Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Alabama Crimson Tide 12-4-23

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 12/4/23 NCAA Men’s Basketball Best Picks, Preview, and Forecast

Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-6) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2)


Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 12/4/23 – The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-6) take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2) in an SEC matchup on Monday night. Arkansas State has struggled this season, winning just two games so far. Meanwhile, Alabama looks to continue its strong start as it hosts the Red Wolves. It’s a prime game for those interested in free NCAAB parlay picks, with the underdog Red Wolves looking to upset the well-established Crimson Tide.


The Red Wolves’ troubles come on both ends of the court. They average just 74.3 points per game on 41.1% shooting. Turnovers have also been an issue, with Arkansas State coughing it up 14.8 times per contest. Defensively, opponents are scoring freely to the tune of 80.8 PPG on 46.9% shooting.


Alabama has no such problems offensively. The Crimson Tide average a robust 94.9 PPG on 50.9% shooting, including 40.7% from three. They share the ball effectively as well, assisting on 14.3 buckets per game. Alabama also brings an aggressive defense, forcing 18.4 opponent fouls and 7.7 steals each time out.


Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 12/4/23 Game Info


When: Monday, December 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Coleman Coliseum
Stream: Sofascore


Taryn Todd (Guard) vs. Mark Sears (Guard)


Taryn Todd leads Arkansas State, averaging 13 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. However, he has struggled with efficiency, converting on just 38.3% of his shots. At 5’11”, Todd lacks size as well. He will need to limit mistakes while hitting perimeter shots to keep this game competitive.


Mark Sears has been a breakout star for Alabama, posting 20.7 points per game on excellent 58.9%/51.6% shooting splits. His quickness, range and playmaking (4 APG) make him a matchup nightmare. Expect Sears’ offensive firepower to continue against the Red Wolves’ porous defense.


This guard battle presents a clash of styles. Todd must excel for Arkansas State to have any upset hopes. But Sears brings far too much offensive talent for him to keep pace with. His versatile scoring and efficiency should overwhelm Todd and Arkansas State all night long.


NCAAB Odds/Point Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide -22.5, Total 164.5


The oddsmakers foresee an Alabama rout, installing the Tide as 22.5-point home favorites. That large spread comes from a clear talent disparity between these programs. While the total sits at 164.5, Alabama alone could eclipse that if it pours on the points.


Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends


The trends paint a grim picture for an Arkansas State cover. The Red Wolves have gone 1-4 SU and ATS over their last five contests. They are also just 1-11 SU on the road this season. When facing SEC opponents, Arkansas State has gone 1-10 SU in its last eleven games. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS over their previous five December games as well.


Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends


Conversely, betting trends favor the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 14-4 SU in its last 18 matchups overall. The Tide is an astounding 19-1 SU over its previous 20 home games. They also boast a 19-1 SU record against Sun Belt opponents in their last 20 meetings. While Bama has gone just 2-9 ATS over its last 11 December contests, expect their sublime 5-2 SU start to continue with force at home.


Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 12/4/23 Betting Picks


Given the trends and stats, Alabama is the clear favorite. However, the large spread presents a risk for bettors. Arkansas State, despite their struggles, has shown the ability to score, which could allow them to cover the spread, especially considering Alabama’s ATS performance in December.


For those looking for top-rated sports picks, while Alabama is expected to win, the value might lie in Arkansas State covering the spread, given the high point differential. The over/under is challenging, but given both teams’ scoring trends, the over could be a reasonable choice.


Free Pick and Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide 92, Arkansas State Red Wolves 72


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