Jhonata Diniz vs. Karl Williams 8/10/24 – As UFC on ESPN 61 approaches, the spotlight will be on the heavyweight fight between Jhonata Diniz and Karl Williams. Both fighters have had a good performance in their previous fights and are eager to rise up the ladder in the heavyweight division. This match is slated for Saturday, August 10, 2024 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada ; which means it is expected to be a big hit among fight enthusiasts and gamblers alike as they look for free UFC on ESPN 61 picks.
Jhonata Diniz vs. Karl Williams 8/10/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, August 10, 2024, at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Jhonata Diniz Analysis
Undefeated in the octagon, Jhonata Diniz has a 7-0-0 record and his strengths are mainly punching with an average of 4.31 significant strikes landed per minute and an accuracy of 48%. For such a bold offense, he is hit at a dangerous rate of 3.92 strikes per minute that could be worrying against someone who is more tactical. His grappling figures show almost no attempts to take down his opponents which might be on purpose due to his strong takedown defense (80%). The latest triumph over Lane demonstrated that he can handle pressure and defeat tough adversaries. An interesting aspect of this matchup is that the card also features other high-stake fights involving Damon Jackson and Chepe Mariscal. These contests may influence how people wager or perceive fighters leading to different results.
Karl Williams Analysis
On the flip side, Karl Williams’ MMA career stands at a slightly better record of 10-1-0. He’s been described as balanced because he throws only 2.87 punches every sixty seconds but does so with greater precision than Diniz’s opponent striking him for six out of ten times. It is worth mentioning his wrestling abilities since he averages about 4.75 takedowns per fight clocking in at approximately 50% landing ratio; moreover, Williams hasn’t been taken down once throughout for all time period (100%). In regard to grappling it will probably turn out to be significant given Diniz’s tendency not to engage in it often when competing; for instance, one bout concluded by him defeating Tafa testifies to this fact which indicates strategic diversity and ability in adjusting during a fight that would be required here again as seen before. This is just one example amongst other bouts like Yana Santos against Chelsea Chandler where we got many instances indicating how versatile and well thought-out UFC clashes are currently designed.
Jhonata Diniz vs. Karl Williams Stats
| Diniz | Williams | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 7-0-0 | 10-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 5:14 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6′ 4″ | 6′ 3″ |
| Weight | 254 lbs. | 235 lbs. |
| Reach | 79″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.31 | 2.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 52% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.92 | 1.70 |
| Defense | 45% | 60% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.00 | 4.75 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0% | 50% |
| Takedown Defense | 80% | 100% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Jhonata Diniz vs. Karl Williams Betting Picks
This fight presents a classic striker versus grappler scenario, where Diniz’s striking aggression meets Williams’ strategic grappling and superior defense. The betting odds favor Williams at -205 against Diniz at +170, reflecting confidence in Williams’ more rounded skill set and his ability to control the pace and location of the fight. Given Williams’ impressive defensive metrics and his ability to manage more extended fights, as seen in his average fight time of 15:00 compared to Diniz’s 5:14, his approach might just slow Diniz down and exploit his defensive gaps.
While Diniz’s undefeated streak is impressive, his high strike absorption rate poses a significant risk, especially against a tactician like Williams. Therefore, the better pick seems to be Karl Williams, who not only has the tools to win but also the strategic mind to implement a winning game plan against a heavy striker like Diniz.
Free Pick: Karl Williams -205
Both fighters are positioned to make a statement; thus, this fight is not just any other bout but one that could be defining their career. For fans and gamblers, the UFC Apex promises to be a thrilling affair because of what it brings together in terms of strategy, skill and heart. This contest among others on the card illustrates some of the premium matchup selection at UFC on ESPN 61 thereby providing excitement while revealing how MMA has changed over time.