Free MLB Picks For Today, Saturday 8/3/2024
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Blue Jays at Yankees—Jose Berrios is the starter for Toronto. Berrios in 22 starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran fans 18% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.3% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.03 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his form. Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has 22 starts with an ERA of 4.34 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 25.3% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.9% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto in their past ten games is hitting .257 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. The Yankees bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.96. The team mark behind Berrios is 14-8 with a +5.15-unit return. As this series began the Yankees were 5-5 against the Blue Jays with a -0.76-unit loss. Play Toronto +160.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Cardinals at Cubs—Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson in 20 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.97 with WHIP of 1.34. The veteran fans 21.3% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 47.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon has 18 starts, with an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 19.1% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.1% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Taillon at home has an ERA of 2.68 with WHIP of 1.14. The Cubs bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.96. The Cardinals are 17-22 as a road underdog with a -1.66-unit loss. Their pitching staff surrenders .251 hitting on the road where they have a -22-run differential. They have lost six of nine. Play Chicago -116.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Brewers at Nationals—Aaron Civale will start for Milwaukee. Civale has 21 starts, in 2024 provides an ERA of 4.92 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander strikes out 22.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.3% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. DJ Herz to start for Washington. Herz in nine starts has an ERA of 4.79 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander fans 29.3% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.8% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Nationals are batting .251 and putting up 4.7 runs per game. The Brewers bat .253 on the road where they have a +41-run differential. Nationals pitching surrenders .254 batting at home where their bullpen has an ERA of 4.06. The team is 3-1 to the over behind Civale with Washington 5-3 to the over behind Herz. Play Milwaukee and Washington over 9.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Royals at Tigers—Michael Lorenzen is the starter for Kansas City. Lorenzen in 19 starts on the season dealing an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 17.9% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.3% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.16 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda has 19 appearances with an ERA of 6.72 and WHIP of 1.48. The veteran strikes out 18.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.4% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
After the opener of this series the Royals had won four straight against the Tigers. KC has a +25-run differential on the road with the Tigers -27 at home. Detroit is batting .225 against right-handed starters. In their past ten games KC is hitting .291 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. The Tigers are 25-29 at home with a -7.42-unit loss. Kansas City is 33-16 as a favorite with a +4.79-unit return. Play Kansas City -138.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Diamondbacks at Pirates—Jordan Montgomery is the starter for Arizona. Montgomery in 15 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 6.51 and WHIP of 1.69. The lefthander has seen his Ks fall to 14.2% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.52 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has 21 starts with an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander fans 21% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls delivered at 41.2% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .251 on the road where they have a +28-run differential. In their past ten games the Pirates are hitting .221. Pittsburgh has a bullpen ERA of 4.66 at home. The Diamondbacks are 21-20 on as a road underdog with a +5.95-unit return. Pittsburgh is 13-14 as a home favorite with a -4.65-unit loss. Play Arizona +103.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Red Sox at Rangers—Tanner Houck will start for Boston. Houck has 21 starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 2.79 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 21.8% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 55.5% with limited home run damage. Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 17 appearances has an ERA of 4.93 with WHIP of 1.37. The righty is striking out 24.4% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls served at 46.3% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past ten games is batting .299 and putting up 6.8 runs per game. The Red Sox have a +45-run differential on the road where they are 30-22 with a +6.61-unit return. Texas is 17-32 as an underdog with a -12.53-unit loss. Play Boston -106.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
White Sox at Twins—Garrett Crochet is the starter for Chicago. Crochet has 22 starts in the season producing an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.01. The lefthander has an elite 34.6% strikeout rate with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.8% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 20 starts an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.01. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.7% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .220 on the road where they have a -131-run differential. Minnesota bats .267 against left-handed starters putting up 4.9 runs per game on them. The White Sox have lost 17 straight. They are 23-82 as an underdog with a -47.39-unit loss. The Twins are 29-9 against teams with a .460-win percentage of lower with a +9.76-unit return. Chicago has a bullpen ERA of 5.41 on the road. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at +130.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Orioles at Guardians—Zach Eflin is the starter for Baltimore. Eflin in 20 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran fans 19.3% with 2.7% walks. Ground balls are 42.5% for the traded player with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Joey Cantillo to start for Cleveland. Cantillo in his MLB debut allowed three earned runs with three walks in 3 1/3rd innings at Philadelphia. A 16th round pick in 2017 who had ups and downs in the minor leagues. The lefthander worked 30 1/3rd innings in the minors this season allowing 14 earned runs with 39 Ks walking 19.
