Brentford (4-4-5) vs. Luton Town (2-3-8)
Brentford vs. Luton Town 12/2/23 – In a fascinating English Premier League fixture, Brentford, with a decent record of 4-4-5, will lock horns with Luton Town, who are struggling at 2-3-8, on Saturday. The match is set for a 10:00 AM ET kickoff at the Gtech Community Stadium and will be televised on PEAC. This encounter is drawing significant attention in the world of Free Sports Selections, as both teams aim to boost their standings in the league.
Brentford’s attack, led by top scorers Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, has shown flashes of brilliance but struggled recently, scoring just three goals over their last five games. However, Luton’s defense concedes the second-most goals in the EPL, so Mbeumo and Wissa will look to exploit that weakness.
Meanwhile, Luton Town finds goals hard to come by. Their leading scorer Carlton Morris has just three goals, and the team averages less than a goal per game. Containing Brentford’s leaky defense won’t be easy, especially for struggling goalkeeper Thomas Kaminski.
Brentford vs. Luton Town 12/2/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 10:00 AM ET |
| Where: | Gtech Community Stadium |
| TV: | PEAC |
| Stream: |
Mark Flekken GK vs. Thomas Kaminski GK
Brentford’s Mark Flekken has been decent if unspectacular in goal this season. Through 13 starts, Flekken has committed just one foul while suffering two. His disciplinary record is solid with only a single yellow card while avoiding any reds. While his 31 saves are middling, he has kept a respectable three clean sheets behind Brentford’s questionable defense. However, his 48% save percentage indicates room for improvement in one-on-one situations. Still, Flekken offers stability between the sticks and will feel he can improve on that save rate given Luton’s lack of attacking threats. Though they beat the keeper 22 times already, Luton averages just over one goal per game. So if Flekken can stymie their leading scorer Carlton Morris, he should fancy his chances at a clean sheet on Saturday.
Meanwhile, Thomas Kaminski has endured a difficult season marred by Luton Town’s porous defense. He has made 52 saves, third most in the English Premier League this campaign. However, despite the heavy workload, Kaminski has kept just two clean sheets while allowing 22 goals in 13 starts. His save percentage sits at 41%, indicating poor shot-stopping ability relative to other EPL keepers. With Brentford’s scoring threats entering Saturday well-rested, Kaminski figures to be tested early and often. The likes of Mbeumo will believe they can beat Kaminski from distance as well as on low crosses into the box. For Luton to have any chance, Kaminski must stand on his head and hope his defense limits Brentford’s 23 total shots per game.
Soccer Odds/Point Spread: Brentford -225, Total Odds: 2.5
The odds favor Brentford, reflecting their relatively better performance in the league. The point spread of -1 for Brentford suggests that they are expected to win by at least one goal, while the total odds of 2.5 indicate an expectation of a moderate number of goals in the match.
Brentford Betting Trends
Brentford has scuffled lately with just two wins over their last five games, but their offense has shown the ability to catch fire at home. The over 2.5 goals has hit in five of Brentford’s last seven home contests. Backing their shaky defense is riskier, with the over cashing in three of their last five games.
Luton Town Betting Trends
While Luton Town has lost eight of their last ten games, they have actually fared well against the spread recently at 3-2 over their previous five outings. They have also gone over 2.5 goals in three straight contests as their defensive issues persist. Still, this game at Brentford looks a tricky one for Luton Town to continue covering spreads.
Brentford vs. Luton Town 12/02/2023 Betting Picks
Brentford enters Saturday’s fixture as clear favorites given the home pitch advantage and their superior talent. Luton Town’s awful road defense that concedes over two goals per away match seems unlikely to cope with Brentford’s scoring threats.
The over on total goals scored also looks enticing at +105 odds. Brentford’s home over tendencies and Luton’s defensive woes make a high-scoring affair the most likely outcome. For a prop bet, consider Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo to score anytime at +145 odds against Luton’s porous backline.
Premium Predictive Analysis sees value in backing high-flying Brentford to cover the spread at home against struggling Luton Town.
Free Pick and Prediction: Brentford 3, Luton Town 1.