Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/24

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/24 MLB Latest Forecast, Preview, and Picks

Brewers (42-29) vs. Padres (37-38)


Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/24 – The upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres promises to be a riveting encounter as the Brewers visit Petco Park on Thursday, June 20, 2024. The Brewers, who are enjoying a solid season with a 42-29 record, will look to capitalize against a Padres team that has been struggling to maintain a .500 record. This game stands out as one of the premium matchup reviews of the week, given the contrasting fortunes of the two teams and the implications it holds in the standings.


The Brewers have maintained consistent performances this season, posting an impressive team batting average of .254 and an excellent slugging percentage of .401. With 344 runs scored and 74 homers hitting, their offensive lineup has proved its power and control on the pitching staff; holding to an excellent 3.72 ERA/WHIP ratio as they strike out opponents (563 Ks so far), helping control game pace while their road game spread record (21-16) indicates some vulnerability away from home.


Conversely, the Padres have demonstrated flashes of brilliance but struggled to remain consistent. Their batting average edges the Brewers at .259 while hitting 77 home runs; however their pitching has not been nearly as effective due to an ERA/WHIP combination of 4.00/1.24 which indicates some difficulty on the mound and recent struggles covering spread in tight games that suggest potential issues on defense or offense.


Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/24 Game Info


When: Thursday, June 20, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: Petco Park
Stream: MLB.TV


Bryse Wilson (4-3, 3.84 ERA) vs. Adam Mazur (0-2, 7.82 ERA)


Bryse Wilson has become an indispensable member of Milwaukee’s rotation this season, posting an impressive four-win record and 3.84 ERA. His impressive 1.25 WHIP and 50/24 strikeout-to-walk ratio are evidence of his effective management, respectively. Wilson excels at inducing ground balls while managing contact, which could prove especially key against an inconsistent Padres lineup that plays differently at Petco Park than Milwaukee – potentially favoring Wilson’s ground ball style of pitching. 


Adam Mazur of the Padres has fared poorly this season with an alarming 7.82 earned run average over 12.2 innings pitched and an accompanying walk rate that equaled his strikeout count (13). Given this lopsided start to his season and given their demonstrated ability to exploit weaknesses such as walks and hits by their lineup, Mazur may face serious trouble against Milwaukee and their superior lineup – with this game potentially providing him with an opportunity or continuing down his current path of frustration and ineffectiveness.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD


Since there are no lines on who will be the favorite yet, the Brewers can be in this position due to their better play and the pitcher on the mound. Focusing on the changing odds is pertinent to the betting line since bettors should bear in mind recent patterns of betting and matchups of pitchers.


Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends


The Brewers have been somewhat better than average for hitting spreads on the road however covering has been an issue in their last five overall games. Specifically, total outcomes have gone OVER in only 1 of the last 5 games, which means that the tendency in the games is toward lesser scoring and therefore different impact on the over/under bets.


San Diego Padres Betting Trends


However, the spread has indicated that the Padres have been poor in their last few games to disappoint the people betting for them. On the other hand, 20 of the last 38 home matches of the LAA going OVER the total shows that there is value on over bets if their pitching provided a bad performance.


Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/24 Betting Picks


Considering the analysis and trends, the Brewers appear to have the edge in this matchup, especially with Wilson on the mound against a shaky Mazur. Bettors might look to back the Brewers on the moneyline if the odds are favorable.


In terms of prop bets and the over/under, the situation of Mazur’s pitching suggests the potential for a higher-scoring game, making the OVER a tempting pick if the total is set reasonably. As for free MLB parlay picks, combining a Brewers win with an OVER on the total might offer a good return, assuming the Padres’ lineup performs to its potential.


Free Pick and Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 6, San Diego Padres 4.