Free MLB Picks For Today, Monday 8/5/2024
New York Mets vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Mets at Cardinals—Sean Manaea to start for New York. Manaea has 21 starts on the year posting an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander fans 23.8% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.8% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Andrew Pallante is the starter for St Louis. Pallante appeared in 19 games with an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander strikes out 18.5% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 61.8% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
NY is batting .266 on the road. St Louis has a -14-run differential at home. The Cardinals have lost 7 of 11 games. They are batting .226 against left-handed starters. Play Mets -114.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Diamondbacks at Guardians—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in 18 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 23.5% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 46.6% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen has 18 starts with an ERA of 5.67 and WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander strikes out 19.7% with 9.1% walks. Grounders are 42.7% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .275 against lefthanders and putting up 5.7 runs per game on them. They sit with a +28 run differential on the road. In their past ten games the Guardians are hitting .227. The Diamondbacks have won 9 of 11 games. They are 29-27 on the road with a +5.75 unit return. Play Arizona -124.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Reds at Marlins—Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in 31 games dealing an ERA of 3.65 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 19.4% with 3.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.9% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Roddery Munoz to start for Miami. Munoz appeared in 13 games with an ERA of 5.45 and WHIP of 1.38. The rookie righty is fanning 19.8% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.1% with 2.59 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.77 suggests an even higher ERA based on his form.
The Pick:
The Reds have a +32-run differential on the road as their pitching staff holds opponents to .214 batting on the road. First home game for Miami after a nine-game road trip. Cincinnati bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.72. Play Cincinnati -140.
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Giants at Nationals—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has 23 starts on the year dealing an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 1.27. The righthander fans 20.3% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 57.5% with limited home run damage. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in 22 starts has an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander strikes out 16.8% with 7.4% walks. Grounders are 46.8% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. His FIP if 4.43 suggesting a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Webb on the road has an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.46. Giants pitching is allowing .262 hitting on the road where they have a -29-run differential. In their past ten games the Nationals are batting .261. SF bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.54. They are 23-34 on the road with a -9.8-unit loss. The Nationals are 41-53 as an underdog with a +4.98-unit return. Play Washington +167.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Astros at Rangers—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown has 22 appearances on the season producing an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.40. The righthander fans 25.3% with 8.8% walks. Grounders dealt at 47.7% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Andrew Heaney starts for Texas. Heaney in 22 appearances has an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander strikes out 22.6% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls filled at 33.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Texas pitching limits opponents to .210 hitting at home. The Rangers in their past ten games are batting .264. Their bullpen has an ERA of 3.05 at home. Houston lost 5 of 7. They are 42-37 as a favorite with a -10.63-unit loss. Play Texas +111.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Twins at Cubs—David Festa to start for Minnesota. Festa appeared in four games this year delivering an ERA of 6.98 with WHIP of 1.40. The rookie righthander fans 24.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls are 29.3% with 2.79 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Hendricks is the starter for Chicago. Hendricks has 20 appearances with an ERA of 6.86 and WHIP of 1.48. The veteran strikes out 16.2% with 7% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.1% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago pitching holds opponents to .229 hitting at home. They have won four of five at home. The Twins bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.19 with the Cubs pen in the better form. Play Chicago +110.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Red Sox at Royals—James Paxton to start for Boston. Paxton in 19 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.52 with WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander strikes out 16.8% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls served at 36% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer starts for KC. Singer has 22 starts with an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 24.2% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 49% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston is batting .262 against right-handed starters putting up 5 runs per game against them. The Royals in their past ten games are hitting .283 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Both bullpens have been hammered over their past ten games with the Royals posting an ERA of 5.40 and the Red Sox at 6.81. Boston is 31-21 to the over this year. Play Boston and KC over 9.5.
Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
White Sox at Athletics—Ky Bush to start for Chicago. Bush expected to make his MLB debut here. The lefthander was a second-round pick in 2021 who struggled in the minors. He has pitched 99 2/3rd innings in two minor league teams this season allowing 32 earned runs with 94 strikeouts. JP Sears starts for Oakland. Sears in 22 starts has an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander strikes out 18.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.6% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past ten games are batting .192 with a bullpen ERA of 7.93. The White Sox have lost 20 straight getting outscored 29-11 against the Twins in their three games series. Chicago is 23-84 as an underdog with a -49.39-unit loss. Oakland is 9-3 as a home favorite with a +3.83-unit return. Play Oakland on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 8/5/2024
Phillies at Dodgers—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in 22 starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.09. The veteran fans 23.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls are 44.8% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Glasnow to start for LA. Glasnow hs 20 starts with an ERA of 3.50 and WHIP of 0.96. The righthander has an elite 32.8% strikeout rate with 7.2% walks. Ground balls are 47.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Phillies are hitting .226 with LA at .234. Dodger pitching holds opponents to .220 hitting at home. The Phillies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.55. The Dodgers missing a lot of key bats from their lineup. Play Philadelphia and LA under 8.