Texas State Bobcats (6-4) vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5)
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves 11/18/23 – As the NCAAF season ramps up, attention has turned towards the Week 12 matchup between Texas State Bobcats and Arkansas State Red Wolves at Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday. Not just a match between teams but one that tests strategies, skills, and willpower; this contest promises to be a decisive one! Fans and bettors alike eagerly await NCAAF picks and previews that may help predict its outcome.
Texas State has put together an admirable season and come into this matchup with a mixed bag of performances from their roster. Ismail Mahdi, with 1050 rushing yards and eight touchdowns under his belt, and Joey Hobert (804 receiving yards), have both played pivotal roles in their offensive strategies; their coordinated plays could provide Texas State with an edge against Red Wolves’ defenses.
Arkansas State Red Wolves have balanced out their season at 5-5 and should not be underestimated. Running back Ja’Quez Cross has been an impressive performer, amassing 522 rushing yards and three touchdowns – combined with Courtney Jackson’s 18.6 yards per reception average and six touchdowns, they form an effective offensive pair. Finding holes in Bobcats defense may prove key in tilting this matchup in their favor.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves 11/18/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Centennial Bank Stadium |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
TJ Finley QB vs. Jaylen Raynor QB
TJ Finley, quarterback of Texas State’s Bobcats has been an instrumental figure this season. Amassing 2553 passing yards with an impressive completion percentage of 68.9% and 18 touchdowns, his impact can’t be understated. Finley excels at long-range throws – his average of 8.5 yards per pass attempt illustrates this ability under pressure – yet is vulnerable to sacks with 23 total this year being an area for Arkansas State to exploit.
Jaylen Raynor from Arkansas State presents a distinct style. With 1834 passing yards and a completion rate of 58.5%, Raynor trails Finley for consistency; however, his 9.2 yards per pass attempt suggests his potential to make significant ground gains when successful. Raynor will need to improve his decision-making under pressure as this performance could determine who wins this matchup.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas State Bobcats -170, Total Odds: 59.5
The betting odds lean slightly towards the Texas State Bobcats, with a spread of -3.5 and a moneyline of -170, indicating their favored status. The total points for the game are set at 59.5, suggesting expectations of a low-scoring affair.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Trends
Texas State’s recent betting trends reveal some cause for alarm, particularly their 1-4 record against the spread in their last five games overall and road games, and their difficulty within Sun Belt Conference West Division further highlights these problems. It would be wise for bettors interested in Texas State to proceed with caution.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends
Arkansas State has shown more promising trends recently, boasting an ATS record of 5-2 over their last 7 games. Their ability to keep total UNDER in recent games both overall and specifically against Texas State indicates an effective defensive strategy; when combined with their superior record at home against them this makes Arkansas State an appealing bettors option.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves 11/18/23 Betting Picks
The analysis and trends paint a picture of a closely contested game. The Bobcats, despite being favored, have notable weaknesses, especially in away games. The Red Wolves, with their strong home performance and recent betting trends, emerge as a potential upset threat. For those seeking sports premium strategy picks, considering the underdog in this matchup, especially with the point spread, could be a strategic move.
Texas State is generally seen as the favorite, but given the nuances of the game and player matchups as well as historical trends, it seems likely that Arkansas State could cover the spread or even win outright. Prop bets focusing on individual player performances might provide additional value. Betting on over/under odds may also prove valuable but given both teams’ recent trends leaning toward UNDER may be safer option.
Free Pick and Prediction: Texas State Bobcats 28, Arkansas State Red Wolves 27