Free MLB Picks For Today 5/28/2024

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/28/2024

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/28/2024

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Game 1 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Game 1 Dodgers at Mets—Tyler Glasnow will start for Los Angeles. Glasnow in 11 starts on the season posts an ERA of 3.09 with WHIP of 0.91. The veteran has an elite K rate of 33.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.5% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill in two starts allowed three earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 9 innings of work. He returned from a shoulder strain. In 60 career appearances the righty has an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.41 striking out 266 batters in 272 1/3rd innings of work.

The Pick:

The Los Angeles bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.34 in their 24 games. They are 12-5 to the under in Day Games as they bat .229 and put up 3.6 runs per game. The Mets bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.81 in their first 16 home games. They are batting .204 at home going under in 16 of their first 26. New York is 47-23 to the under at home against righthanders the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and New York under 8.5.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Red Sox at Orioles—Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello in eight starts on the year delivers an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander is striking out 21.1% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.6% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings. Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez has eight starts with an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.33. The righty is fanning 26.6% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 34.5% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Red Sox on the road are batting .252 and putting up 4.9 runs per game winning 16 of their 28 games. Their bullpen away from home has an ERA of 2.84. Baltimore is batting .222 in their night games. The team record behind Bello is 13-5 on the road the past two seasons with a +9.6 net rating. Boston is 27-23 an underdog of +125 to +175 the past two seasons with a +15.7-unit return. Play Boston +150.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Pirates at Tigers—Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones has ten starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 0.97. The rookie righthander fans 29.4% with 4.3% walks. Grounders dished at 39.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Tarik Skubal is the starter for Detroit. Skubal in ten starts delivers an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 0.85. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 31.2% with 4.3% walks. Grounders sit at 44.6% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Pittsburgh is batting .199 against the American League putting up 2.5 runs per game. The Tigers are batting .231 against righthanders and trending to the under in these games. Play Pittsburgh and Detroit under 7.

St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Cardinals at Reds—Kyle Gibson will start for St Louis. Gibson in ten starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran is striking out 18.7% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.4% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Andrew Abbott is the starter for Cincinnati. Abbott in ten starts delivers an ERA of 2.68 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander fans 18.8% with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.3% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.50 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.

The Pick:

Cincinnati is batting .216 at home. St Louis has shown improvement scoring and hitting the baseball over their past seven games. The Reds are 31-40 as a road favorite of -100 to -150 the past three seasons with a -17.8-unit loss. Play St Louis +108.

Oakland Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Athletics at Rays—Mitch Spence is the starter for Oakland. Spence appeared in 13 games deals with an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 22.1% with 8.1% walks. Grounders sit at 54.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Zack Littell starts for Tampa Bay. Littell has ten starts with an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty fans 23.6% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.1% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Athletics are batting .195 in their 30-night games pushing across 2.7 runs per game and losing 21 of those games. The Rays are putting up four runs per game at home. Play Tampa Bay -101.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Nationals at Braves—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin has ten starts on the year deals with an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander strikes out 19% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried is the starter for Atlanta. Fried in ten starts has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander fans 20.4% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 64.6% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Atlanta bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.44. They are batting .249 at home going under in 24 of 32. Washington’s bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.68 in their 28 games. The Nationals are 47-29 to the under as a road underdog of +175 to +250 the past two seasons. Washington is 6-1 to the under facing an NL team on the road with an OBP of .325 or lower this season. Play Atlanta and Washington under 8.5.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Blue Jays at White Sox—Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman in ten starts on the year provides an ERA of 4.47 with WHIP of 1.43. The veteran strikes out 25.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.7% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.14 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold. Mike Clevinger starts for Chicago. Clevinger in four starts has an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.94. The righthander is fanning 19.2% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 34% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Chicago is batting .201 in their past seven games. The Blue Jays on the road are hitting .228. The Blue Jays are 36-15 to the under facing the AL Central the past two seasons. They are 37-20 to the under facing AL Teams that average 4.4 runs per game or fewer the past two seasons. Play Toronto and Chicago under 8.5.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Cubs at Brewers—Ben Brown to start for Chicago. Brown appeared in 12 games posts up an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 28% with 9.3% walks. Grounders come in at 37% with limited home run damage. Chad Patrick to start for Milwaukee. Patrick will make his MLB debut coming to the Brewers with a trade last November. He put up poor numbers in the minor last year. This year in Triple A, the righty has an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.19 working 41 2/3rd innings and striking out 45.

