Free MLB Picks For Today 7/13/2024
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Dodgers at Tigers—Justin Wrobelski will start for Los Angeles. Wrobleski in his MLB debut allowed four earned runs with four strikeouts in five innings at home to Milwaukee. The left hander was an 11th round pick in 2021 who had 15 starts in the minors this season allowing 28 earned runs with 79 strikeouts in 78 innings. Keider Montero to start for Detroit. Montero appeared in four games with an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.17. The rookie righthander fans 21.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 41.7% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit bats .225 at home. Los Angeles in their past ten games is hitting .233. The Dodgers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.56. LA is 26-21 to the under on the road. Play Los Angeles and Detroit under 9.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Pirates at White Sox—Luis Ortiz is the starter for Pittsburgh. Ortiz has 24 starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 20.6% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 41.9% with limited home run damage. Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in 19 games with an ERA of 4.95 and WHIP of 1.38. The veteran strikes out 17.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.4% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
White Sox pitching holds opponents to .229 hitting at home. The Pirates in their past five games are hitting .213. Pittsburgh is 19-19 as a favorite with a -4.85-unit loss. Play Chicago +136.
Game 1 Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Cubs at Cardinals Game 1—Javier Assad is the starter for Chicago. Assad in 16 starts on the season posts an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander has a K mark of 22.3% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.6% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.16 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Lance Lynn will start for St Louis. Lynn has 18 starts with an ERA of 4.48 and WHIP of 1.41. The veteran fans 21.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.3% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cardinals have won five of six against Chicago as this series began. The Chicago bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.01. Assad on the road has an ERA of 3.70. Lynn has been effective at home this year with a WHIP of 1.18. The Cubs are batting .231 on the road where they are 20-29 with a -5.7 unit loss. Play St Louis in Game 1.
Game 2 Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Cubs at Cardinals Game 2—Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago in Game 2. Wesneski appeared in 23 games in 2024 posts an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander strikes out 22.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.9% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Gibson is the starter for St Louis in the night cap. Gibson has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.96 and WHIP of 1.29. The veteran strikes out 22.9% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.8% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cubs are batting .228 against right-handed starters. They have a losing mark on the road with a -24-run differential. Chicago is 10-19 against the division as this series began. St Louis had won four of five against Chicago as this series began. Play St Louis +126 in Game 2.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Yankees at Orioles—Luis Gil is the starter for New York. Gil at 18 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander fans 28.1% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls are 38% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Grayson Rodriguez will start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.21. The righty is fanning 26.5% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 37.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York in their past ten games is hitting .219. The Orioles in this period hitting .239. The Yankees bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.33. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .236 on the road. Play New York and Baltimore under 8.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Athletics at Phillies—Mitch Spence will start for Oakland. Spence in 21 appearances in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander strikes out 20% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Phillips expected starter for Philadelphia. Phillips in one appearance allowed one earned run with seven strikeouts in four innings at Atlanta. The righty is a 16th round draft pick in 2015 who struggled in the minors in his career. He had 15 starts in Triple A in the year with an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.41 striking out 78 batters in 92 innings.
The Pick:
Oakland pitching staff is allowing .265 hitting on the road. They hit .221 on the road. The Phillies staff limit opponents to .220 at home. In their past ten games they are hitting .276. As this series the Phillies were 36-14 at home. Play Philadelphia on the run line -1.5 runs at +107.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Royals at Red Sox—Seth Lugo will start for Kansas City. Lugo in 19 starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 2.21 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander fans 22.5% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.1% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.29 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Kutter Crawford is the starter for Boston. Crawford has 18 starts with an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP of 1.07. The righty is striking out 24.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.5% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Past ten games the Royals are hitting .262 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. Boston bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.08. They have a -17-run differential at home. The Red Sox are 14-16 as the home favorite with a -6.39 unit loss. The team behind Crawford is 6-12 with a -6.54-unit loss. KC behind Lugo is 12-7 with a +4.05-unit return. Play Kansas City +109.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Nationals at Brewers—Mitchell Parker will start for Washington. Parker in 16 starts in 2024 has an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 1.09. The rookie lefthander fans 19.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.6% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Dallas Keuchel to start for Milwaukee. Keuchel has three starts with an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.68. The lefty is striking out 14.3% with 12.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.4% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.46 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his form.
