Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6-17-2024

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6/17/24 MLB Forecast, Picks, and Predictions

Cincinnati Reds (33-35) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (32-36)


Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6/17/24 – On June 17, 2024 at PNC Park in Cincinnati and Pittsburgh respectively, both teams look forward to an engaging encounter as both strive to move up in their divisional standings. Although Cincinnati have taken an edge overall record wise, both squads show similar recent form; making for an unpredictable clash that should provide plenty of thrills. This analysis serves as a useful guideline for handicapper predictions today and includes in depth team statistics such as starting pitchers’ performance as well as current betting trends.


The Reds currently sit just shy of.500 but have shown remarkable resilience on the road this season, posting an overall batting average of.226 and an on-base percentage of.307 while their offensive output has been relatively limited thanks to an efficient pitching staff with an ERA of 3.87. Additionally, away games proved particularly impressive; their 21-10 record against spread indicated remarkable adaptability under different playing conditions.


The Pirates trail closely behind the Reds with an overall record similar to theirs and boast an improved batting average (.229/slugging percentage of.356) as well as pitchers that share an identical 3.91 ERA with them, suggesting an equal balance of strength in terms of pitching strength versus offensive output at both bat and plate. Although their road record has suffered somewhat, PNC Park remains competitive throughout their home games where they have gone 19-16 against the spread in total games played at PNC Park alone.


Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6/17/24 Game Info


When: Monday, June 17, 2024 at 6:40 PM ETT
Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Stream: MLB.TV


Carson Spiers (0-0 W-L, 2.33 ERA) vs. James Paxton (3-0 W-L, 2.43 ERA)


Carson Spiers has shown great promise as an unknown pitcher with his 2.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across 19.1 innings pitched, only allowing 4 walks while striking out 15. His control has also been impressively sharp; only four walks while striking out 15 were permitted during that span; no homer runs were given up, which speaks volumes for his ability to limit damage and manage high-pressure situations without giving way. Unfortunately his limited innings may pose durability concerns which put additional stress on the Reds bullpen should he leave early.


James Paxton of the Pittsburgh Pirates has been stellar this season with an unblemished 3-0 record and 2.43 ERA that ranks just below average at 0.96 WHIP – notching 46 strikeouts in just 33.1 innings pitched! Paxton could provide them with an important edge against James McCarthy given his deep innings experience and recent form.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD


As betting lines have yet to be finalized, assessing both teams’ current form and statistical output will be paramount to setting fair odds – given their even records and pitching stats, odds may favor one team over the other; with possible slight preference going towards Pittsburgh due to their remarkable home record against spread betting.


Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends


Recent performances for the Reds have been mixed, as evidenced by their 3-2 record against the spread in their last five games and an 1-4 mark against over/under betting, respectively. Notably, no over/under has been reached in those five contests as evidence of lower scoring affairs that match up perfectly with their superior pitching stats but less-than-impressive offensive output.


Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends


Similar to the Reds, the Pirates have struggled recently as evidenced by their 2-3 record in their last five games and an identical record against the spread. Only one out of their last five totals went over, which may point toward less runs being scored; an essential consideration when setting an over/under target in any matchup.


Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6/17/24 Betting Picks


Due to close matchups and pitching duel, this game should likely feature low scoring action that highlights both starting pitchers. With such even pitching between them, victory may come down to which bullpens perform better; as Spiers tends to come through short relief stints for Reds.


Given their trends and performances, one might give the Pirates an advantage given Paxton is set to start. Prop bets could focus on strikeouts for Paxton as well as wagers against Reds not covering their spread given recent form against it.


MLB top predictions would cautiously favor a Pirates victory given their home advantage and James Paxton’s strong play so far this year.


Free Pick and Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates 3, Cincinnati Reds 2. 


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