Free MLB Picks For Today 4/21/2024
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/21/2024
Rays at Yankees—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in four starts carries an ERA of 2.74 with WHIP of 0.91. The righthander is striking out 29.2% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.2% with 1.96 home runs per nine innings. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil has three starts dealing an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.43. The righty is fanning 32.8% with 23% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.2% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
Team record behind Civale is 29-11 facing an AL Team with a .400 or worse slugging percentage with a +17.9-unit return. The Rays are batting .286 on the road. The Yankees in their first seven against the division are batting .228. Play Tampa Bay +120.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/21/2024
Athletics at Guardians—Ross Stripling to start for Oakland. Stripling in four starts on the year carries an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 1.65. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 17.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.1% with limited home run damage. Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has four starts with an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.71. The righty strikes out 20.9% with 11.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Athletics in their fifteen games facing right-handed starters are batting .196. Team record behind Stripling against the run line is 3-12 on the road when facing a team that is outscoring opponents by 0.5 run or greater with a -12.2-unit loss. The Guardians are 26-16 to the run line at home facing an AL team averaging 3.9 runs per game or fewer the past three seasons. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/21/2024
Orioles at Royals—Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin in three starts on the year posts an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.70. The lefthander fans 16.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 42% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo is the starter for the Royals. Lugo has four starts producing an ERA of 1.05 with WHIP of 1.05. The veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 12.9% with 5.9% walks. Grounders sit at 46.9% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
Kansas City against left-handed starters are putting up 6.7 runs per game in their three games against them. The Orioles in their first thirteen games facing right-handed starters are hitting .279 and putting up 6.2 runs per game. Kansas City is 25-11 facing teams outscoring their opponents by one run or greater per game with a +13.3-unit return. Play Baltimore and Kansas City over 9.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/21/2024
Tigers at Twins—Casey Mize to start for Detroit. Mize has three starts delivering an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander is striking out 18.5% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 55.1% with limited home run damage. Louie Varland will start for Minnesota. Varland in three starts has an ERA of 8.36 with WHIP of 2.07. The righty fans 22.2% with 6.9% walks. Grounders come in at 46% with 3.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Twins are batting .183 in their first fourteen games against right-handed starters. Their bullpen in their first six home games have an ERA of 1.61. The Tigers in their first sixteen games against right-handed starters are batting .226. Mize 12-2 to the under in his fourteen Day Games. Varland has faced three good hitting lineups to begin the year. Play Detroit and Minnesota under 8.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/21/2024
Brewers at Cardinals—Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea has three starts on the campaign with an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander strikes out 15.5% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Sonny Gray will start for St Louis. Gray has two starts allowing no runs with 11 strikeouts in 11 innings. He started the season on the injured list with a hamstring. In 2023 he had an ERA of 2.79 with WHIP of 1.15 in 32 starts. The veteran had a K rate of 24.3% with 7.3% walks. Grounders served at 47.3% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
St Louis is their first sixteen games facing right handers are batting .217. The Brewers in their first ten road games are hitting .295 and putting up 6.6 runs per game. Milwaukee is 36-26 when an underdog of +100 to +150 with a +16.6-unit return. St Louis 8-12 at home as a -150 to -200 favorite at home the past two seasons with a -12.7 unit loss. Play Milwaukee +147.
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/21/2024
Mets at Dodgers—Adrain Houser to start for New York. Houser in three starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.70 with WHIP of 1.50. The righthander fans 13.2% with 14.7% walks. Ground balls served at 57.4% with no homers allowed. Tyler Glasnow the starter for Los Angeles. Glasnow has five starts with an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 0.97. The veteran is fanning 29.6% with 7.8%. Ground balls come in at 40.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Dodgers are putting up 5.4 runs per game in their first fifteen home games and batting .268. In their first seven road games the Mets are putting up 7.1 runs per game and hitting .296. The Los Angeles bullpen has struggled at home. Play New York and Los Angeles over 9.