Free MLB Picks For Today, Friday 8/9/2024
Game 1 Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Guardians at Twins Game 1—Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland in Game 1. McKenzie at sixteen starts produces an ERA of 5.11 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 14.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35% with 2.26 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.45 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 21 starts has an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 0.98. The righty is fanning 26.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.2% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland has won six straight against the Twins. They have a +39-run differential on the road where their bullpen ERA is 2.79. In their past ten games they are putting up 5.7 runs per game. Play Cleveland +104 in Game 1.
Game 2 Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Guardians at Twins Game 2—Alex Cobb will start for Cleveland in Game 2. Cobb expected to return after a hip injury. The righthander in 2023 posted an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander struck out 20.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls were 57.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland appeared in six games with an ERA of 6.58 and WHIP of 1.65. The righty is fanning 20.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls were 46.9% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings. He returns from the minors for this start.
The Pick:
The Twins bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.29. Cobb may not go deep into this game so the Guardians bullpen will be taxed. In their past ten games the Guardians are putting up 5.7 runs per game and the Twins are at 5.4. Play Cleveland and Minnesota over 7.5 in Game 2.
LA Angels vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Angels at Nationals—Jose Soriano is the starter for LA. Soriano appeared in 20 games on the year putting up an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 19.8% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 58.7% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Mitchell Parker to start for Washington. Parker has an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.19. The rookie lefthander has 19.8% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.1% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Nationals have lost 8 of 11 games. Their bullpen ERA is 6.58 in this period with the Angels at 2.03 ERA. LA is 15-21 as a road underdog with a +6.03-unit return. Washington when lined between -139 to -109 is 9-9 with a -1.79-unit loss. Play LA +111.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Orioles at Rays—Zach Eflin to start for Baltimore. Eflin has 21 starts with an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 18.9% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.9% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot will start for Baltimore. Pepiot in 17 starts has an ERA of 3.92 and WHIP of 1.08. The righty is fanning 26.7% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.3% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .228 at home. Orioles pitching limits opponents to .223 batting on the road. They own a +55-run differential on the road. Baltimore has won eight of nine against the Rays. In their past ten games they are hitting .275 and putting up 6.5 runs per game. Baltimore is 34-22 on the road with a +5.46-unit return. Tampa Bay is 30-29 at home with a -5.9-unit loss. Play Baltimore -134.
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Rangers at Yankees—Cody Bradford will start for Texas. Bradford appeared in five games this year delivering an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander fans 24.2% with 4% walks. Ground balls served at 35.7% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon to start for NY. Rodon in 23 starts an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefty is fanning 25.8% with 7.2% walks. Grounders are 32.5% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Rangers are batting .209 with the Yankees at .283. Texas bullpen has an ERA of 5.87 on the road. The Rangers are 17-34 as a road underdog with a -14.53-unit loss. They have lost five of six on the road. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Athletics at Blue Jays—Mitch Spence will start for Oakland. Spence appeared in 25 games on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander strikes out 19.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls are 47.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 16% with 18.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 43% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.23 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Toronto in their past ten games is hitting .263 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. The Athletics in this period are hitting .211. Spence on the road has an ERA of 5.22. Berrios has been much better at home. The team mark behind Berrios is 14-9 with a +4.15-unit return. The Athletics are 19-38 as a road underdog with a -5.67-unit loss. Play Toronto -126.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Astros at Red Sox—Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco in 21 starts this year carries an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander strikes out 24.4% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.41 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 3.09. The righty is fanning 22% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 55.3% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Red Sox are hitting .299 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The Astros in this period are batting .221. They have an -8-run differential on the road and have lost four of seven there. Houston is 27-29 on the road with a -6.56-unit loss. Play Boston -115.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Padres at Marlins—Martin Perez to start for San Diego. Perez in 17 starts this year puts up an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP of 1.57. The lefthander has a K mark of 17.8% with 8.1% walks. Grounders sit at 44.3% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Edward Cabrera is the starter for Miami. Cabrera has 11 starts with an ERA of 5.96 and WHIP of 1.49. The righthander strikes out 29.8% with 13% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .224 against left-handed starters. The Padres are batting .283 in their past ten games and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The Marlins bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.01 where they have a -90-run differential. San Diego has won 14 of 16. Miami is 23-36 at home with a -9.63 unit loss. Play San Diego -139.
