Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints 12/3/23

Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints 12/3/23 NFL Week 13 Odds, Best Picks, and Spread

Detroit Lions (8-3) vs. New Orleans Saints (5-6)


Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints 12/3/23 – The Detroit Lions roll into New Orleans in Week 13 boasting an 8-3 record, good for first place in the NFC North. The Saints, meanwhile, are 5-6 and third in the NFC South as they fight to stay alive in the playoff race. This game features two offenses with contrasting styles and expert handicapping tips indicate it could come down to whether the Lions’ fifth-ranked scoring unit can continue its success against opponent’s defense.


Detroit deploys a balanced attack, with quarterback Jared Goff efficiently guiding an offense that thrives on the ground as much as through the air. Running back D’Andre Swift is averaging 5 yards per carry and has scored five times in six games, while receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown is delivering another stellar campaign. They’ll test a Saints defense allowing the sixth-fewest points per contest but struggle against the run.


New Orleans has seen quarterbacks Andy Dalton and Jameis Winston combine for 16 touchdowns against 10 interceptions, but the team ranks bottom-five in points per game. Running back Alvin Kamara has received a lighter workload after missing time to injury, while rookie Chris Olave has been the team’s top receiver. They’ll try to find room against Detroit’s 20th-ranked scoring defense.


Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints Game Info


When: Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Caesars Superdome
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Jared Goff QB vs. Andy Dalton QB


Jared Goff’s resurgence has sparked Detroit’s run to contention. His 96.9 rating ranks among the NFL’s best and he has distributed the ball evenly to his playmakers. Always a rhythm passer, Goff has found his groove in recent weeks, slicing up opposing defenses with quick throws and excellent decision making. He’s kept mistakes to a minimum, with just 8 interceptions on the year. If he avoids turnovers and stays in sync with his elite receivers, Goff should continue his efficient play against a struggling Saints secondary.


Carr has not adjusted well to New Orleans. His 89.8 rating is barely serviceable and he’s eclipsed 250+ yards only twice all year. Carr looks tentative and uncomfortable in the pocket, a far cry from the confident gunslinger he was for years in Oakland and Las Vegas. He’s especially struggled on deep balls, completing just 5 passes over 30 yards. For the Saints to compete, Carr must regain his downfield aggression and poise against pressure. If he can buy time and push the ball outside the numbers, it would open up throwing lanes to all areas of the field. But Carr’s regression casts serious doubts on those possibilities against a Lions defense adept at turning quarterbacks over.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Detroit Lions -154, Total Odds: 44.5 


The Lions are narrow road favorites despite the Saints enjoying home field advantage. This indicates respect for Detroit’s fifth-ranked scoring unit against a New Orleans defense that has performed well in points allowed but shows some vulnerabilities. The total reflects oddsmakers’ expectations of an eventful matchup.


Detroit Lions Betting Trends


Detroit boasts ATS and SU success in recent games, while trending to the OVER. They have also dominated this matchup historically ATS and SU, while continuing to play to high-scoring affairs with New Orleans. Backing the Lions ATS and OVER look to be sound plays.


New Orleans Saints Betting Trends


Conversely, the Saints have mostly struggled, especially against the spread. With UNDERs cashing frequently, the data suggests New Orleans could have trouble keeping up with Detroit’s offense. Betting against the Saints seems prudent based on their poor run of form.


Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints 12/3/23 Betting Picks


The Lions enter this contest as the superior team, and the metrics back that up. Detroit’s offense matches up well against a Saints defense vulnerable against the run, while New Orleans may not have the firepower to win a shootout. Laying the points on the road, while also playing the OVER, are the recommended wagers. The Lions should win and cover in a high-scoring affair.


Expect Detroit’s balanced offense to move the ball consistently and top 30 points for a sixth straight game. New Orleans may rally at home, but top NFL picks today point to a 34-27 Lions victory.


Free Pick and Prediction: Detroit Lions 34, New Orleans Saints 27



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