Free MLB Picks For Today 6/4/2024
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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Royals at Guardians—Seth Lugo to start for Kansas City. Lugo in twelve starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 1.72 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander is striking out 21.2% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.5% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Triston McKenzie is the starter for Cleveland. McKenzie has eleven starts with an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.38. The righty is fanning 21.9% with 13.8% walks. Ground balls are 35.9% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.58 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Kansas City is batting .228 on the road. The Guardians are batting .230 against righthanders. They are 45-20 against the division the past two seasons and 24-12 to the under facing an AL starter with an ERA of 3.70 or lower the past two seasons. Play Kansas City and Cleveland under 8.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Brewers at Phillies—Colin Rea is the starter for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in eleven games on the season putting up an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.34. The righthander strikes out 16.2% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls are 39.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has eleven starts with an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 1.39. The lefthander fans 21.5% with 7.7% walks. Grounders sit at 59.6% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
The Brewers are batting .217 against lefthanders. Philadelphia at home is batting .252 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. Sanchez at home has an ERA of 1.74 in five starts. Rea on the road has an ERA of 4.74 in his five starts. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +122.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Dodgers at Pirates—Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow in twelve starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 0.91. The righthander has an elite K rate of 33.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls are 44.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Jared Jones starts for Pittsburgh. Jones has eleven starts with an ERA of 3.55 with WHIP of 1.01. The rookie righty is fanning 27.8% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.8% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.27 in their 27 home games. They are averaging 4.3 runs per game at home. Los Angeles is hitting .262 against righthanders putting up 5.2 runs per game. Pittsburgh is 26-12 to the over as a home underdog of +125 or higher the past two seasons. Los Angeles is 26-12 to the over against the NL Central the past two seasons and 50-34 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and Pittsburgh over 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Rays at Marlins—Ryan Pepiot will start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in nine starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 0.95. The righthander fans 28.3% with 32.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.4% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Jesus Luzardo is the starter for Miami. Luzardo has nine starts with an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander strikes out 24% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.3% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .277 against left handers and putting up 5 runs per game against them, winning nine of fourteen. Miami is batting .214 against the American League losing ten of fifteen. They have lost 21 of 31 at home. The Rays are 33-15 when lined on the road between -100 and -150 the past two seasons with a +14.3-unit return. Play Tampa Bay -113.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Mets at Nationals—David Peterson to start for New York. Peterson in his 2024 debut allowed two earned runs with three strikeouts in five innings at home to the Dodgers. He returned from offseason hip surgery. The lefthander appeared in 27 games in 2023 dealing with an ERA of 5.03 with WHIP of 1.57. He struck out 26% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls were 54.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams has eleven starts with an ERA of 2.22 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander strikes out 21% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 46% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The team record behind Williams is 9-2 this season and 6-0 in his night games. They are 11-5 behind Williams against losing teams the past two seasons with a +9.7-unit return. Washington in their past seven games is hitting .262. New York is 44-63 on the road the past two seasons with a -20.5-unit loss.
Play Washington +102.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Twins at Yankees—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in eleven starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander is striking out 25% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 27.8% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Luis Gil will start for New York. Gil has eleven starts with an ERA of 1.99 with WHIP of 0.95. The righty has an elite K rate of 31.7% with 12.4% walks. Ground balls are 40.1% with 0.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The New York bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.58 in their 26 games where they have won 18. The Yankees are 33-13 against right-handed starters. Minnesota is batting .221 against right-handed starters. They are 4-13 facing a team with a .620-win percentage of higher this year with a -10.3 unit loss. Play New York -157.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Orioles at Blue Jays—Corbin Burnes is the starter for the Orioles. Burnes in twelve starts on the season delivers an ERA of 2.35 with WHIP of 1.05. The veteran strikes out 24.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 51% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Bowden Francis is the starter for Toronto. Francis appeared in five games with an ERA of 8.59 with WHIP of 1.70. The righty is fanning 25% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.9% with 2.45 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto is batting .222 in their first fifteen divisional games. Baltimore is batting .225 in their 31-night games. Baltimore is 47-28 to the under facing teams that average 0.9 home runs per game or fewer the past three seasons. Toronto is 20-10 to the under facing teams with an OBP of .330 or lower this season. Play Baltimore and Toronto under 8.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Braves at Red Sox—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in eleven starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 2.97 with WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander strikes out 20.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 63% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford starts for Boston. Crawford has twelve starts with an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 23.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.3% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston is batting .226 against left-handed starters going under in 10 of 15 against them. The Braves bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.25. Atlanta is batting .247 against right-handed starters going under in 27 of 36. They are 15-2 to the under against the American League. Play Atlanta and Boston under 8.
