for Texas. Urena in 27 appearances on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander fans 15.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford is the starter for Boston. Crawford has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.13. The righty is fanning 23.1% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.2% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past ten games is hitting .269 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. The Rangers in this period are hitting .225. They have a -59-run differential on the road where they have a bullpen ERA of 6.04. Texas has lost 12 of 15. The Rangers are 18-36 as an underdog with a -15.05-unit loss. Play Boston -137.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Athletics at Mets—Ross Stripling to start for Oakland. Stripling has 14 starts in the season dealing an ERA of 5.72 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander has seen his Ks fall to 12.5% with 5% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Paul Blackburn will start for New York. Blackburn in 11 starts an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran strikes out 19.4% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland in their past ten games is hitting .217. NY pitching limits opponents to .220 hitting at home where their bullpen has an ERA of 3.76. They have won 17 of 23 at home. The team mark behind Stripling is 3-11 with a -6.77-unit loss. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at +128.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Royals at Twins—Seth Lugo to start for KC. Lugo in 24 starts on the year puts up an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 21% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.4% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Zebby Matthews to start for Minnesota. Matthews expected to make his debut here. The righthander was an eighth-round draft pick in 2022 out of Western Carolina with good numbers this season in Double A but struggles in his promotion to Triple A.
The Pick:
KC in their past ten games is hitting .282 and putting up 6.5 runs per game. The Twins bullpen has struggled the past ten games with an ERA of 4.78. Kansas City behind Lugo is 14-10 with a +2.09-unit return. Minnesota is 20-27 facing teams with a .540 or higher win percentage with a -9.03-unit loss. Play KC +103.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Yankees at White Sox—Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes has 24 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander strikes out 22.2% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 30.4% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Jonathan Cannon is the starter for Chicago. Cannon in 14 appearances has an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 16.1% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 40.2% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cortes on the road carries an ERA of 6.08 with WHIP of 1.55. In their past ten games the Yankees are hitting .275. NY is 35-24 to the over on the road. They are 17-4 to the over in their past 21 games. The Yankees bullpen is struggling with an ERA near five in their past ten games. Play NY and Chicago over 9.
LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Dodgers at Brewers—Gavin Stone is the starter for LA. Stone in 21 starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 3.71 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander strikes out 18.2% with 6.5% walks. Grounders are 44.1% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in 22 games with an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is fanning 19.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.6% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Stone in his past three starts has allowed 12 earned runs in 14 2/3rd innings. Rea is in the better form over this period. In their past ten games the Brewers are hitting .276 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. They are 29-24 as an underdog with a +9.40-unit return. The team is 14-5 behind Rea with a +8.11-unit return. Play Milwaukee -123.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Blue Jays at Angels—Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman has 23 starts in 2024 putting up an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran strikes out 21.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls are 36.9% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Carson Fulmer to start for LA. Fulmer appeared in 29 games with an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander fans 22.5% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls 38.2% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gausman in his past four starts allowed 14 runs in 28 1/3rd innings. The Blue Jays bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.73. Toronto is 3-10 when lined between -134 and -164 with a -7.93-unit loss. Play LA +133.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Pirates at Padres—Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz in 29 appearances in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander strikes out 18.3% with 7.5% walks. Grounders come in at 40.7% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Michael King will start for San Diego. King appeared in 23 games with an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.18. The righty is fanning 28.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.3% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .228 on the road. Their bullpen has an ERA of 3.80 there. San Diego bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.35. The Pirates are 5-2 to the under behind Ortiz. Play Pittsburgh and San Diego under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Austin Gomber will start for Colorado. Gomber has 22 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.92 with WHIP of 1.32. The lefthander fans 16.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.6% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Arizona. Rodriguez in his 2024 debut allowed three earned runs with one strikeout in 5 2/3rd innings at Cleveland. The lefthander was sidelined with a shoulder strain. Last year he had an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.15 in 26 starts. He struck out 23% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls were 41% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Colorado pitching surrenders .287 hitting on the road. The Diamondbacks pitching staff allows .264 hitting at home. They have gone over in 11 of 14 at home. The Rockies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.29 with the Diamondbacks at 4.02 at home. Arizona is 37-23 to the over at home with the Diamondbacks going 34-26 to the over on the road. Play Colorado and Arizona over 9.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/13/2024
Braves at Giants—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton in 21 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.47 with WHIP of 1.31. The veteran strikes out 23% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 46.8% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison has 20 starts with an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander fans 21.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.6% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Morton has allowed 16 runs in his past three starts working 11 1/3rd innings. Atlanta is hitting .230 on the road. San Francisco bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.83. They are 35-25 at home with a +2.50-unit return. Play San Francisco -104.