San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick 8/4/24 – San Francisco Giants will face the Cincinnati Reds this Sunday, which is a midseason match that may be very important for playoff seeding. The two teams have nearly identical records with just below .500. Therefore, we are looking at a closely contested series. Whichever way it goes, the outcome of this game could be season defining to both sides. To stream live on Roku and catch all the action from Great American Ball Park as both teams fight for points in National League rankings, you should look forward to 12:05 PM ET for free top MLB picks.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick 8/4/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 12:05 PM ET |
| Where: | Great American Ball Park |
| TV: | Roku |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
San Francisco Giants (55-57) vs. Cincinnati Reds (53-57)
The Giants have a slightly better record and an uneven but promising season. They have played 483 runs against 912 hits with a .244 batting average and .315 on-base percentage. Their power-hitting has been moderate, with a .394 slugging percent containing just 111 home-runs. Pitching has really let them down this year; an ERA of 4.27 and WHIP of 1.32 are the worst in baseball, but they still manage to strike out lots of batters (954 Ks so far).
In contrast, the Reds hitting has not been as good as of the Giants, batting only an average of .228, with lower on-base percentage of .302; however they have eclipsed their fellow franchise by hitting more home runs with a total count of 119 dingers in all games played. Comparatively, the pitching staff is stronger than that one from San Francisco since it holds a smaller ERA of 3.87 and WHIP amounting to just 1.25 suggesting control over the game field could be tighter. The walk rates for these two teams are virtually indistinguishable which shows tight pitching from both sides.
Robbie Ray (1-1, 4.82 ERA) vs. Carson Spiers (4-2, 3.46 ERA)
Robbie Ray, starting for the Giants, has had a turbulent season. In just 9.1 innings pitched, his 4.82 ERA and 1.29 WHIP reveal struggles, especially with home runs (3 allowed). However, his strikeout ability remains evident with 12 Ks, showing that if he can control the zone, he has the potential to dominate. Ray’s challenge will be managing his command under pressure and limiting the damage from long balls.
For the Reds, Carson Spiers presents a stark contrast. With a solid 3.46 ERA across 52 innings, Spiers has demonstrated consistency and control. His 1.19 WHIP and 45 strikeouts against only 11 walks indicate an ability to efficiently manage games. While he has also given up 5 homers, his overall performance suggests he can keep his team in the game by mitigating big innings.
When these two pitchers clash, the game could hinge on Ray’s ability to rebound from his early struggles and Spiers’ capacity to continue his steady performance. The matchup will likely accentuate Ray’s high-risk, high-reward style against Spiers’ more balanced approach, making for an intriguing battle on the mound.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco Giants -1.5 +120, Total Odds: 9
The betting odds suggest a slight edge to the Giants despite their road woes, reflecting perhaps confidence in their slightly superior hitting and Ray’s strikeout capabilities. The total under 9 runs indicates expectations of strong pitching performances, particularly given both teams’ recent trends in games staying under the total runs.
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The Giants have shown resilience, going 6-2 SU in their last 8 games, yet their road record is a concern (3-8 SU in their last 11 road games). Their performance in 5 of their last 7 games suggests their pitching has found some rhythm, even if inconsistent.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati’s strong home record (8-4 SU in their last 12 at home) contrasts with their overall struggles. The total going under in 8 of their last 10 games against the Giants highlights a consistent pattern in matchups between these two, suggesting a potential pitching duel.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds 8/4/24 Betting Picks
A cautious approach could be appropriate according to the analysis and current form. However, with their pitching concerns aside, the Giants are ahead in batting and recent form. Nevertheless, Spiers’ solid season stats for Reds coupled with a home advantage may just swing it in favor of Cincinnati in a close game.
Looking at the under on total runs might be wise when considering prop bets since trends should suggest as much. For those who want more risk, a moneyline bet on the Reds would pay off owing to their strong home record and reliability of Spiers.
This is because this projection is based on Spiers’ consistency as well as Reds’ strong home record which give them a slight edge over giants in closely contested games making it one of the top handicapper predictions today.