Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 8/7/2024
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Diamondbacks at Guardians—Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona. Pfaadt in 22 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.97 with a WHIP of 1.13. The righthander fans 22.1% with 5.2% walks. Grounders are 43.5% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Carrasco to start for Cleveland. Carrasco has 20 starts with an ERA of 5.53 and WHIP of 1.39. The veteran strikes out 19.7% with 7.3% walks. Grounders dished at 46.9% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland in their past ten games is hitting .251 and putting up 5.4 runs per games. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.52. Arizona pitching is allowing .256 batting. Pfaadt in his past two starts allowed eight earned runs in 11 innings. The Guardians are 35-18 at home with a +7.34-unit return. The Diamondbacks are 16-20 facing teams with a .540 or higher win percentage. Play Cleveland +119.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Twins at Cubs—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan at 22 starts on the season dealing an ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 0.99. The righthander fans 27.3% with 4.3% walks. Grounders are 35.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Javier Assad starts for Chicago. Assad has 20 starts with an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.37. The righty is striking out 20.8% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.56 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Cubs pitching holds opponents to .229 hitting at home. Chicago bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.03. They have won eight of 13 when this series opened. The Cubs are 11-8 as a home underdog with a +3.96-unit return. Minnesota is 11-11 behind Ryan with a -3.89-unit loss. Play Chicago +124.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Astros at Rangers—Yusei Kikuchi is the starter for Houston. Kikuchi in 23 starts on the year produces an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander fans 27.2% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.8% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.65 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Jose Urena to start for Texas. Urena appeared in 26 games with an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 16.4% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.2% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Texas in their past ten games is batting .235. Houston is batting .255 on the road. The Rangers have lost seven of ten. Texas is 17-32 as an underdog with a -12.53-unit loss. Play Houston -120.
Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
White Sox at Athletics—Davis Martin will start for Chicago. Martin has two appearances allowing five earned runs with eight strikeouts and six walks in 6 1/3rd innings. A 14th round pick in 2018 who had mixed results in the minor leagues. The righthander worked 63 1/3rd innings in 2022 with Chicago posting an ERA of 4.83 with WHIP of 1.29. He had 17.8% Ks with 7.1% walks. Ground balls were 36.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes appeared in 15 games with an ERA of 4.77 and WHIP of 1.20. The righty is fanning 18.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 22.3% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago bats .217 on the road with a -153-run differential. In their past ten games the White Sox have a bullpen ERA of 7.09. Oakland has won 11 of 16 games. Chicago is 23-85 as an underdog with a -50.39-unit loss. Oakland is 10-3 as a favorite with a +4.33-unit return. Play Oakland on run line -1.5 runs at -102.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Padres at Pirates—Michael King is the starter for San Diego. King in 22 appearances in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.16 The righthander fans 28% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.5% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Marco Gonzales will start for Pittsburgh. Gonzales has six starts with an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP of 1.52. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 15.7% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 41.2% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .277 on the road with the Pirates .233 at home. The Padres have a +59-run differential on the road. As this series began the Padres had won 11 of 13. The Pirates bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.78. The team record behind King is 13-8 with a +4.29-run differential. Pittsburgh is 32-34 as an underdog with a +4.96-unit return. Play San Diego -140.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Reds at Marlins—Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott has 22 starts on the season dealing with an ERA of 3.41 and WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander fans 18.9% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 32.6% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Valente Bellozo is the starter for Miami. Bellozo in three starts has an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 0.93. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 27.5% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.79. Miami is batting .226 against left handers. Cincinnati pitching on the road holds opponents to .216 hitting. The Marlins have a -86 run differential at home with the Reds at +39 at home. Miami is 22-36 at home with a -10.72 unit loss. Play Cincinnati -147.
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Giants at Nationals—Blake Snell is the starter for San Francisco. Snell has 11 starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander has an elite 31% K rate with 10.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.8% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.09 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin at 23 starts with an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 21.4% with 5.9% walks. Grounders are 43.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Snell had a 114-pitch count in his last start. Prior he had 103 pitches. San Francisco pitching is allowing .260 hitting on the road where they have a -26 run differential. In their past ten games the Nationals are hitting .282 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. The Giants bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.39. They are 33-25 on the road with a -10.22-unit loss. Washington is 42-54 as an underdog with a +5.08-unit return. Play Washington +141.
Game 1 LA Angels vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Angels at Yankees Game 1—Davis Daniel is the starter for LA. Daniel has four starts posting an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 21.1% with 2.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.2% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.62 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil in 21 starts an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty is fanning 28.5% with 11.4% walks. Grounders are 38.1% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York in their past ten games is hitting .285 and putting up seven runs per game. The Angels in this period is hitting .235. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.63. LA is 13-24 facing teams with a .540 or higher win percentage with a -7.43-unit loss. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at -115 in Game 1.