The Pick:

Chicago is batting .185 in their past seven games, putting up 2.6 runs per game. Milwaukee is batting .265 against right-handed starters putting up 5.2 runs per game and winning 28 of their 45 games against them. They are 14-7 against the Division this season. Play Milwaukee -156.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Royals at Twins—Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans in eleven starts on the year posts an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander is striking out 29.8% with 8.2% walks. Grounders served at 42.5% with limited home run damage. Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardsons has seven starts puts up an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 18.2% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.4% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

On the road the Royals are batting .227 and at .500. Minnesota is batting .259 against left-handed starters and putting up 4.4 runs per game. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.18. KC is 9-32 facing good control pitchers that average 1.75 walks per starter or fewer the past two seasons with a -18.7-unit loss. Play Minnesota +111.

Game 2 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Game 2 Dodgers at Mets—Gavin Stone will start for Los Angeles. Stone has nine starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.60 and WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 16.3% with 8.1% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.6% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana is the starter for New York. Quintana has ten starts with an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 15.9% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls are 47.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Los Angeles in their past seven games are batting .214 and putting up 2.9 runs per game. The Mets bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.79. Quintana has put up better numbers at home and Stone on the road. The Dodgers bullpen on the road and Mets at home are in good form. New York is 14-5 to the under facing right-handed starters this season. Los Angeles is 36-22 to the under facing an NL team with a .245 or lower batting average the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and New York under 9 in Game 2.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Diamondbacks at Rangers—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt in ten starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.05 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 23.5% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.2% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Dane Dunning will start for Texas. Dunning has eight starts with an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is striking out 27.8% with 10.7% walks. Grounders sit at 42.6% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Arizona facing the American League is batting .206 in their 12 games losing eight of them. The Rangers bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.21 in their 25 games. The Diamondbacks run production at home against Miami in their series is concerning. Play Texas.

PART 2

Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Guardians at Rockies—Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie in ten starts carries an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander fans 20.2% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls served at 35.4% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.47 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner has ten starts with an ERA of 5.07 with WHIP of 1.44. The righty is striking out 20% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.2% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.

The Pick:

Cleveland is batting .228 against right-handed starters. Colorado has won seven of eight at home. In their past seven games they are averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Rockies are 44-47 as a home underdog of +100 or greater the past two seasons with a +18.3-unit return. They are 14-9 when facing a team with a .620 or higher win percentage at home this season with a +12.3-unit return. Play Colorado +129.

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Yankees at Angels—Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes in eleven starts produces an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander has a K mark of 23.9% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 30.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Griffin Canning is the starter for Los Angeles. Canning has ten starts with an ERA of 5.05 and WHIP of 1.37. The righthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 16.1% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 34% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Los Angeles is batting .290 against left-handed starters and putting up 6.1 runs per game in their ten games against them. Their bullpen ERA at home is 6.15 in their 25 games. New York is batting .262 against right-handed starters putting up 5 runs per game on them in their 43 games. Los Angeles is 30-15 to the over when lined as a home underdog of +100 or greater the past two seasons. Play New York and Los Angeles over 9.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Astros at Mariners—Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown in ten appearances produces an ERA of 7.06 with WHIP of 1.78. The righthander deals 21.8% Ks with 11.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 48.1% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo has 11 starts with an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.21. The veteran strikes out 25.6% with 6.7% walks. Grounders sit at 36.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Seattle has a bullpen ERA of 2.99 and is batting .217 at home going under in 17 of 25 there. The Mariners are 15-5 to the under when lined between -100 and -150 this season. Play Houston and Seattle under 7.5.

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Marlins at Padres—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in eight starts on the year carries an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander is striking out 25.3% with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 34.2% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron has ten starts with an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.44. The righthander fans 23.5% with 8.6% walks. Grounders dished at 37.4% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.80 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.

The Pick:

San Diego is batting .227 against left-handed starters this year going under in 11 of 17 against them. The Marlins bullpen has performed well on the road. They are batting .221 on the road going under in 17 of 26 there. The team is 9-0 to the under with Waldron in night games the past two seasons. The Padres are 20-5 to the under when facing an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower the past two seasons. Play Miami and San Diego under 7.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/28/2024

Phillies at Giants—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in eleven starts on the year deals with an ERA of 2.53 and WHIP of 0.98. The righthander is fanning 27.9% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.1% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Howard is the starter for San Francisco. Howard failed to land on the roster following training camp. He has ten Triple A starts with an ERA of 5.90 and WHIP of 1.56 striking out 57 in 44 innings. The righty has 38 appearances in his career with an ERA of 7.20 and WHIP of 1.67 in 115 innings of work and 109 strikeouts.

The Pick:

San Francisco is batting .269 in their past seven games and pushing across 6.9 runs per game. They have won nine of their past eleven games. The Phillies have lost three of four on this trip. Play San Francisco +190.

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/28/2024

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