Free MLB Picks For Today 6/22/2024
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Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
White Sox at Tigers—Drew Thorpe will start for Chicago. Thorpe has two starts in the season allowing eight earned runs with seven walks in 8 1/3rd innings. The righthander was a second-round pick in 2022 who has put outstanding numbers put in the lower minors the past two seasons. Kenta Maeda will start for Detroit. Maeda in twelve starts has an ERA of 6.02 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander has seen his Ks drop to 17.1% with 8.5% walks. Grounders are 33.5% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit is batting .232 at home, losing 19 of their first 35 there. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.85. The team record behind Maeda is 4-13 in Day Games the past two seasons with a -28.6-unit loss. Play Chicago +139.
San Francisco Giants vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Giants at Cardinals—Jordan Hicks will start for San Francisco. Hicks has fifteen starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander is fanning 21.3% with 8.8% walks. Grounders dished at 53.7% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas in fifteen starts with an ERA of 4.59 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran strikes out 18.7% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
95-degree temperatures at game time. San Francisco is in their past seven games are hitting .267 and putting up 5.9 runs per game. Their bullpen ERA on the road is 4.75. St Louis is putting up 4.2 runs per game in their 33 games at home. The Giants are 16-6 to the over as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play San Francisco and St Louis over 8.5.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Mets at Cubs—Tyler Megill will start for New York. Megill has six starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander fans 27.8% with 9.8% walks. Grounders sit at 40% with limited home run damage. Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in eleven starts has an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.32. The righty is striking out 16.4% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.3% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York in their past seven games is hitting .287 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. They have won eight of their past nine games. Chicago is batting .222 in their Day Games losing 20 of 35. Chicago is 5-13 when lined at home between -100 and -150 this season with a -10.4-unit loss. The team record behind Taillon is 5-15 when lined between +125 and -125 the past two seasons with a -11.2-unit loss. Play New York +104.
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Royals at Rangers—Michael Wacha will start for Kansas City. Wacha has twelve starts on the year carrying an ERA of 4.24 and WHIP of 1.25. The veteran fans 19.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls served at 38.9% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Max Scherzer will make his 2024 debut returning from a back injury that required surgery. Scherzer had 27 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander struck out 28% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.2% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Texas is batting .195 in their past seven games. They have gone under in 24 of their first 35 games at home this season. Their bullpen ERA at home is 3.08. KC in this seven-game period is batting .203 going under in five of those games. Dome stadium in Texas. Play Kansas City and Texas under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Diamondbacks at Phillies—Tommy Henry will start for Arizona. Henry appeared in eight games this season dealing with an ERA of 6.23 with WHIP of 1.70. The lefthander strikes out 17.2% with 9.8% walks. Grounders dished at 44.3% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Zack Wheeler will start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has fifteen starts with an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.01. The veteran fans 26.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
98-degree temperatures is the forecast at game time with wind blowing out. Arizona in their past seven games is hitting .297 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.38. Philadelphia in this period of seven games are batting .280. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.95. Arizona is 19-8 to the over when a road underdog of +150 or greater the past two seasons. Play Arizona and Philadelphia over 8.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Rays at Pirates—Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has thirteen starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 18.4% with 1.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.9% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Jared Jones will start for Pittsburgh. Jones in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 26.3% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.7% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .219 against right-handed starters losing 32 of their first 56 against them. Pittsburgh is batting .246 in their 37 Day Games putting up 4.3 runs per game. Eflin on the road has an ERA of 4.98 with Jones at home an ERA of 2.14 in seven starts. Tampa Bay is 14-24 facing a starter who allows 5.5 hits or fewer per start this season with a -12.8-unit return. Play Pittsburgh -106.
Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Twins at Athletics—Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota. Ober in fourteen starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.81 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 24.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.5% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. JP Sears will start for Oakland. Sears has fifteen starts with an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander fans 15.8% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .217 against right-handed starters. Minnesota is batting .278 against left-handed starters putting up 5.1 runs per game. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at +102.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Blue Jays at Guardians—Jose Berrios will start for Toronto. Berrios in fifteen starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran strikes out 17.8% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.4% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.61 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Ben Lively starts for Cleveland. Lively in eleven starts has an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 21.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 35.5% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.04 which suggests a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Toronto is batting .228 on the road, losing 20 of their first 37 games there. Their bullpen away from home has an ERA of 4.43. Guardians’ bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.11 where they have won 23 of their first 32. Past seven games Cleveland is batting .274. Toronto is 4-19 when an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a -13.5-unit return. The Guardians are 15.4 at home when lined between -100 and -150 this season with a +9.8-unit return. Play Cleveland -123.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Red Sox at Reds—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta has ten starts in the season, dealing with an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 27.4% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.4% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Frankie Montas is the starter for Cincinnati. Montas in thirteen starts has an ERA of 4.62 with WHIP of 1.39. The veteran fans 18.5% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past seven games is batting .316 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. Their bullpen posts and ERA of 2.90 in their first 37 road games where they have won 22. Cincinnati is batting .186 in their first 17 games against the American League. The team record behind Montas is 1-13 when lined at home between +125 and -125 the past three seasons with a -12.8-unit loss. The Red Sox are 22-11 facing teams averaging 2.75 extra base hits per game or fewer this season with a +9.3-unit return. Play Boston -120.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Orioles at Astros—Corbin Burnes is the starter for Baltimore. Burnes in fifteen starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 2.14 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander strikes out 24.2% with 6.5% walks. Grounders served at 50.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Ronel Blanco is the starter for Houston. Blanco has thirteen starts delivering an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 0.97. The righty is fanning 24.5% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.6% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.95 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Houston’s bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.39. They are batting .263 at home and putting up 4.8 runs per game. The Astros are 35-22 as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +18.4-unit return. Play Houston +124.
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Mariners at Marlins—Logan Gilbert will start for Seattle. Gilbert at fifteen starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.93 with WHIP of 0.92. The righthander strikes out 24.9% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 42% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. A.J. Puk to start for Miami. Puk appeared in 29 games with an ERA of 6.52 with WHIP of 1.83. The lefthander has seen his Ks drop to 16.4% with 14.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.8% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle in their past seven games is batting .192 going under in six of those games with a push. Miami is batting .213 against the American League. Gilbert is 8-0 to the under when lined between -125 and -174 this season. The Mariners are 24-10 to the under against losing teams. Play Seattle and Miami under 7.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Braves at Yankees—Charlie Morton will start for Atlanta. Morton has thirteen starts on the year delivering an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran strikes out 24.8% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls are 44% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Marcus Stroman is the starter for New York. Stroman has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander has a K mark of 17.1% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.2% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.75 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
In their past seven games the Braves are hitting .280. They have won seven of eight. Their bullpen ERA on the road is 3.43. New York is hitting .210 in their past seven games and has lost six of eight. The team mark behind Stroman is 32-41 in home night games in his career with a -25.4-unit loss. Play Atlanta +120.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Brewers at Padres—Carlos Rodriguez will start for Milwaukee. Rodriguez in his two starts this year allowed six earned runs with seven strikeouts in 8 1/3rd innings. The righthander was a sixth round pick out of Junior college. He has struggled in Triple A this season with an ERA of 4.90 and WHIP of 1.24 in 68 innings of work striking out 73 with 31 walks. Randy Vasquez is the starter for San Diego. Vasquez in nine starts has an ERA of 5.70 with WHIP of 1.69. The righty pitches to contact with 14.5% Ks with 4.7% walks. Grounders are 41.2% with 2.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Milwaukee in their past seven games is batting .212. San Diego is hitting .272 against right-handed starters and putting 4.4 runs per game against them. Play San Diego -115.
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Nationals at Rockies—Mitchell Parker will start for Washington. Parker in twelve starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander fans 18.2% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls served at 42.5% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Cal Quantrill is the starter for Colorado. Quantrill has fifteen starts delivering an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander sees 16.8% Ks with 9.4% walks. Grounders are 47% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Colorado is hitting .249 against left-handed starters losing 14 of 20 against them. The Rockies bullpen at home is 5.46. They are 2-15 when lined between +125 and -125 with a -12.8-unit loss. Washington is 12-5 facing a team with a .380- or lower-win percentage this season with a +9.6 unit return and 12-5 against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or worse this season with a +11.7 unit return. Play Washington -115.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/22/2024
Angels at Dodgers—Zack Plesac to start for LAA. Plesac in his 2024 debut allowed three earned runs with a strikeout in six innings at home to Milwaukee. He has bounced between the Minors and Majors the past three seasons due to ineffectiveness. In thirteen Triple A starts this year the righthander has an ERA of 5.42 with WHIP of 1.43 in 74 2/3rd innings of work striking out only 51 batters. Tyler Glasnow is the starter for LAD. Glasnow has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 0.91. The veteran has an elite K mark of 34.7% with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 47.8% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is batting only .250 at home. The Angels are hitting .257 against the National League and putting up 4.4 runs per game against them. The Dodgers are 26-23 against right-handed starters with a -13.1 unit loss. Play LA Angels +1.5 at +128.