The Pick:
Washington is hitting .226 against left-handed starters. In their past ten games the Brewers are hitting .251. The Nationals bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.44. The Brewers have a +41-run differential at home. Washington pitching allows .257 hitting on the road. Milwaukee is 32-18 as a home favorite with a +4.18 unit return and 40-28 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +5.16-unit return. Play Milwaukee -123.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Marlins at Reds—Edward Cabrera will start for Miami. Cabrera has six starts on the season posting an ERA of 6.84 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander has an elite 30.7% K rate with 13.2% walks. Ground balls are 47.5% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.36 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Andrew Abbott to start for Cincinnati. Abbott in 18 starts has an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander strikes out 19.3% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.3% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is hitting .222 against left-handed starters and putting up only 2.9 runs per game against them. In their past ten games the Reds are putting up 5.7 runs per game. Miami has a -61-run differential on the road. The Marlins have lost nine of eleven, losing by two runs or greater in seven of those games. Play Cincinnati on run line -1.5 runs at +128.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Rangers at Astros—Nathan Eovaldi will start for Texas. Eovaldi in 15 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.10 and WHIP of 1.03. The veteran strikes out 24.6% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls are 48.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti has 16 starts with an ERA of 5.96 with WHIP of 1.55. The rookie righthander fans 25.1% with 12% walks. Grounders sit at 36.7% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.46 does imply a dropping ERA should form hold.
The Pick:
Houston is batting .261 against right handers putting up 5.1 runs per game. Texas has a bullpen ERA of 5.96 on the road. Houston has a +63-run differential at home. The Rangers are now 20-29 on the road with an -8.85-unit loss. Play Houston +106.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Rockies at Mets—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner has 18 starts in the season dealing an ERA of 5.29 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander fans 19.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.6% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.01 which suggests a drop in ERA based on numbers. Christian Scott expected starter for New York. Scott in 7 starts an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.03. The rookie righty strikes out 19.4% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 36% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Colorado is batting .221 on the road. New York is hitting .265 at home and putting up 5.3 runs per game. The Rockies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.56. Colorado has a -125-run differential on the road where they have lost 35 of 48. Play New York on the run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Guardians at Rays—Gavin Williams will start for Cleveland. Williams in his two starts on the year allowed five earned runs with seven strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. The righty in his rookie campaign in 2023 posted an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.26 striking out 81 batters in 82 innings. Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell has 18 starts with an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 22.1% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.2% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Guardians are batting .236 with the Rays at .240. The Guardians bullpen has an ERA of 3.04 on the road. Play Cleveland and Tampa Bay under 8.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Braves at Padres—Reynaldo Lopez is the starter for Atlanta. Lopez in 16 starts on the season deals an ERA of 1.71 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 25.8% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.2% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.10 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Dyland Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has 19 starts with an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty has an elite 31% K rate with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Braves are batting .232. Their bullpen has an ERA of 3.14 on the road. Atlanta pitching holds its opponents to .223 hitting. The Braves were 24-17 to the under on the road when this series began and 11-3 to the under behind Lopez. Play Atlanta and San Diego under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Twins at Giants—Simeon Woods Richardson will start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has 15 starts on the year producing an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 20.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls reach 38.3% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Hayden Birdsong is the starter for San Francisco. Birdsong in three starts an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.53. The righty is striking out 24.2% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.1% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota bullpen has an ERA of 3.67 on the road. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .234 hitting on the road. San Francisco is batting .234 against right handed starters. Both teams are trending to the under at this line. Play Minnesota and San Francisco under 8.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Mariners at Angels—George Kirby is the starter for Seattle. Kirby has 19 starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 3.39 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 24.3% with 2.5% walks. Ground balls are 39.1% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Jose Soriano to start for Los Angeles. Soriano appeared in 16 games with an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is striking out 20.1% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 60.6% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
As this series began the Mariners had won ten of eleven against the Angels. Los Angeles bats .226 at home where they have a -50-run differential. Angel’s pitching allows .253 hitting at home. The Mariners are 37-25 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +2.70-unit return. LA is 8-21 facing teams allowing 3.9 runs per game or fewer with a -10.57-unit loss. Play Seattle -157.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 7/13/2024
Blue Jays at Diamondbacks—Jose Berrios is the starter for Toronto. Berrios in 19 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran fans 18.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.3% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.07 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Yilber Diaz is the starter for Arizona. Diaz in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with five strikeouts in six innings at home to Atlanta. The righthander was drafted in 2021 with mixed results in the minors. He had 14 starts in the minors this season allowing 34 earned runs with 97 strikeouts in 70 innings walking 36.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Diamondbacks are hitting .265 and putting up 6.3 runs per game. Toronto is hitting .227 on the road with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 there. Toronto is 13-31 as an underdog with a -15.31-unit loss. They are 5-22 when lined between -106 and +124 with a -16.56-unit loss. Play Arizona -124.