Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/24

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/24 MLB Latest Analysis, Previews, and Predictions

Boston Red Sox (44-39) vs. Miami Marlins (30-54)


Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/24 – As the calendar flips to July and America celebrates Independence Day, the Boston Red Sox head to loanDepot park to face the struggling Miami Marlins on Thursday, July 4, 2024. The Red Sox, holding a decent 44-39 record, are looking to capitalize on their middling season against the Marlins, who have floundered to a 30-54 start. This matchup promises not just fireworks in the sky but also on the field, providing fans with some of the best MLB free insight today.


The Boston Red Sox with the batting average of .252 and runs scored 377 in this season are displaying the combination of power and on-base skills by holding the count of .321 on-base-percentage as well as .419 slugging-rate. Their pitching staff has been quite good with a 3.67 ERA and a decent 1.2 WHIP which has made them remain relevant in the majority of their close games. However, futures’ contests have been displaying the Red Sox live up to their form for several games as the team has been 2-3 in its last five games and has been unable to cover the spread in several of the recent games.


The Miami Marlins are on the other side having a very poor season. While the Marlins have a team batting average of .230 and on base percentage of .279, this can only imply a team that is weak in the batter’s box. Same for their pitchers whereby they have scored above the team an ERA of 4.5 and WHIP of 1.35. These stats depict a team that has constantly been knitted and even overshadowed on the field especially when it comes to pitching and even batting. They have however only 3 losses and 2 wins in the last five games regarding betting on the spread which means that they have been getting better in closer games.


Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/24 Game Info


When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: loanDepot park
Stream: MLB.TV


Nick Pivetta (4-5, 4.52 ERA) vs. Kyle Tyler (0-1, 3.38 ERA)


This game sees some mixed lies from Red Sox’s Nick Pivetta. To his score now a 4-5, and an ERA of 4.52. After pitching for 61.2 innings, Pivetta has demonstrated his weakness as well as strength. He has also displayed a good control of strikeout-to-walk ratio and although he has conceded 13 home runs he is a must have pitcher for the Red Sox. His capacity to send hitters to the bench in dismay could come in handy against a team that lacks muscle in its arsenal; the Marlins.


On the other hand, Kyle Tyler, a newcomer in the Marlins’ roster, provides limited data, but good numbers. In the small sample size of 10.2 innings Tyler has demonstrated prowess with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. His test would be to manage the Red Sox which has an array of powerful hitters that can go on the rampaging mode at any one time.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD


As the betting odds have not yet been set, it’s crucial to monitor how the lines move as the game approaches. This will offer more insight into which team the oddsmakers favor and how the public is betting.


Boston Red Sox Betting Trends


The Red Sox have been inconsistent in their recent outings, both overall and against the spread. However, their road record against the spread (22-18) shows they perform better in unfamiliar territories. With the totals going OVER in four of their last five games, betting on a high-scoring affair might be prudent.


Miami Marlins Betting Trends


The Marlins, despite their overall poor record, have shown some capability to cover spreads recently. Their performance at home against the spread (21-20) indicates that they often play better than expected in their own ballpark, possibly leveraging the familiar settings.


Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/24 Betting Picks


Given the current form and statistics, the Red Sox should have the upper hand in this matchup, particularly with their stronger batting and more reliable pitching. However, the Marlins could leverage their home field advantage and recent resilience against the spread.


In conclusion, the recommended bet would be on the Red Sox to win, with a lean towards the OVER, considering both teams’ recent trends. Additionally, given the strengths and weaknesses of the starting pitchers, prop bets on strikeouts for Pivetta might offer value.


Premium tips today consider the Red Sox for the win, factor in the potential for a high total score, and look at strikeout props for Nick Pivetta as smart bets.


Free Pick and Prediction: Boston Red Sox 6, Miami Marlins 3. 


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