Air Force Falcons (8-3) vs. Boise State Broncos (6-5)
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos 11/24/23 – The Air Force Falcons (8-3) take on the Boise State Broncos (6-5) in a Mountain West showdown on Friday, November 24 at 4:00 PM ET. With bowl eligibility on the line, this late-season matchup has major implications in the race for the conference title. Let’s dive into the odds and NCAAF free selections for this Western clash.
Led by quarterback Zac Larrier, Air Force comes into this contest as one of the hottest teams in the country behind a punishing ground attack. The Falcons have found a recipe for success with their methodical option offense, beating opponents into submission with a relentless rushing attack. Emmanuel Michel is the workhorse in the backfield and will be counted on to loosen up the Boise State defense for big plays through the air.
Meanwhile, the Broncos will look to sophomore quarterback Taylen Green to make enough plays with his arm and legs to keep pace. Running back Ashton Jeanty powers this offense behind a physical offensive line. If Boise State can control the time of possession and limit Air Force’s opportunities with the ball, they could pull off the upset at home. Wideout Eric McAlister is Green’s top playmaker on the outside.
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos 11/24/23 Game Info
| When: | Friday, November 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Albertsons Stadium |
| TV: | FS1 |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Zac Larrier QB vs. Taylen Green QB
Zac Larrier has put together an efficient season running Air Force’s triple-option offense. Completing just under 60% of his passes, Larrier does an excellent job taking care of the ball and hitting big plays when they’re available. With 744 passing yards and 6 touchdowns against only 2 picks, Larrier’s 186 passer rating shows his effectiveness moving the chains and avoiding mistakes. His mobility and decision making pose a major threat to the Boise State defense.
Taylen Green exploded onto the scene for Boise State this season, using his athleticism to make plays with both his arm and legs. Completing 53% of his passes, Green has racked up nearly 1300 passing yards and 8 touchdowns through the air. While he has struggled with turning the ball over at times this season, the talented sophomore seems to have found his groove late in the year. His running ability gives the Broncos an added dimension in the red zone.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Air Force Falcons +210, Total Odds: 46
Given their contrasting styles, expect a close, competitive battle between these Mountain West foes. The Falcons have been solid against the spread this season, covering in 5 out of their last 6 contests. With the total set at 46 points, take the over as both teams have the playmakers to reach the end zone. While Boise State is favored at home, look for Air Force to beat the 6.5-point spread behind a dominant ground game that shortens the contest.
Air Force Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons are 13-3 straight up in their last 16 games, establishing themselves as one of the top teams in the Mountain West over the past two seasons. Their punishing ground attack allows them to control the time of possession and wear down opponents. However, they have struggled against the spread, going just 1-4-1 ATS over their previous 6 contests. The under has hit in 4 out of Air Force’s last 5 outings.
Boise State Broncos Betting Trends
Boise State’s record against the spread is less consistent, with the total going over in 8 of their last 12 matchups. The Broncos are .500 over their past 9 games straight up, though they have taken care of business at home this year. Boise State is 4-0-1 ATS over their previous 5 contests at Albertsons Stadium. They are 13-3 straight up against Mountain West opponents over the past two seasons.
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos 11/24/23 Betting Picks
This late-season Mountain West showdown will have major implications on the conference championship race. The contrast in styles makes for an intriguing matchup, with Air Force looking to control possession and limit Boise State’s opportunities. Given their strong record against the spread and ability to shorten the game, take the Falcons and the points. The over also holds value based on the potency of both offenses. Look for Air Force to hand Boise State a sixth loss. Expert premium insights predict a close battle, with the Falcons winning outright 34-30 on the road behind a monster game from Emmanuel Michel.
Free Pick and Prediction: Air Force Falcons 34, Boise State Broncos 30