Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-1) vs. San Francisco Dons (4-2)
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. San Francisco Dons 11/26/23 – The Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-1) take on the San Francisco Dons (4-2) on Sunday in a non-conference NCAA Men’s Basketball matchup. Check out our analysis and key players performances for this exciting game before locking in your daily NCAAB selections.
The Golden Gophers have started the season strong, going 4-1 across their first five games. Their lone loss came in a close matchup against UNLV. Minnesota is led by forward Dawson Garcia, who is averaging 18.8 points and 8.8 rebounds per game while shooting an efficient 47.5% from the field. If Garcia can dominate down low, it will go a long way toward Minnesota securing the road victory.
The Dons have gone 4-2 across their first six games but have dropped two of their last three matchups. All-WCC forward Jonathan Mogbo leads the team with 14.8 points and 8.8 rebounds per contest while shooting a blistering 76.5% from the floor. His battle down low with Garcia could determine the outcome of this game. If Mogbo can contain Minnesota’s star and San Francisco hits their open looks from deep, they should defend their home court.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. San Francisco Dons 11/26/23 Game Info
|Sunday, November 26, 2023, at 8:30 PM ET
Dawson Garcia (Forward) vs. Jonathan Mogbo (Forward)
Dawson Garcia has made an immediate impact since transferring to Minnesota, emerging as their offensive catalyst. He’s a versatile scoring threat who can hurt defenses from all three levels. Garcia is averaging 18.8 points per game while shooting 47.5% from the field and 26.7% from three. He’s also contributing 8.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest. However, Garcia has struggled with turnovers at times, coughing it up 1.8 times per game. He’ll need to limit mistakes against a San Francisco team that thrives on forcing errors.
Jonathan Mogbo has been excellent for San Francisco, anchoring the frontcourt with his efficient scoring and rebounding. He’s putting up 14.8 points on a sizzling 76.5% from the floor, while adding 8.8 boards per game. Mogbo does most of his damage around the rim but doesn’t take many shots away from the basket. His limitations as a shooter allow defenses to sag off him and protect the rim. If Minnesota opts to use a zone scheme, it could neutralize some of Mogbo’s effectiveness as a scorer.
This matchup will likely decide the outcome of the game. If Garcia can exploit his versatility to get buckets inside and out while holding his own defensively against Mogbo, it would give Minnesota a major edge. But if Mogbo dominates the glass and scores efficiently inside, San Francisco’s odds of victory go way up. The Dons have more perimeter weapons around Mogbo as well.
NCAAB Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers +151, Total Odds: 139
Despite playing on the road, Minnesota enters this contest as narrow 4.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 139 points. Based on these teams’ pace of play and defensive metrics, that number seems about right. Backing the Golden Gophers to keep things close or win outright has some value.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Trends
The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been covering machines lately, going 4-0-1 ATS across their last five. They also play a faster brand of basketball conducive to high-scoring affairs, hitting the over in 9 of their past 13 contests. Backing Minnesota to cover and the over on the total could be smart wagers in this spot.
San Francisco Dons Betting Trends
The San Francisco Dons have been reliable against the spread lately, covering in 7 of their past 8 outings. They’ve also gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 thanks to scrappy defense. San Francisco typically starts seasons hot as well, boasting a 17-3 SU record across its last 20 November tilts.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. San Francisco Dons 11/26/2023 Betting Picks
This game will likely come down to the battle of Dawson Garcia vs. Jonathan Mogbo. If Garcia can exploit his versatile, inside-out scoring attack while limiting Mogbo’s production, Minnesota has a great shot at covering the 4.5-point spread as road underdogs. The total of 139 also seems reasonable based on these teams’ pace and defensive metrics. Back the Golden Gophers to keep things close behind a big game from Garcia while the score finishes near the projected total for some strong expert premium insights.
Free Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Golden Gophers 73, San Francisco Dons 71