Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians 7-4-2024

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/4/24 MLB Betting Predictions, Picks and Analysis

Chicago White Sox (24-62) vs. Cleveland Guardians (52-30)


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/4/24 – As the calendar turns to July, the MLB season heats up with intriguing matchups, including the July 4th clash between the struggling Chicago White Sox and the surging Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. This game, which is part of the MLB no-cost game day tips, showcases a stark contrast in fortunes with the White Sox languishing at the bottom while the Guardians chase playoff glory.


The Chicago White Sox, as a team, have an average of .220 and an on base percentage of .281, have not offered the needed backup for their pitchers. Even if they made it to 75 home runs, their slugging at .346 stresses nonexistence of effective striking. The pitching staff follows a similar trend with a 4.57 ERA and holds a 1.37 WHIP tells that they are too lenient on the opposition team runners which aggravates their situation in clutch situations.


On the other hand, Cleveland Guardians players would have fared better with a better batting order, with a .245 average and stood better than the White Sox in all the offensive aspects like the number of times they were able to reach base, home runs, and even slugging. Their pitchers have not disappointed with a fine 3.5 WHIP and a 1.21 WHIP that points to their effectiveness of not allowing the opposing team to score heavily and thereby bring the game under control.


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/4/24 Game Info


When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field
Stream: MLB.TV


Drew Thorpe (2-1, 4.43 ERA) vs. Ben Lively (7-4, 3.03 ERA)


Drew Thorpe, although using small portions of the sample size, indicates that he has talent with a 4.43 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 20.1 innings. A fairly good S/W shows that he commands his pitches well although young pitchers may turn into homer-prone, which is already the case for him as he gives up 2 home runs. Basically, the match making capacity of Thorpe to pitch beyond the fifth inning will be important in maintaining the freshness of the White Sox bullpen while the match breaking capacity will help the White Sox to compete in the game.


On the other side, the Guardians have benefited from a good season from Ben Lively they have been relying on as their main pitcher. Sporting a 3.03 ERA and 1.16 WHIP across 71.1 innings shows his effectiveness to make good pitches, and avoid giving Base Runners to the opponent’s team. His control is great with 61 strikeouts and only 21 walks which are signs of a control that maximized his strength because against a confident White Sox team eager to attack a weakness, it is crucial to be able to pitch out of a jam.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD


Currently, the betting lines remain TBD. However, considering the standings and the form of both teams, the Guardians are likely to be favored. Bettors should keep an eye on updates as game day approaches to capitalize on potential value bets.


Chicago White Sox Betting Trends


The White Sox have shown some resilience lately, going 3-2 in their last five outings, which could offer some hope. However, their road performance against the spread (17-24) illustrates the challenges they face in away games. With the totals going OVER in 17 of their last 45 home games, betting on a high-scoring game could be tempting, especially considering their porous pitching.


Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends


The Guardians, despite a recent 1-4 dip, have maintained a positive record against the spread in road games (24-23). Their last five games have seen the totals go OVER twice, aligning with a season trend where 18 of their last 35 home games have surpassed the betting total, suggesting their games tend to feature plenty of scoring opportunities.


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/4/24 Betting Picks


Considering the comprehensive analysis and current form, the Guardians appear poised to capitalize on their home-field advantage and superior lineup. Their consistent pitching and offensive firepower make them the safer bet in this matchup.


In terms of betting, the better pick seems to be leaning towards the Guardians, especially with Lively on the mound. Prop bets on total bases and runs scored might offer value, given the offensive capabilities shown by both teams. Look for the game to potentially exceed total run predictions, reflecting the premium matchup selections and trends observed.


Free Pick and Prediction: Guardians 6, White Sox 3. 


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