New Orleans Saints (5-5) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-6)
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/26/23 – At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday afternoon, in one of the key Week 12 matches in the NFL, the New Orleans Saints 5-5 travel to Atlanta Falcons, who currently possess a 4-6 mark, and face them off against each other for an important divisional rivalry game that could affect both teams’ playoff hopes. FOX will broadcast this matchup live. Both fans and analysts alike are currently assessing these teams’ current standings and potential going into Sunday’s matchup. NFL top picks have garnered considerable interest among both fans and pundits alike.
The Saints have utilized an effective combination of solid passing and moderate rushing on offense this season. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, completing 65.9% of his passes for 2231 yards but the team has struggled to convert yardage into points consistently. Alvin Kamara has been their main contributor, amassing 388 rushing yards and two touchdowns but their offense hasn’t seen the explosive plays it typically displays; Chris Olave has become an indispensable target; amassing 657 receiving yards with three touchdowns as he displays his ability as a playmaker!
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder has shown promise but also faced difficulties, completing 65.4% of his passes for 1740 yards and posting an under-.500 record. Bijan Robinson led their rushing attack with 612 rushing yards and two touchdowns while Drake London, the top receiver on their team with 474 receiving yards, provided reliable option for Ridder to utilize during games. Unfortunately, like their New Orleans counterparts, Atlanta has struggled to turn these performances into scoring drives, leading them down an inconsistent path that led them below .500 record.
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Info
| When: | Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Derek Carr QB vs. Desmond Ridder QB
Derek Carr has provided the New Orleans Saints quarterback position with remarkable stability, highlighted by an 89.8 passer rating. His experience and sound decision-making capabilities have proven indispensable; yet translating that performance to wins has proven difficult for the team. Against Atlanta Falcons defense which has displayed some vulnerabilities, Carr’s leadership and precision passing will prove of paramount importance.
At Atlanta Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder has had to navigate an extremely demanding path as their starting quarterback. While his statistics such as passing yardage and completion percentage are commendable for such limited experience, his ratio of touchdowns to interceptions as well as number of sacks indicate areas for development that will determine whether or not Ridder can achieve victory on home turf against New Orleans Saints’ aggressive style defense will make a decisive statement about Ridder’s performance for victory on that front.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans Saints -110, Total Odds: 41.5
The betting odds are evenly matched for both teams, with the Saints at a -110 moneyline and a +0.5 point spread. The total over/under for the game is set at 41.5 points, indicating expectations of a moderately scoring game.
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
The Saints have struggled against the spread, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also trended towards low-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 13 of their last 16 games. Their record of 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against the Falcons, however, suggests a historical advantage in this matchup.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons have faced challenges both ATS and SU, going 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games. Similar to the Saints, the Falcons have seen the total go UNDER in 11 of their last 16 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games.
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/26/23 Betting Picks
Considering the trends and current form of both teams, this matchup appears to be evenly poised. The Saints’ historical advantage in this rivalry and slightly more efficient passing game could give them an edge. However, the Falcons’ home-field advantage and dynamic rushing attack cannot be overlooked.
Expert Handicapping makes this game difficult to call; both teams could hold an edge; however, given their strong performance at home makes the Falcons a viable pick with such a close spread. Prop bets on individual player performance such as rushing or receiving yards could bring value while betting against total under would also make sense given current trends.
Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 21, Atlanta Falcons 20