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Tigers at Rangers—Jack Flaherty to start for Detroit. Flaherty has eleven starts in the season producing an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander has an elite K rate of 34% with 3.8% walks. Grounders are 45.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Dane Dunning is starting for Texas. Dunning in nine starts delivers an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.20. The righty is striking out 27.7% with 11.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.6% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Detroit bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.11 in their 30 games. In their past seven games the Tigers are batting .268 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Dunning has pitched well at home and limiting baserunners. Play Detroit and Texas under 8.5.
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
White Sox at Cubs—Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in 12 games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 5.50 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 18% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls are 35.9% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Shota Imanaga will start for Chicago. Imanaga has ten starts with an ERA of 1.86 with WHIP of 1.00. The righty is striking out 25.5% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls are 36.9% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cubs are batting .223 at home and putting up 4.1 runs per game. Flexen on the road has a WHIP of 1.28. The White Sox are 3-1 at Wrigley in their previous four meetings. Play White Sox on run line +1.5 runs at +120.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Andre Pallante will start for St Louis. Pallante appeared in ten games in the season dealing with an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander is striking out 14.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 62.3% with 0.56 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti has nine starts with an ERA of 5.98 with WHIP of 1.65. The righty is fanning 25.5% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.9% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.71 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Houston in their past seven games is batting .211. They have a losing record at home. St Louis bullpen on the road has a WHIP of 1.19. The Astros are 23-37 at home when lined between -100 and -150 the past two seasons with a -24.4-unit loss. Play St Louis +131.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Reds at Rockies—Frankie Montas is the starter for Cincinnati. Montas in ten starts on the season delivers an ERA of 4.60 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander fans 15.9% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.3% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach appeared in eight games delivering an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander strikes out 12% with 4.9% walks. Grounders served at 43.6% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is batting .212 against left-handed starters, losing 12 of 19. The Rockies have shown improvement in their past two home stands. Montas in his four road games has an ERA of 6.75. Blach has pitched better at home. The team record behind Montas is 11-26 the past two seasons. The team record behind Blach is 13- when a home under dog of +100 with a +11.9-unit return. The Rockies are 45-48 when a home underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +18.6-unit return. Play Colorado +122.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Padres at Angels—Adam Mazur will start for San Diego. Mazur is making his MLB debut on Tuesday. He was the Padres pick in the 2022 first player draft. He put up good numbers in Double A the past two seasons. In four Triple A starts this year the righthander had an ERA of 7.11 with WHIP of 1.32 striking out 18 batters in 19 innings. Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval has twelve starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 5.34 with WHIP of 1.48. The lefthander is striking out 23.8% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.7% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .233 against left-handed starters putting up 2.5 runs per game going under in 13 of their first 20. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.57. The Angels in their past seven games are batting .191. The Padres are 60-35 to the under facing a starter with allows 5.5 hits per start or fewer the past two seasons. Play San Diego and Los Angeles under 8.5.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Mariners at Athletics—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in twelve starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander strikes out 23.3% with 2.2% walks. Ground balls are 36.3% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Spence is the starter for Oakland. Spence appeared in fourteen games with an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.15. The righty is striking out 22.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.9% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland’s bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.45 in their 19 games. Seattle in their past seven games is batting .205. The team record behind Kirby is 0-6 on the road this season and 2-10 when working on 5-6 days rest the past two seasons. Play Oakland +139.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/4/2024
Giants at Diamondbacks—Kyle Harrison will start for San Francisco. Harrison in twelve starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander is striking out 21.3% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.9% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Blake Watson is the starter for Arizona. Watson in his two appearances allowed two earned runs with nine strikeouts in 8 2/3rd innings. A first-round draft pick who had an ERA over 4.50 the past two seasons in Triple A. In 2022 his ERA of 5.16 with WHIP of 1.45 in Double A.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .258 against left handers and putting up 5.6 runs per game. They are batting .274 in divisional games, winning 12 of 21. San Francisco bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.68 losing 18 of 30. The Diamondbacks are 75-57 facing an NL team with an OBP of .325 or lower the past two seasons with a +17.3-unit return. Play Arizona +107.