Free MLB Picks For Today, Saturday 8/10/2024
Game 1 Texas Rangers vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Rangers at Yankees Game 1—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi in 20 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander fans 24% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 50.9% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon to start for NY. Rodon in 23 starts an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefty is fanning 25.8% with 7.2% walks. Grounders are 32.5% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Eovaldi on the road has an ERA of 4.57 and WHIP of 1.40. Rodon in his past eight starts carries an ERA of 6.64 and allowed 2.9 home runs per nine innings. Texas over their past ten games has an ERA of 6.07 in their bullpen. The Yankees trend over at home and the Rangers do on the road. Play Texas and NY over 9.5 in Game 1.
Game 2 Texas Rangers vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Rangers at Yankees Game 2–Cody Bradford will start for Texas. Bradford appeared in five games this year delivering an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander fans 24.2% with 4% walks. Ground balls served at 35.7% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Gerrit Cole to start the opener for NY. Cole has eight starts with an ERA of 5.09 and WHIP of 1.40. The veteran fans 23.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.9% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Rangers are batting .209 with the Yankees at .283. The Texas bullpen has an ERA of 5.87 on the road. The Rangers are 17-34 as a road underdog with a -14.53-unit loss. They have lost five of six on the road. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Athletics at Blue Jays—Osvaldo Bido to start for Oakland. Bido appeared in ten games this season producing an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander strikes out 23.4% with 12.4% walks. Grounders are 27.9% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings. Yariel Rodriguez to start for Toronto. Rodriguez has 11 starts with an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.33. The rookie righty is fanning 24.1% with 12.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.2% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto at home has a -54-run differential where their bullpen has an ERA of 5.57. Oakland had won five of seven on the road when this series began. The Blue Jays are 28-29 at home with a -6.51-unit loss. Play Oakland +133.
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Tigers at Giants—Brant Huter expected to start for Detroit. Hurter appeared in one game allowing no runs with three strikeouts in three innings at home to the Royals. The lefthander was a seventh-round pick in 2021 who struggled in Triple A this season with an ERA of 5.80 with WHIP of 1.48 striking out 70 batters in 71 1/3rd innings. Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 24 starts with an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 20.1% with 6.3% walks. Grounders are 56.9% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Detroit is hitting .205 in their past ten games. SF bullpen in this span an ERA of 2.76. Webb has better numbers at home. The Tigers bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.71. San Francisco is 6-2 to the under in their past eight at home with the Tigers going under in four of five away. Play Detroit and San Francisco under.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Astros at Red Sox—Spencer Arrighetti will start for Houston. Arrighetti in 20 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 5.33 with WHIP of 1.52. The righthander fans 26.4% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.8% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.21 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Josh Winckowski is the starter for Boston. Winckowski appeared in 26 games with an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.41. The righty is striking out 16.7% with 9% walks. Ground balls are 48.4% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arrighetti on the road has an ERA of 6.61 and having control problems. Boston in their past ten games is hitting .299 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The Astros in this period are hitting .221. Houston on the road with 27-29 with a -6.56-unit loss. Play Boston.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Padres at Marlins—Matt Waldron is the starter for San Diego. Waldron has 23 starts this season dealing with an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 22% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.5% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Roddery Munoz to start for Miami. Munoz has fourteen starts with an ERA of 5.68 and WHIP of 1.45. Righty fans 19% with 11.3% walks. Grounders are 32.4% with 2.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego in their past ten games is batting .283 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The Marlins bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.12 where they have a -96-run differential. Miami pitching is surrendering .263 hitting at home. Miami is 23-37 at home with a -10.6-unit loss. The Padres on the road sit 34-23 with a +11.74-unit return. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -105.