Game 2 LA Angels vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Angels at Yankees Game 2—Carson Fulmer is the starter for LA. Fulmer appeared in 28 games this season, dealing an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 23.8% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.5% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Will Warren to start for NY. Warren has one starts allowing four earned runs with six strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings at Philadelphia. An 8th round pick in 2021 out of Southeastern Louisiana. He has 20 starts in the minors this year with an ERA of 6.11 and WHIP of 1.41. He struck out 115 batters in 95 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Angels have won 11 of 19 games. Their bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.52. Warren form a concern here. NY bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.71. Play LA +190 in Game 2.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Orioles at Blue Jays—Trevor Rogers will start for Baltimore. Rogers has 22 starts on the year, dealing an ERA of 4.76 and WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander fans 17.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.5% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Bowden Francis to start for Toronto. Francis appeared in 18 games with an ERA of 5.64 and WHIP of 1.46. The righthander strikes out 18.3% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 34.3% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Baltimore in their past ten games is hitting .299 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. The Blue Jays in this period are hitting .279 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. Blue Jays bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.02 and the Orioles on the road at 4.97. Toronto is 31-22 to the over at home They are 4-0 to the over behind Francis. Play Baltimore and Toronto over 9.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Brewers at Braves—Freddy Peralta is the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta has 22 starts this season dealing an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.9% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale in 20 starts carries an ERA of 2.71 and WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander posts an elite 32.2% K rate with 5.8% walks. Ground balls are 47.1% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta in their past ten games is hitting .220. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.76 at home with Brewers 3.01 on the road. The Braves are 36-18 to the under at home and 17-10 to the under facing teams with a .540 or higher win percentage. Play Milwaukee and Atlanta under 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Rays at Cardinals—Taj Bradley will start for Tampa Bay. Bradley has 15 starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 2.71 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander has an elite 30% strikeout rate with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Erick Fedde is the starter for St Louis. Fedde in 22 starts puts up an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.14. The righty is striking out 21.4% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls are 44% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay pitching is allowing .257 batting on the road where they have a -16-run differential. The Cardinals have won four of five games. Bradley’s numbers have not been as good on the road. Play St Louis -115.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Red Sox at Royals—Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has 22 starts on the year dealing an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander fans 23.4% with 6% walks. Grounders dished at 33.8% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. Cole Ragans to start for KC. Ragans in 23 starts has an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander strikes out 28.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.2% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past ten games is batting .311 and putting up 7 runs per game. KC in this span putting up 5.8 runs per game while hitting .266. Both bullpens struggling in this period. The Red Sox are 33-21 to the over on the road. Play Boston and KC over 8.5.
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Mets at Rockies—Paul Blackburn will start for NY. Blackburn has ten starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 19% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.9% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in 22 starts an ERA of 4.97 with WHIP of 1.41. The righty is striking out 20.1% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Colorado has won 8 of their past 11 at home. NY has lost six of ten on the road. In their past ten games they are hitting .243. The Rockies are 25-29 as a home underdog with a +5.01-unit return. NY is 34-30 as a favorite with a -5.45-unit loss. Play Colorado +142.
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Tigers at Mariners—Tarik Skubal is the starter for Detroit. Skubal has 22 starts this year delivering an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander fans 29.9% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls are 46.4% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby in 23 starts has an ERA of 3.04 and WHIP of 1.00. The righthander strikes out 24% with 2.8% walks. Grounders come in at 40.3% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is batting .204 at home. Detroit does have a +12-run differential on the road. They have won 8 of 11 on the road. The Tigers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.80. The team mark behind Skubal is 13-9 with a +6.3-unit return. Seattle behind Kirby is 10-13 with a -5.62-unit loss. Play Detroit +121.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/7/2024
Phillies at Dodgers—Tyler Phillips to start for Philadelphia. Phillips has five appearances with an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander fans 19.6% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 39% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings. Gavin Stone will start for LA. Stone in 20 starts an ERA of 3.63 and WHIP of 1.30. The righty is fanning 18.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls are 43.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia in their past ten games is batting .231. LA pitching holds opponents to .223 hitting at home. LA has won 10 of 14 at home. Phillies bullpen in their past ten games carries an ERA of 4.93. Phillips will likely need support with that high HR rate. Philadelphia is 17-19 facing a team with a .540 or higher win percentage with a -5.67-unit 89loss. Play LA -133.