Boise State Broncos (5-5) vs. Utah State Aggies (5-5)
Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies 11/18/23 – As Week 12 of college football season commences, Boise State Broncos and Utah State Aggies both boasting 5-5 records will clash this Saturday in a critical Mountain West clash that could be crucial in both teams’ pursuit of bowl eligibility. Fans looking for free NCAAF picks should find this contest particularly riveting given its even playing fields and potential high-scoring action.
Boise State Broncos enter this game with an array of weapons at their disposal. Running back Ashton Jeanty has been one of the standout performers, racking up 157 attempts for 921 yards and 11 touchdowns on just 157 attempts, which shows his ability to find gaps and exploit them quickly. Jeanty will set the tone on the ground while wide receiver Eric McAlister provides them with an effective deep threat capable of stretching Aggies defenses further.
Utah State Aggies possess their own arsenal. Running back Rahsul Faison averages 6.9 yards per rush attempt and poses a serious threat, especially with his ability to break for long runs of 60 yards or more. Jalen Royals stands out in the passing game as well with 54 receptions and 11 touchdowns; his matchup against Boise State’s secondary could prove decisive in this contest.
Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies 11/18/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET|
|Where:||Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium|
Taylen Green QB vs. Cooper Legas QB
Boise State quarterback Taylen Green has had an eventful season, posting a completion percentage of 54%, 1205 passing yards, six touchdowns against six interceptions and a passer rating of 120.9 which indicates some inconsistency and vulnerability to sacks (-29 sack yards lost) which may come into play against Utah State’s defense. Remaining composed under pressure while making accurate throws will be essential to Broncos offensive success.
Cooper Legas, on the other hand, boasts more impressive numbers. Boasting an imposing 64.7% completion rate and 1687 passing yards along with 18 touchdown passes he is more effective leading his team’s offense than Boise State’s quarterback despite frequent sacks totalling 95 sack yards lost (Legas has had difficulty reading defensive schemes from Boise State). Legas decision-making against their defensive strategies will be key.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Boise State Broncos -165, Total Odds: 63.5
The current betting odds favor the Broncos slightly, with a spread of -3.5 and a moneyline of -165, reflecting their perceived edge over the Aggies. The total set at 63.5 points suggests expectations of a high-scoring affair, aligning with both teams’ recent trends of going over the total in their respective games.
Boise State Broncos Betting Trends
The Broncos have shown tremendous strength against the spread, particularly against Utah State, winning all six matches between them and going undefeated against them on paper – going 6-0 against them this season against them with an 82% success rate at covering spreads (9-1 ATS in last 10 road games against Utah State) as evidence of strong away performance trending and total over/under games occurring frequently within their last eight contests against them.
Utah State Aggies Betting Trends
Utah State has shown mixed trends over their last five games, going 4-1 against the spread but losing all nine home matchups against Boise State by an aggregate score. Seven out of their last nine contests saw over-goals take place; an indication of Utah State’s tendency for high-scoring contests.
Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies 11/18/23 Betting Picks
Based on analysis and betting trends, this matchup leans slightly in Boise State’s favor. Their ability to consistently cover the spread against Utah State coupled with potency of their offensive weapons make them a strong pick; however, Utah State cannot be underestimated when it comes to offensive firepower, making this game potentially tight contest.
For bettors looking for premium play predictions, the smart money might be on taking Boise State to cover the spread, given their historical ATS performance against Utah State. The over on the total points also seems like a tempting pick, considering both teams’ recent trends of high-scoring games.
Free Pick and Prediction: Boise State Broncos 35, Utah State Aggies 30