Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians Pick 8/5/24 – Major League Baseball is advancing, and it is in the heat of August that we will see an interesting matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks (60-52) and Cleveland Guardians (67-44) on a calm Monday Night at Progressive Field. It is not just two clubs with good records this season but gamblers and fans also have to watch out for subtle tactics employed during the game due to its importance. For our premium expert analysis picks, we delve into all the details of this game and get set for a game that could be very determinative for playoff qualification.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians Pick 8/5/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Monday, August 5, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET |
| Where: | Progressive Field |
| TV: | |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Arizona Diamondbacks (60-52) vs. Cleveland Guardians (67-44)
In terms of team statistics, the Diamondbacks have had a powerful batting order this year. They have managed to make 980 hits, scored 575 runs and hit for a .258 average over their opponents leading to 128 home runs. Their on base percentage (.329) and slugging percentage (.424) make them one of the most formidable offenses in the league. However, they have a collective ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.34 among pitchers on their staff which can be concerning when facing disciplined teams like the Guardians.
On the other hand, offensively the Cleveland Guardians have been less explosive at .242 batting average; they got 518 runs and 886 hits throughout this season than in pitching where they are really good at it; however, this is not to say that their offensive play has been less effective as compared to that of Arizona because with just few mistakes while pitching they could suppress opposing hitters quite well and still end up winning games against these teams thereby lowering the guardian’s number of runs per game. With an impressive team ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.22 which means that their rate at which they allow base runners (both walks & hits) is quite low, it can be seen that this team knows how to pitch effectively.
Zac Gallen (9-5, 3.56 ERA) vs. Logan Allen (8-4, 5.67 ERA)
It is proof of his durability and talent that Zac Gallen has maintained a 3.56 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in the Diamondbacks season up to now, covering 93.2 innings so far. He has really been one of the forces keeping Arizona in contention with 92 strikeouts and just eight home runs given up. Such things will be important if he is playing against a team like Cleveland, which can hurt every pitcher’s mistakes.
This is in sharp contrast to Cleveland’s Logan Allen who, despite 8-4 record, has a tough time with an ERA of 5.67 and a WHIP of 1.55 across 87.1 innings in the game. This season Allen’s vulnerability can be seen with his having allowed100 hits and 18 home runs. The disparity between the two pitchers’ ERAs and WHIPs give Arizona a clear advantage from the mound which might be critical in a closely contested contest.
Based on pitching matchups only, this game might swing to Arizona when these two pitchers get together. Conversely, it becomes equalizing when you consider Cleveland’s better bullpen and tactical gameplay approach as well. However, both Gallen and Allen will face significant challenges; Gallen will have to navigate through a less explosive but strategic Cleveland lineup whereas Allen will need to keep the lid on a power-packed Arizona offense.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+136), Total Odds: 8.5
Because of their superior offensive statistics and Gallen’s pitching advantage, the betting odds slightly favor the Diamondbacks. The over on 8.5 runs may be swayed by recent trends in which both teams tend towards high-scoring games..
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
Arizona’s current form demonstrates a forceful strike with seven of their final eight games going OVER on the total. Their performance away from home (4-1 SU in last 5 games on the road) is also indicative of their competence to deliver results under pressure during away matches. However, they have lost 6 SU against Cleveland in their previous 8 games on the road at Progressive Field for them to have been having historical issues there.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
Cleveland has been consistent; the overall number of points exceeded in five out of six past games. They demonstrate a good home form with six wins from eight at Progressive Field and, therefore, might enjoy some home ground advantage against Arizona. Additionally, their tendency to have low scoring games versus National League opponents as seen in the under trend during their last 6 games poses a unique counterpoint to Arizona’s increased runs notwithstanding.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians 8/5/24 Betting Picks
egarding the pitching match-up, statistical trends, and current form; this game seems to slightly favor Arizona Diamondbacks who has a greater pitcher, Zac Gallen. However, the Guardians’ tactical sophistication and strong bullpen depth cannot be overlooked.
Lastly, it may be prudent to back Arizona for victory alone with an alternate look at the over on total runs given recent scoring trends of both teams. For instance, there are prop bets that may involve looking at the strikeout numbers for Gallen as one considers his consistency in display this year. Today’s top free MLB analysis predicts a close game based on strategy and pitching.