New Mexico State Aggies (8-3) vs. Auburn Tigers (6-4)
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers 11/18/23 – As Week 12 of NCAAF kicks off, New Mexico State Aggies boasting an impressive 8-3 record will take on Auburn Tigers with an equally respectable 6-4 mark for an exciting battle at Jordan-Hare Stadium this Saturday afternoon. Expert exclusive picks suggest an advantage for Auburn due to being at home, creating even greater intrigue considering both teams possess different styles and strengths.
The Aggies have been an uplifting surprise this season, in no small part due to the exceptional performances of Monte Watkins and Jonathan Brady. Watkins has been an absolute menace to opponents with 10.8 yards per rush attempt; and Brady averages 16.9 yards per reception showing off his ability to make big plays consistently and provide effective offense for this team’s success this year. Their dynamic offensive partnership is key in driving their success.
Auburn Tigers depend heavily on Jarquez Hunter and Jay Fair. Hunter has proven his value by averaging 6 yards per carry while scoring seven touchdowns this year. Fair, although less explosive than Brady, also provides reliable options to their passing game and provides significant contributions in terms of passing game success.
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers 11/18/2 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET|
Diego Pavia QB vs. Payton Thorne QB
Diego Pavia, quarterback for New Mexico State’s Aggies, has been key in their incredible 8-3 record this season. Completing 59% of his pass attempts with 2257 passing yards for an 8.6 yards per pass attempt average and 80 yard longest pass are impressive indicators of Pavia’s arm strength and accuracy – as is his 8.6 yards per pass attempt average and 80-yard longest throw! However, Pavia does face challenges such as 16 sacks which have resulted in loss of 109 yards; with Auburn’s aggressive defensive line however this could become irrelevant; his decisions under pressure and ability to connect with receivers like Jonathan Brady will become essential elements in successfully maneuvering them out.
Payton Thorne of Auburn Tigers exhibits a distinct style of quarterback play. Boasting an impressive completion percentage of 63.5%, Thorne prefers a methodical and controlled approach to passing play, evidenced by 1432 passing yards. Thorne uses shorter passes focusing on maintaining possession while gradually moving chains along – including 20 sacks but only 85 yards lost to them compared to Pavia. His connections with receivers such as Jay Fair have proven an integral component of the Tigers’ offense, though not producing as many thrilling plays like Aggies do.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Auburn Tigers -2550, Total Odds: 48.5
The betting odds heavily favor the Auburn Tigers, reflecting their home-field advantage and consistent performance. The spread suggests a predicted comfortable win for Auburn, but New Mexico State’s recent form, especially against the spread, cannot be ignored.
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends
The Aggies have been stellar ATS, going 8-0 in their last 8 games. Their road performance is notable, being 5-0 ATS in away games. While their overall success against Southeastern conference teams is poor (0-20 SU), their ability to cover spreads cannot be underestimated. The total has gone over in most of their recent November games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs.
Auburn Tigers Betting Trends
Auburn shows a strong ATS performance, especially in November and against Independents (FBS) conference teams. Their home advantage is significant, as indicated by their 5-2 ATS record in recent home games. The total going under in most of their Week 12 games suggests a tight defense, which could be key against the Aggies’ potent offense.
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers 11/18/23 Betting Picks
Given their analysis and trends, it appears that Tigers hold an edge, especially at home. Yet the Aggies’ ability to defy odds, particularly against the spread, makes them a tempting underdog pick; NCAAF daily predictions often predict close games that defy odds’ wide spreads.
Prop bettors might consider betting on the Aggies’ ability to score and cover spreads despite being underdogs as profitable prop bets. With both teams showing offensive potential, leaning toward over could be wise.
Free Pick and Prediction: Auburn Tigers 35, New Mexico State Aggies 17