Free MLB Picks For Today 7/5/2024

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/5/2024

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/5/2024

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Angels at Cubs—Griffin Canning will start for Los Angeles. Canning in 17 games in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander has seen his Ks plummet to 15.6% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 41.9% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has 12 starts with an ERA of 3.20 and WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander fans 24.2% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 42% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Los Angeles is batting .254 against left handers and putting up 4.5 runs per game against them. In their past ten games the Cubs are hitting .225. Los Angeles is 25-25 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +469-unit return. The Cubs are 18-20 as a favorite with a -853-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +174.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Mets at Pirates—Luis Severino will start for New York. Severino has 16 starts on the campaign providing an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander is striking out 18.5% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 50% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Paul Skenes to start for Pittsburgh. Skenes in 9 starts has an ERA of 2.06 with WHIP of 1.03. The rookie righty has an elite 34.1% K rate with 4.9% walks. Grounders sit at 47.2% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

In their past ten games the Pirates are batting .223. In this period the Mets are putting up 6.4 runs per game. Pittsburgh has a bullpen ERA of 5.12 at home. They are 16-19 as a favorite with a -7.23-unit loss. New York is 13-11 as a road underdog with a +5.64-unit return. The Pirates have a -32-run differential at home. The Mets bat .269 on the road. Play New York +116.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Cardinals at Nationals—Sonny Gray will start for St Louis. Gray at 15 starts in 2023 posts an ERA of 2.98 with WHIP of 0.99. The veteran has an elite 31.3% strikeout rate with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 45.5% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Patrick Corbin is the starter for Washington. Corbin in 17 starts has an ERA of 5.49 with WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander is striking out 15.7% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 45.1% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

St Louis is batting .213 against left-handed starters. They are 21-23 on the road with a -1.23-unit loss. The Nationals are 15-18 as a home underdog returning +2.51 units. Play Washington +162.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Red Sox at Yankees—Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck has 17 starts on the season dealing an ERA of 2.67 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander fans 23.9% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 54.9% with limited home run damage. Nestor Cortes is the starter for New York. Cortes in 18 starts has an ERA of 3.51 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander strikes out 23.2% with 4.5% walks. Grounders dished at 30.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Boston is batting .251 against left-handed starters putting up 4.9 runs per game. In their past ten games New York is batting .230. They have lost 11 of 14 games. The Red Sox have won 12 of 15. They have a bullpen ERA of 2.93 on the road. Boston is 27-16 on the road with a +9.66-unit return. The team record behind Cortes is 7-11 with a -5.87-unit loss. Play Boston +125.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Giants at Guardians—Spencer Bivens to start for San Francisco. Bivens appeared in 6 games in 2024 putting up an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 1.00. The rookie righty is fanning 25.5% with 7.3% walks. Grounders are 51.4% with 2.57 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibbee is the starter for Cleveland. Bibee has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 28.5% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.6% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

In their past ten games the Giants are putting up five runs per game. In this period the Guardians are putting up 4.6 runs per game. The Giants bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.65. They are 27-16 to the over on the road. Cleveland has gone over 21 of 34 at home. Play San Francisco and Cleveland over 8.5.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Tigers at Reds—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson has 16 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander strikes out 21.7% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.1% with limited home run damage. Carson Spiers will start for Cincinnati. Spiers has made 8 appearances with an ERA of 3.13 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 18.7% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.1% with minimal home run damage.

The Pick:

Detroit has lost seven of nine. In their past ten games they are hitting .195. The Reds in this period are putting up 5.4 runs per game and have won 5 of 7. Cincinnati bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.30. Detroit is 13-20 as a road underdog with a -4.88-unit loss. The team mark behind Olson is 3-13 with a -10.42-unit loss. Play Cincinnati -112.

Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

White Sox at Marlins—Drew Thorpe will start for Chicago. Thorpe has four starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 14.9% with 13.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Bryan Hoeing expected to start for Miami. Hoeing in 11 appearances has an ERA of 1.83 with WHIP of 0.92. The righty is fanning 21.1% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls are 47.3% with limited home run damage.