LA Angels vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Angels at Nationals—Griffin Canning to start for LA. Canning has 23 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander has seen his Ks fall to 17.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls are 40.1% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in 23 starts has an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.52. The lefthander strikes out 17.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 46% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
LA is hitting .250 against left-handed starters. The Nationals bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.58. Their pitching staff is allowing .255 hitting at home. The team mark behind Corbin is 6-17 with a -8.24-unit loss. Washington has lost 8 of their past 12. Play LA -106.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Cardinals at Royals—Andre Pallante will start for St Louis. Pallante in 20 appearances deals an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander strikes out 17.8% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 62.5% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. Michael Wacha is the starter for KC. Wacha in 20 starts puts up an ERA of 3.55 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran fans 19.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC bats .268 at home where they have a +62-run differential. Palante in his past four starts allowed 13 earned runs in 22 innings. Wacha’s numbers have been better at home. The Royals are 22-10 as a home favorite with a +3.69-unit return. Play KC -130.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Reds at Brewers—Nick Martinez is the starter for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in 32 games in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 19.7% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 37% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Tobias Myers will start for Milwaukee. Myers has 17 appearances with an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.14. The righty is fanning 21.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.3% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.40 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Brewers are batting .303. Their bullpen ERA at home has an ERA of 3.61. Myers has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his past four starts. The Reds bullpen over their past ten games has an ERA of 4.91. Milwaukee is 25-14 as a home favorite with a +3.12-unit return. Cincinnati bats .235 on the road. Play Milwaukee -128.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Guardians at Twins—Gavin Williams is the starter for Cleveland. Williams in 7 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander strikes out 26.2% with 8.7% walks. Grounders are 38.3% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.35 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has 19 starts with an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP of 1.23. The righty is fanning 20.9% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.1% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Twins bat .266 at home where they have a +42-run differential. After losing the opener of this series the Guardians had dropped six straight games with their pitching staff getting pounded. Williams in his past four starts allowed 12 earned runs in 18 2/3rd innings. The Twins are 22-14 when lined between -134 and -104 with a +5.0-unit return. The team record behind Williams is 2-5 with a -3.49-unit loss. Play Minnesota -115.
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Cubs at White Sox—Justin Steele is the starter for Chicago Cubs. Steele has 18 starts on the campaign putting up an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander fans 23.4% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in 24 games with an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.49. The veteran strikes out 16.5% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 35.9% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Cubs are putting up 5.6 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.43 with the White Sox at home an ERA of 4.64. The Cubs are 8-3 to the over in their past eleven. The team is 12-9 to the over behind Flexen. Play Cubs and White Sox over 8.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Orioles at Rays—Corbin Burnes is the starter for Baltimore. Burnes in 23 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 2.63 with WHIP of 1.06. The veteran strikes out 22.9% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls are 49.3% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot to start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.92 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 26.7% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.3% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Orioles have won nine of ten against the Rays. Baltimore pitching limits opponents to .223 hitting on the road. The Rays are batting .225 against right-handed starters. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.38 on the road. Play Baltimore.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Braves at Rockies—Max Fried is the starter for Atlanta. Fried in 19 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander fans 22% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 59% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson has 17 starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 5.84 with WHIP of 1.64. The righthander strikes out only 12.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls are 52.4% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Fried in his past three starts allowed 12 earned runs with 12 walks in 21 1/3rd innings. The Braves bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.85 with the Rockies at 4.85. Hudson at home has an ERA of 8.26 with WHIP of 2.13 struggling with command. Play Atlanta and Colorado over 10.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Phillies at Diamondbacks—Aaron Nola is the starter for Philadelphia. Nola in 23 starts delivers an ERA of 3.54 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 23.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls served at 44.5% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen has 19 starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.26. The righty is striking out 22.9% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.7% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .266 at home but their pitching staff surrenders .268. The Phillies in their past ten games are batting .265 and putting up 5 runs per game. Both bullpens over this period have ERA’s around 4.5. Gallen has not been as dominant at home this season. Nola in his past four starts is allowing 11 earned runs with 7 walks in 22 2/3rd innings. The Diamondbacks are 34-22 to the over at home. Play Philadelphia and Arizona over 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Pirates at Dodgers—Paul Skenes is the starter for Pittsburgh. Skenes has fourteen starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 1.99 with WHIP of 0.94. The rookie righthander has an elite 32.3% strikeout rate with 5.7% walks. Grounders dished at 49.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. River Ryan started for LA. Ryan in three starts has an ERA of 1.72 with WHIP of 1.28. The rookie righty has a K mark of 21.9% with 14.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.3% with 0.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .228 on the road. Their bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.80. LA pitching limits opponents to .224 hitting at home. The Dodgers are 3-0 behind Ryan. They have a +42-run differential at home. LA won 9 of 13 at home. Play Los Angeles +105.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/10/2024
Mets at Mariners—Sean Manaea is the starter for NY. Manaea in 22 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander fans 24.5% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 23 starts with an ERA of 3.05 and WHIP of 0.89. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 4.6% walks. Grounders are 44.1% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is hitting .203 at home. NY bats .268 on the road where they have a +30-run differential. In their past ten games they have a bullpen ERA of 2.32 with the Mariners at 5.45. The Mets are 31-25 on the road with a +6.46-unit return. The team record behind Manaea is 15-7 with a +7.00-unit return. The Mariners behind Gilbert is 11-12 with a -3.08-unit loss. Play NY +117.