San Diego State Aztecs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels 11/17/23

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels 11/17/23 NCAA Men’s Basketball Odds, Picks, and Predictions

San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels (2-1)


San Diego State Aztecs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels 11/17/23 – As the NCAAB season unfolds, one highly anticipated matchup between San Diego State Aztecs and Saint Mary’s Gaels is set to occur this Friday. Fans eagerly anticipate this game with both teams boasting similar standings; therefore, bettors looking to make informed NCAAB daily picks will find this contest crucial in making informed daily choices.


San Diego State Aztecs boast an excellent balance between offensive and defensive performances. Averaging 71.2 points per game at 43.8% field goal percentage, their offensive efficiency is impressive while their 3-point shooting, which averages 6.9 makes per game with 34.8% success rate, adds another dimension. On defense, their opponents struggle against them due to 6.7 steals and 3.9 blocks per game – however their 11.5 turnovers per game could present opportunities for Gaels.


Saint Mary’s Gaels stand out with their stats as being slightly more efficient when it comes to scoring, boasting a 45.5% field goal percentage while maintaining an average of 70.7 points per game. Prowess beyond the arc with an average of 7.5 three-pointers made per game at 36.5% is their hallmark strength while their defense ranks just behind, boasting similar steals and blocks stats while having a lower turnover rate (10.7) which gives them an edge for maintaining possession.


San Diego State Aztecs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels Game Info


When: Friday, November 17, 2023 at 9:30 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Arena
Stream: Sofascore


Jaedon LeDee (Forward) vs. Aidan Mahaney (Guard)


Jaedon LeDee has been an impressive force this season for the Aztecs, averaging 25 points and 9.3 rebounds per game with impressive field goal accuracy (62.5%) and free throw percentage (76.7%), making him a reliable scorer. But his 28.6% 3-point shooting could pose problems against teams like Gaels who defend effectively around the perimeter; LeDee’s defense contributions of 1.7 steals and 0.7 blocks per game will help in shutting down their offensive efforts.


Aidan Mahaney of the Gaels brings an alternative skill set. Averaging 17 points per game on 44.4% shooting efficiency with 34.8% success from 3-point range can stretch Aztecs defense and create opportunities for his team. Mahaney’s assist rate at 3.3 per game highlights his playmaking ability while his lower rebound and steal rates illustrate a different style of play than LeDee’s playstyle.


LeDee and Mahaney will make for an intriguing matchup on both ends of the floor, as LeDee’s size, scoring ability in the paint, and Mahaney’s perimeter shooting and playmaking skills present an ideal inside-outside confrontation that could decide the game’s outcome. 


NCAAB Odds/Point Spread: Saint Mary’s Gaels -101, Total Odds: 130.5


The current betting odds slightly favor the Saint Mary’s Gaels, with a -1 point spread. The total odds set at 130.5 points suggest a moderately high-scoring game, aligning with both teams’ scoring averages.


San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends


The Aztecs’ betting trends reveal an array of results. A recent 1-4 ATS record indicates difficulties covering the spread, something bettors should keep in mind when betting them. At the same time, their 17-3 record in their last 20 games shows an impressive winning potential and four out of their last five games have ended OVER in total points scoring, suggesting their games tend to have higher scoring events than expected.


Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Trends


The Gaels’ betting trends reveal a team that excels under certain conditions. Their impressive 16-4 record in their last 20 games and 7-1 mark against the spread on Fridays when playing at home are important indicators to bettors, while five consecutive matches with totals going UNDER suggest strong defensive play – something which could prove pivotal against teams such as the Aztecs.


San Diego State Aztecs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels 11/17/23 Betting Picks


From an analysis and betting trends perspective, this matchup presents an exciting contest. While the Aztecs may have struggled against the spread, their capacity to win outright games remains strong; with impressive home and Friday records at home and on Friday making them compelling candidates as safe bets given their outstanding defensive capabilities.


In terms of betting, while the Gaels seem to have a slight edge, the Aztecs’ ability to score and their overall game strength cannot be underestimated. Prop bets on individual performances, especially for key players like LeDee and Mahaney, could offer value. The over/under at 130.5, given both teams’ scoring averages and recent trends, seems poised for the OVER, though the Gaels’ defensive prowess might tilt it towards the UNDER. The premium strategy picks would balance these aspects with the close nature of this matchup.


Free Pick and Prediction: Saint Mary’s Gaels 68, San Diego State Aztecs 66