Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders 1-7-24

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders 1/7/24 NFL Week 18 Game Analysis, Tips, and Picks

Dallas Cowboys (11-5) vs. Washington Commanders (4-12)


Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders 1/7/24 – The upcoming NFL Week 18 presents an intriguing matchup as the Dallas Cowboys, boasting an 11-5 record, take on the Washington Commanders, who are struggling at 4-12. This game, scheduled for Sunday at FedEx Field, will be a test of resilience for Washington against the formidable Cowboys. Kicking off at 4:25 PM ET and airing on FOX, this encounter is a key focus for fans and bettors looking for top NFL Super Bowl free predictions.


The Cowboys have displayed an explosive offensive lineup this season. Led by Dak Prescott’s impressive 4341 passing yards at an outstanding 68.4% completion rate and 32 touchdowns thrown, their running attack led by Tony Pollard has proven effective without being dominant; pollard rushed for 935 yards and five touchdowns while CeeDee Lamb has proven an asset as their primary receiver, amassing 1651 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns to create significant threats on defenses.


Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell has had an up and down season, marred by 19 interceptions and 61 sacks while throwing for 3793 yards and 20 touchdowns. Brian Robinson Jr has led their rushing game effectively; rushing 708 yards with five touchdowns as their main force behind this effort. Meanwhile Terry McLaurin has consistently performed in receiving duties, amassing 946 receiving yards with four scores under his belt.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders 1/7/24 Game Info


When: Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: FedEx Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Dak Prescott QB vs. Sam Howell QB


Dak Prescott is coming off another strong season guiding the Cowboys’ prolific passing attack. He has shown precision accuracy and decision-making, demonstrated by his 68.4% completion percentage and 104.2 passer rating. Prescott excels at using his mobility to extend plays while keeping his eyes downfield, as evidenced by his 7.6 yards per pass attempt average. He has also proven incredibly durable over his career, starting all 16 games this season. Prescott is at the peak of his abilities right now, leading an offense filled with playmakers that he distributes the ball effectively to. His 32 touchdowns compared to just 8 interceptions illustrates his dominance this year. Backed by a stout Dallas offensive line, Prescott should be comfortable shredding the Washington secondary in this matchup.


Sam Howell has predictably endured growing pains. He has looked overwhelmed by the speed of the pro game at times, making errant throws under pressure that have resulted in 19 interceptions. Howell’s accuracy has also suffered, as he is only completing 63.1% of passes. However, he has flashed arm talent and mobility in recent weeks. If protected, Howell seems capable of making some big time throws downfield. His running ability could be utilized more in the future. But he has a tough task trying to keep pace with Prescott’s polished excellence leading the Dallas offense.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Dallas Cowboys -800, Total Odds: 46


The Cowboys are heavily favored with a -13 point spread, reflecting their superior season performance and the Commanders’ struggles. The total points over/under of 46 points suggests expectations for a reasonably high-scoring game.


Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends


Dallas is just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) over their past 5 contests, failing to cover large spreads in recent wins over Houston and Tennessee. The Cowboys’ last 3 games have all gone under the total points line. However, Dallas has owned this rivalry lately, covering the spread in 4 of the previous 5 meetings with Washington. They are also 4-1 straight up in those matchups.


Washington Commanders Betting Trends


Washington has been dreadful down the stretch, both straight up and ATS. They have failed to cover in 5 of their last 6 outings. However, Commanders home games have tended to creep over the total recently, doing so in 5 of their previous 7 at FedEx Field. Washington is also 0-6 straight up in their last 6 home games entering this one. But when hosting Dallas specifically, 4 of the past 5 battles have gone under the projected point total.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders 1/7/24 Betting Picks


The Cowboys, with their robust offense and solid defense, seem poised to dominate this matchup. However, the large point spread requires consideration, especially given Dallas’s recent ATS trends.


For exclusive premium handicappers, while the Cowboys are the obvious pick for a straight win, the spread presents a riskier proposition. Prop bets on individual player performances, particularly Prescott and Lamb, might offer better value. The over/under could lean towards the over, considering both teams’ offensive capabilities.


Free Pick and Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 33, Washington Commanders 19


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