The Pick:
Cleveland has won eight of their past nine games. The Orioles have dropped five of six on the road. The Guardians are 35-15 at home with a +10.49-unit return. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.13 at home with the Orioles 4.23 on the road. Baltimore is 50-35 as a favorite with a -2.48-unit loss. Play Cleveland +116.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Giants at Reds—Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison has 18 starts with an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander strikes out 21.8% with 8% walks. Grounders are 41.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene is the starter for Cincinnati. Greene in 21 starts has an ERA of 2.97 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 27.1% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 35% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco pitching is allowing .268 hitting on the road where their bullpen has an ERA of 4.64. They are 22-33 on the road with a -9.25-unit loss. The Reds bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.38. Cincinnati has won 7 of 11 at home. The Giants have dropped 12 of 18 on the road. Play Cincinnati -133.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Rays at Astros—Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell in 21 starts delivers an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 21.4% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.5% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Ronel Blanco is the starter for Houston. Blanco has 20 starts with an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander strikes out 24.2% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.42 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his form.
The Pick:
Houston has a +57-run differential at home where their pitching staff allows .226 hitting. They bat .265 at home. Tampa Bay pitching is surrendering .261 hitting on the road. The Astros have won 16 of 21 at home. The Rays have lost 7 of 11 on the road. They are hitting .223 against right-handed starters. Houston behind Blanco is 14-6 with a +4.87-unit return. Play Houston -156.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Marlins at Braves—Kyle Tyler to start for Miami. Tyler has six appearances this season dealing an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP of 1.58. The righthander fans 18.9% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 53.4% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Grant Holmes is the starter for Atlanta. Holmes in 11 appearances carries an ERA of 2.54 with WHIP of 0.88. The righty is fanning 27.1% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .233 at home. Atlanta in their past ten games is hitting .218. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.79 at home with the Marlins at 3.54 on the road. The Braves are 34-17 to the under at home and Miami 31-22 to the under on the road. The under is 6-2 in their head-to-head meetings this season. Play Miami and Atlanta under 9.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Rockies at Padres—Noah Davis is the starter for Colorado. Davis in three appearances in 2024 deals an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.80. The righthander fans 19.5% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.2% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez will start for San Diego. Perez has 16 starts with an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.65. The lefthander strikes out 16.9% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls are 44.7% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
As this series began the Rockies had won five of six against the Padres. San Diego has a -17-run differential at home. They have a bullpen ERA of 4.41 at home. San Diego is 22-20 as a home favorite with a -5.20-unit loss. They are 14-19 against teams with a .460- or lower-win percentage with a -8.18-unit loss. Play Colorado on run line +1.5 runs at -103.
LA Dodgers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Dodgers at Athletics—Jack Flaherty is the starter for LA. Flaherty in 18 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 0.96. The traded righthander has an elite 32% K rate with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Spence to start for Oakland. Spence has 24 appearances with an ERA of 4.47 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander is striking out 19.6% with 7% walks. Ground balls are 48.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland has won nine of thirteen as this series began. LA has dropped 10 of 12 on the road after splitting a pair in San Francisco. The Dodgers in their past ten games are batting .229. The Athletics bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.57. LA is 13-12 when lined between -164 and -194 with a -4.83-unit loss. Play Oakland +156.
New York Mets vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Mets at Angels—David Peterson is the starter for New York. Peterson has 10 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander has 18.2% Ks with 11% walks. Ground balls come in at 53.4% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.80 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Jose Soriano to start for LA. Soriano appeared in 19 games with an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 9.7% walks. Grounders are 59.2% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is batting .267 on the road where they have a +15-run differential. In their past ten games the Angels are hitting .225. They are 24-34 at home with a -7.53-unit loss and a -48-run differential. NY had won six of nine on the road as this series began. They sit with a +6.53 unit return in their road games. The team record behind Peterson is 8-2 with a +4.84-unit return. Play NY -120.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 8/3/2024
Phillies at Mariners—Kolby Allard, to start for Philadelphia Allard in his 2024 debut allowed three earned runs with one strikeout and six hits over four innings at home to the Guardians. The lefthander has been ineffective since 2018 in the Majors. He has a career ERA of 6.11 with WHIP of 1.43 striking out 205 batters with 84 walks in 249 innings of work. Bryce Miller is the starter for Seattle. Miller has 21 starts on the year putting up an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.03. The righthander strikes out 22.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle bats .204 at home. Their pitching staff surrenders .202 hitting at home where their bullpen sports an ERA of 2.96. Philadelphia pen on the road has an ERA of 3.49. In their past ten games the Phillies are hitting .223. Seattle is 35-17 to the under at home. Play Philadelphia and Seattle under 8.