Iowa Hawkeyes (5-2) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (7-1)
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers 12/4/23 – Hawkeyes take on the Purdue Boilermakers in a Big Ten clash on Monday. Iowa has put together a solid start to the season but runs into a red-hot Purdue team that hasn’t lost at Mackey Arena this year. This game will come down to whether Iowa’s offense can keep pace with Purdue’s dynamic attack. NCAAB daily free predictions suggest the Boilermakers should be able to continue their home dominance.
Iowa Hawkeyes have been an offensive powerhouse this season, averaging 90.7 points per game on an efficient shooting approach with 49.3% field goal percentage and 35.6% three-point scoring diversity. When combined with their 77% free throw shooting ability and strong defense, the Iowa Hawkeyes remain formidable adversaries across all aspects of play.
Purdue Boilermakers have demonstrated a more balanced approach, averaging 84.6 points per game on 48.7% shooting efficiency to blend inside dominance with an effective perimeter game that sees them hit 40.9% from beyond the arc. Purdue’s rebounding, particularly on defense, has been instrumental to their success; controlling pace and flow while keeping opponents off balance throughout each contest.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers 12/4/23 Game Info
| When: | Monday, December 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Mackey Arena |
| TV: | BTN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Ben Krikke (Forward) vs. Zach Edey (Center)
Ben Krikke of Iowa has been an outstanding forward this season, scoring an average of 18.7 points on 61.4% field goal shooting efficiency to make himself an effective force both inside and out as evidenced by his 50% three-point shooting ability and scoring both inside and outside (50 three-pointers made) simultaneously – yet his rebounding and defensive stats suggest there may still be room for growth.
Purdue’s Zach Edey has been an impressive force. Averaging 23.5 points and 11.1 rebounds per game, Edey’s impactful play on both ends of the court cannot be denied; while his 2.9 block per game and limited outside shooting may prove somewhat hindering in an increasingly perimeter-focused game.
Krikke and Edey will engage in an intriguing battle of versatility against dominance when they meet on the court. Krikke’s mobility and shooting could expose Purdue’s defense while Edey’s size and skill in the post will test Iowa’s interior defense – their faceoff could prove decisive to deciding the outcome of the game.
NCAAB Odds/Point Spread: Purdue Boilermakers -1000, Total Odds: 164.5
Our model projects Purdue as 12.5-point favorites. With Iowa’s defensive issues and Purdue’s significant size advantage, this spread is justified. The total sitting at 164.5 is also reasonable given both teams’ scoring capabilities, especially at Mackey Arena where Purdue loves to run up the score. Overall, the betting odds provide some added value on Purdue’s moneyline while accounting for their dominance at home over Iowa in recent years.
Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends
Iowa has struggled against the spread this year, covering in just 3 of their last 10 contests. But the over has hit in 9 of their previous 12 outings. This reflects their defensive struggles combined with an efficient offense. In their matchups with Purdue, Iowa is just 3-6 ATS and 2-7 straight up over the past nine meetings. Most recently last March, they lost to the Boilermakers by 13 points in the Big Ten Tournament. Iowa has also dropped six straight road games against conference foes.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends
Purdue rides a host of impressive betting trends into this home matchup with Iowa. The Boilermakers are 7-1 straight up on the year and 5-0 at Mackey Arena. They have also won five consecutive home games over Iowa. While Purdue has found great success on the court, they have struggled to cover spreads. The Boilers are just 1-6 ATS over their last seven conference games and 0-9 ATS over their previous nine December contests.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers 12/4/23 Betting Picks
Our model predicts Purdue will emerge with a 83-73 victory against the spread. Iowa’s poor defensive rebounding and interior defense play right into the hands of Zach Edey and Purdue’s big men. The Boilermakers are simply too talented and physical for Iowa to contain.
Look for Purdue to control the pace and pound the ball inside to Edey, opening up clean looks for their perimeter shooters when Iowa collapses. The Boilermakers should easily cover the 12.5-point spread in the process.
Back Purdue on the moneyline and consider the under 164.5 points. Our premium game analysis reflects outstanding value backing the Boilermakers at home, where they play their best basketball behind a dominant performance expected from center Zach Edey against an overmatched Iowa frontcourt.
Free Pick and Prediction: Ohio State Buckeyes 81, Minnesota Golden Gophers 70