East Carolina Pirates (1-8) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls (4-5)
East Carolina Pirates vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 11/11/23 – The NCAAF landscape presents a unique clash as the struggling East Carolina Pirates prepare to face off against the Florida Atlantic Owls in Week 11. As fans and analysts alike search for free college football predictions, all eyes turn to FAU Stadium on Saturday. The Pirates, holding a disheartening 1-8 record, seek to salvage what they can from a season that’s seen few highlights. On the other side, the Owls, with a slightly better standing at 4-5, aim to inch closer to a balanced record and possibly bowl eligibility.
The Pirates enter this match as underdogs, and rightfully so, given their 0-5 straight-up record in their last five games. However, it’s crucial to highlight the key contributions of Rahjai Harris and Jaylen Johnson. Harris, with 96 rushing attempts leading to 324 yards and 4 touchdowns, has been a beacon of effort in the Pirates’ offensive lineup. Johnson, hauling in 36 receptions for 381 yards and scoring once, is a wide receiver capable of making pivotal plays when it counts.
Conversely, the Owls bring forth a sense of cautious optimism, propelled by standout performances from Larry McCammon and LaJohntay Wester. McCammon’s impactful rushing, featuring 607 yards and 5 touchdowns, has been a consistent source of advancement for the Owls’ offense. Wester, an explosive receiver with 87 receptions for a staggering 1004 yards and 8 touchdowns, is set to challenge the Pirates’ secondary.
East Carolina Pirates vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET|
Alex Flinn QB vs. Daniel Richardson QB
Alex Flinn of East Carolina has had a tumultuous season, reflected in his 105 completions out of 204 attempts, accumulating 1063 yards with a completion rate of 51.5%. His 5.2 yards per pass attempt and 94.9 passer rating paint the picture of a quarterback who’s had his share of challenges, including 7 interceptions and 19 sacks. Flinn’s strengths lie in his resilience, but the game against the Owls will test his ability to connect with key players while under pressure and avoid turnovers.
In contrast, Daniel Richardson has been a more solid performer for the Owls, completing 152 of his 242 passing attempts with a higher efficiency of 62.8% and achieving a total of 1555 yards. His 11 touchdowns against 8 interceptions and a superior 125.2 passer rating highlight his more consistent play. Richardson’s decision-making skills and ability to read the defense will be pivotal against the Pirates’ lineup.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls -275, Total Odds: 44.5
The Owls enter the game favored by -275 on the moneyline with a 7.5 point spread, suggesting confidence from the oddsmakers in their ability to cover. The total set at 44.5 points is intriguing, especially considering the underwhelming offensive production from the Pirates.
East Carolina Pirates Betting Trends
The betting trends indicate a tough road for the Pirates. With the total going UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games, and their recent track record of losses, bettors may be hesitant. However, their 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 11 offers a glimmer of historical resilience in this specific week.
Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Trends
Florida Atlantic, despite their more favorable record, have their own concerns. Their 1-7 SU in their last 8 games in November reveals a pattern of struggles in late-season games. Yet, their strong 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played in week 11 could indicate a potential to buck the trend.
East Carolina Pirates vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Considering the data, my final thoughts lean towards a cautious approach. The Owls seem primed to take advantage of a Pirates team that has been underperforming throughout the season. When looking at elite game picks, Florida Atlantic’s defensive edge and the playmaking ability of Wester and McCammon give them the upper hand.
The Pirates’ ability to beat the spread in week 11 historically should not be overlooked, making them a potentially attractive pick against the spread. However, for outright winners, the Owls’ stronger season performance and superior quarterback play tilt the scales in their favor. The under might also be a smart play, given the offensive struggles of East Carolina and the betting trend data.
Free Pick and Prediction: Florida Atlantic Owls 28, East Carolina Pirates 17