Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 11/18/23

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 11/18/23 NCAAF Week 12 Analysis, Picks, and Forecast

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-7) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6)


Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 11/18/23 – As the NCAAF season progresses into Week 12, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, standing at 3-7, are set to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs with a record of 4-6. This matchup, slated for Saturday, November 18, 2023, is not just a game; it’s a battlefield where strategies, strengths, and weaknesses will be tested. Fans and bettors alike are keenly looking for NCAAF game-winning tips as the excitement builds for this encounter at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.


Analyzing the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, much of their hope hinges on the dynamic duo of Frank Gore Jr. and Jakarius Caston. Gore Jr., a robust running back, has rushed for an impressive 970 yards this season, demonstrating his ability to penetrate defenses. His average of 4.9 yards per rush attempt and 9 touchdowns are testaments to his consistency and threat in the red zone. Wide receiver Jakarius Caston, on the other hand, brings a different dimension to the Eagles’ offense. With 30 receptions and 518 receiving yards, his average of 17.3 yards per reception indicates his big-play ability, making him a crucial weapon against the Bulldogs’ defense.


Mississippi State Bulldogs counter with their own set of key players. Running back Jo’Quavious Marks, with 500 rushing yards and a notable 5.2 yards per rush, has been a reliable force in the backfield. His ability to find gaps and extend plays will be vital against the Eagles. Wide receiver Lideatrick Griffin, tallying 588 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, offers a significant threat through the air. His 14.3 yards per reception average showcases his potential to make game-changing plays.


Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Game Info


When: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Stream: Sofascore


Billy Wiles QB vs. Will Rogers QB


Billy Wiles, quarterback for Southern Miss, has had a challenging season. With 151 completions out of 282 attempts, he has amassed 1845 passing yards but has struggled with a 53.5% completion rate. His 10 passing touchdowns against 6 interceptions and 20 sacks show room for improvement, particularly in handling pressure and making decisive plays.


Will Rogers of Mississippi State presents a contrasting picture. His statistics, including 105 completions, 1275 passing yards, and a stronger 61.4% completion rate, signal a more efficient season. With 10 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions, Rogers showcases better decision-making skills under pressure, potentially giving the Bulldogs an edge in quarterback play.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs -800, Total Odds: 46.5


The betting odds lean heavily towards Mississippi State, as reflected in the -800 moneyline. The total odds set at 46.5 suggest an expectation of a moderately high-scoring game, possibly driven by both teams’ offensive capabilities.


Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends


Southern Miss shows a mixed bag in betting trends. They are 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games, indicating challenges in beating the odds. However, their record of going OVER in 12 of the last 16 games, including 5 straight on the road, suggests their games tend to be higher scoring. Notably, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in November, hinting at a late-season surge.


Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends


Mississippi State’s recent betting trends are not encouraging. Their 1-8 ATS record in the last 9 games and 0-5 ATS at home highlight significant struggles against the spread. However, their 10-1 SU record against Sun Belt conference opponents is a positive. The trend of OVER in 4 of their last 5 games played in Week 12 further indicates a tendency for higher-scoring games.


Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 11/18/23 Betting Picks


Considering the analysis and trends, this game presents a complex picture. Southern Miss shows potential for improvement and has performed well against the spread in November historically. Mississippi State, despite the poor ATS record, has a stronger overall team, particularly in quarterback play.


The better pick seems to lean towards Mississippi State, but the -14 spread is a tough call given their ATS record. The over/under at 46.5 might be more tempting, especially given both teams’ trends towards high-scoring games. The exclusive insights suggest focusing on the potential for a high-scoring affair, perhaps leaning towards the OVER.


Free Pick and Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs 30, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 20



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