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Cubs at White Sox—Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago Cubs. Taillon has 19 starts in the season carrying an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran strikes out 19% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Garret Crochet to start for CWS. Crochet in 23 starts an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 1.01. The lefthander has an elite 33.9% K rate with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 47% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The White Sox are hitting .216 at home where they have a -98-run differential. The Cubs have won five of six against the White Sox. In their past ten games they are putting up 5.6 runs per game. The White Sox have a bullpen ERA of 4.64 at home. They are 17-40 at home with a -17.63-unit loss. The team mark behind Crochet is 7-16 with a -8.17-unit loss. Play Cubs -130.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Cardinals at Royals—Miles Mikolas is the starter for St Louis. Mikolas in 23 starts produces an ERA of 5.12 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 16.1% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls are 41.7% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzon to start for KC. Lorenzon has 20 appearances with an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 18.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.97 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
KC is batting .268 at home where they have a +62-run differential. St Louis Mikolas in his past four starts has allowed 15 earned runs with five homers in 21 1/3rd innings. The Royals are 37-24 at home with a +5.33-unit return. Play Kansas City -116.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Reds at Brewers—Carson Spiers to start for Cincinnati. Spiers appeared in 12 starts this season delivering an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 20.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale will start for Milwaukee. Civale has 22 starts with an ERA of 5.14 and WHIP of 1.41. The righty is striking out 22% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls are 35.2% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati pitching allows .215 hitting on the road where they have a +43-run differential. The Reds bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.66. They are 14-13 against teams that have a .540 or higher win percentage with a +5.92-unit return. The team mark behind Civale is 1-4 with a -2.63-unit loss. Play Cincinnati +115.
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Braves at Rockies—Grant Holmes to start for Atlanta. Holmes in 12 appearances on the year delivers an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 25.6% with 4.7% walks. Grounders are 43.2% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Gordon to start for Atlanta. Gordon has four starts with an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.36. The righty is striking out 17.6% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.2% with 2.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Five straight losses for Atlanta. In their past ten games they are batting .235 with a bullpen ERA of 5.85. Atlanta is 52-43 as a favorite with a -12.59-unit loss. The Rockies sit 25-31 as a home underdog with a +2.83-unit return. Play Colorado +142.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Phillies at Diamondbacks—Zack Wheeler will start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has 22 starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 2.77 and WHIP of 0.98. The righthander fans 27.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 41.4% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson appeared in 21 games with an ERA of 4.65 with WHIP of 1.37. The righty is striking out 18.1% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls are 40.8% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .285 in their past ten games. They have won 12 of 14 games when this series began with the Phillies losing seven of ten. The Diamondbacks are 7-5 when lined between +120 and +150 with a +4.09 unit return. Play Arizona +143.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Mets at Mariners—Jose Quintana to start for NY. Quintana in 22 starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander fans 18.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 45% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 22.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.9% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle bats .203 at home. Their pitching staff limits opponents to .208 hitting at home and they have a bullpen ERA of 3.27. The Mariners are 37-20 to the under at home. Play New York and Seattle under 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Pirates at Dodgers—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in 22 starts puts up an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 21.1% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls are 41.5% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty to start for LA. Flaherty has 19 starts with an ERA of 2.80 with WHIP of 0.96. The veteran has an elite 31.8% strikeout rate with 4.5% walks. Ground balls are 42.5% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
LA in their past ten games is batting .221. The Pirates in this period are putting up 5.1 runs per game. The Dodgers bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.36. The team record behind Keller is 16-6 with a +9.87 unit return. They are 9-9 when lined between +136 and +166 with a +4.28-unit return. The Pirates have won 9 of 13 on the road. Play Pittsburgh +165.
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 8/9/2024
Tigers at Giants—Brant Hurter to start for Detroit. Hurter has one MLB appearance allowing no runs and three strikeouts in three innings at home to the Royals. The lefthander is a 7th round draft pick in 2021 who worked 71 1/3rd innings in Triple A with an ERA of 5.80 and WHIP of 1.48 striking out 70 batters. Robbie Ray to start for San Franciso. Ray in three starts has an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.12. The lefthander fans 35.6% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.3% with 3.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit in their past ten games is batting .211. Their pitching staff limits opponents to .237 hitting on the road. The Giants are 6-1 to the under in their past seven home games. The Tigers are under in four of six on the road. San Francisco bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.76. Play Detroit and San Francisco under 7.5.