Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 NFL Week 18 Best Tips, Spread, and Analysis

Buffalo Bills (10-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (11-5)


Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 – In a highly anticipated NFL Week 18 showdown, the Buffalo Bills, holding a solid 10-6 record, face off against the Miami Dolphins, who have impressively amassed an 11-5 record. This pivotal match is set for Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, airing on NBC. This game is not just a battle for divisional supremacy but also vital for playoff positioning, attracting significant attention from those seeking NFL Super Bowl no-cost picks.


The Bills offense has been led by quarterback Josh Allen, who has amassed 3947 yards, 27 touchdowns and 16 interceptions since taking over as starting quarterback. Allen’s dual-threat play has been at the core of their success; running back James Cook led an effective rush game which garnered 1086 yards with 2 touchdowns while Stefon Diggs emerged as an incredible target of Allen with his 1096 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns to be counted among his accomplishments.


Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins has enjoyed an outstanding year, throwing for 4451 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions while posting an excellent completion rate and passer rating. De’Von Achane has led Miami’s rushing attack with 744 yards rushed in 10 games with 7 touchdowns scored; tight end Durham Smythe has provided steady support with 336 receiving yards contributed thus far.


Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 Game Info


When: Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 8:20 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Josh Allen QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB


Josh Allen has firmly inserted himself into the MVP conversation with his performance this season. In compiling a 103 passer rating, Allen has completed 65.6% of his attempts for 3,947 yards, 27 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. He remains an elite dual threat as well, using his size and speed to make plays with his legs when the pocket collapses. Allen has also demonstrated improved decision-making, cutting down on costly turnovers that plagued him earlier in his career. With the Bills operating at peak efficiency entering January, the offense runs through the versatile quarterback.


For Miami Dolphins, Tua Tagovailoa has enjoyed a breakout year of his own. While inherently lacking Allen’s intimidating physical tools, Tagovailoa has used his trademark quick release and precision accuracy to pick apart opposing defenses. His impressive 69.6% completion clip has led to a sparkling 103 rating—tied with his counterpart Allen—built on 4,451 yards and 28 touchdowns through the air. Tagovailoa has cut down on mistakes by improving his reads, with just 12 interceptions after being prone to errors in prior seasons. With both quarterbacks performing at an extremely high level, the elite passer play under center for each side sets up a scintillating matchup.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -160, Total Odds: 49


The Bills are slightly favored with a -3 point spread, indicative of their strong offensive capability. The total points over/under of 49 points suggests a high-scoring game is anticipated.


Buffalo Bills Betting Trends


Despite the recent 5-1 surge, the Bills have still struggled to cover spreads, going just 3-9 ATS over their last 12 outings. The under has also hit frequently for Buffalo games, going under the total in 8 of its previous 12 matchups.


Miami Dolphins Betting Trends


In contrast to the Bills’ betting trends, Miami has been strong against the number, covering in 13 of its last 19 games. The Dolphin offense has also pushed games over the total recently, going over in 4 of the last 6 Miami contests.


Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 Betting Picks


Considering both teams’ recent performances and betting trends, this game promises to be closely contested. The Bills have the edge in recent head-to-head matchups, but the Dolphins’ strong home record and ATS performance make them a formidable opponent.


For multi-expert top picks, while the Bills are the safer bet for a straight win, the point spread and total points present more complex decisions. Given both teams’ offensive firepower, betting on the over might be a wise choice. Prop bets on key players, especially quarterbacks and primary receivers, could offer additional value.


Free Pick and Prediction: Buffalo Bills 31, Miami Dolphins 28


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