The Pick:

Massive step down in class for Miami after facing Boston and Philadelphia in back-to-back series. Chicago is batting .217 against right-handed starters. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.84 on the road. The White Sox are 9-35 as a road underdog with a -20.84-unit loss. Play Miami -114.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Phillies at Braves—Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola has 17 starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.04. The veteran is striking out 23.2% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls served at 45.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in 16 starts has an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander fans 21.8% with 7.8% walks. Grounders sit at 59% with 0.56 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Atlanta in their past ten games is batting .220. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.85 and the Phillies on the road have an ERA of 2.97. The Braves are 27-14 to the under at home and 12-5 facing teams allowing 3.9 runs per game or fewer. They are 10-5 to the under behind Fried. The Phillies injuries to Harper, Realmuto and Schwarber the concern. Play Philadelphia and Atlanta under 7.5.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Rays at Rangers—Shane Baz is the starter for Tampa Bay. Baz makes his 2024 debut. He last pitched in the Majors in 2022 where he was ineffective with an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.33 in 6 starts working 27 innings with 30 Ks. In Triple A this year the righthander had an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.59 striking out 44 in 39 1/3rd innings. Michael Lorenzen will start for Texas. Lorenzen in 14 starts on the season has an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 17.6% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.07 suggests a rise in ERA if form holds.

The Pick:

Texas has lost eight of ten. Tampa Bay has won 10 of 13. In their past ten games the Rays are hitting .254 and putting up 4.8 runs per game. The team record behind Lorenzen is 4-10 with a -5.14-unit loss. Tampa Bay is 29-20 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +4.13-unit return. Play Tampa Bay -105.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Astros at Twins—Shawn Dubin is the starter for Houston. Dubin appeared in 15 games in 2024 dealing an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander fans 23.5% with 12.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.7% with no homers allowed. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has 17 starts in the year with an ERA of 4.88 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 28.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Houston won 12 of 14. In their past ten games they are batting .284 and putting up 6.5 runs per game. Minnesota is batting .237 against right-handed starters. They are 4-9 when lined between -144 and -174 with a -6.55-unit loss. Play Houston +138.

Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Royals at Rockies—Cole Ragans will start for Kansas City. Ragans in 18 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander has a K mark of 29.8% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 39.8% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Freeland is the starter for Colorado. Freeland has six starts with an ERA of 7.94 with WHIP of 1.80. The lefty is fanning only 11.9% with 8.1% walks. Grounders are 45.3% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.13 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.

The Pick:

KC on the road is hitting .216 and has lost 23 of 40 there dropping .5.05 units. Colorado is batting .267 at home. The team record behind Ragans is 8-10 with a -3.55-unit loss. Play Colorado +156.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Orioles at Athletics—Albert Suarez is the starter for Baltimore. Suarez has 17 appearances this season, dealing an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 17.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls served at 34.3% with limited home run damage. Hogan Harris will start for Oakland. Harris appeared in eight games with an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander strikes out 18.3% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls delivered at 36.9% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.76 does suggest a rising ERA based on form.

The Pick:

Baltimore is batting .259 against left handers and putting up 5.3 runs per game against them. Oakland is batting .219 against righthanders. In their past ten games they are hitting .210. The Orioles are 26-15 to the run line on the road. Their pitching is holding opponents to .210 hitting on the road. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at -115.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Blue Jays at Mariners—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 17 starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 4.75 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander fans 23.1% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 38.7% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo in 18 starts has an ERA of 3.87 with WHIP of 1.21. The veteran strikes out 23.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.5% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Seattle is batting .208 at home. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .200 batting. Toronto is batting .229 on the road. The Mariners bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.70. Seattle is 29-14 to the under at home and 21-8 to the under facing teams that have a .460- or lower-win percentage. Play Toronto and Seattle under 7.5.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Diamondbacks at Padres—Slade Cecconi is the starter for Arizona. Cecconi appeared in 12 games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 5.81 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander has 19.9% Ks with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.1% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings. Randy Vasquez is the starter for San Diego. Vasquez in eleven starts has an ERA of 4.88 with WHIP of 1.66. The righty is fanning 13.9% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.3% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

San Diego has won 11 of 14. They are batting .271 against right-handed starters putting up 5.3 runs per game. Arizona has an ERA of 4.42 in the bullpen on the road. The Diamondbacks are 20-27 as an underdog with a -2.81-unit loss. Play San Diego -111.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/5/2024

Brewers at Dodgers—Aaron Civale to start for Milwaukee. Civale in 17 starts has an ERA of 5.07 with WHIP of 1.38. The traded righthander strikes out 22.2% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 32.8% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow in 17 starts has an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 0.93. The veteran fans 33.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Brewers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.97. They are batting .261 away and putting up 5.1 runs per game. Milwaukee is 15-14 as a road underdog with a +3.40-unit return. Los Angeles is 25-18 as a home favorite with a -6.32-unit loss. Play Milwaukee +172.

Free MLB Picks For Today 7/5/2024

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