Matt Frevola vs Benoit Saint Denis 11-11-23

UFC 295: Matt Frevola vs. Benoit Saint Denis 11/11/23 Picks, Prediction, and Odds

UFC 295: Frevola vs Saint Denis 11/11/23 – Amidst the vibrant nocturnal rhythm of New York City, the prestigious Madison Square Garden prepares to host a critical lightweight confrontation. On November 11, 2023, precisely at 11 PM ET, the curtains of UFC 295 will rise to reveal a compelling face-off between Matt “The Steamrolla” Frevola and Benoit “God of War” Saint Denis. This encounter not only highlights the formidable martial capabilities of both athletes but also serves as a crucial juncture for MMA future picks. Observers and experts within the sport are meticulously examining the combatants’ records and metrics, seeking to endorse a fighter whose performance will excel within the hallowed confines of the octagon.


UFC 295: Frevola vs Saint Denis 11/11/23 Game Info


When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 11:00 PM ET
Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY


Matt “The Steamrolla” Frevola Analysis


Analyzing Matt Frevola first, with an 11-3-1 record, he comes off as a solid, well-rounded fighter. Frevola’s average fight time sits just shy of eight minutes, signaling his fights tend to resolve quicker than average – an indicator of both finishing ability and vulnerability. At 5’9″ and 155 pounds, he’s a compact fighter with a 71″ reach and an orthodox stance, which serves him well in striking exchanges and takedown setups.


Frevola’s striking output of 3.72 significant strikes per minute at 41% accuracy might seem modest, but it’s balanced by his respectable striking defense at 59%. It’s in the grappling department where “The Steamrolla” looks to live up to his moniker. He averages over two takedowns per 15 minutes and has shown a propensity to control opponents on the ground. However, a takedown defense of only 42% could be his Achilles’ heel, particularly against an opponent with a high takedown rate. Despite this, his submission average per 15 minutes is robust at 0.9, reflecting his capability to end fights on the ground. Frevola’s most recent win against Drew Dober was a testament to his grit and capacity to rebound from adversity.


Benoit “God of War” Saint Denis Analysis


Benoit Saint Denis enters with a compelling 12-1-0 (1 NC) ledger, showing fewer losses but also less experience in the octagon. At 5’11” with a 73″ reach, Saint Denis has a slight height and reach advantage over Frevola, and being a southpaw can create awkward angles for his orthodox opponent. His fight time averages slightly longer, suggesting a steadier pacing or more drawn-out contests.


In the striking department, Saint Denis lands an impressive 5.59 significant strikes per minute at a higher accuracy of 52%. However, his striking defense is considerably lower at 44%, possibly exposing him to counter-strikes. His grappling stats are striking; with an average of 4.72 takedowns per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 36%, he showcases an aggressive grappling strategy. His takedown defense is formidable at 80%, and a higher submission average suggests he’s very comfortable fighting off his back and looking for the finish. Saint Denis’s win over Thiago Moises demonstrated a relentless pace and a diverse skill set.


Matt Frevola vs. Benoit Saint Denis Stats


Frevola  Saint Denis
Wins/Losses/Draws 11-3-1 12-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 7:57 8:16
Height 5′ 9″ 5′ 11″
Weight 155 lbs. 155 lbs.
Reach 71″ 73″
Stance Orthodox Southpaw
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.72 5.59
Striking Accuracy 41% 52%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.56 5.27
Defense 59% 44%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.26 4.72
Takedown Accuracy 36% 36%
Takedown Defense 42% 80%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.9 1.4


Matt Frevola vs. Benoit Saint Denis Betting Pick


Both fighters have their strengths, but the numbers lean towards Benoit Saint Denis. His higher striking output and accuracy, combined with his aggressive grappling and superior takedown defense, set him apart. Additionally, the southpaw stance and reach advantage could prove to be a significant factor against Frevola’s orthodox approach. Considering these statistics and recent performances, the pick here is Benoit Saint Denis. He is poised to leverage his grappling and striking advantages to overcome “The Steamrolla” and further ascend the lightweight ranks.


Free Pick: Benoit “God of War” Saint Denis -228


In conclusion, this lightweight bout between Frevola and Saint Denis is teeming with potential. While Frevola’s tenacity and ground game make him a formidable opponent, Saint Denis’s dynamic striking and grappling acumen position him as the premium winning pick. As UFC 295 draws near, the smart money seems to favor “God of War” Saint Denis to claim victory in the famed Madison Square Garden arena, adding another chapter to his ascending MMA narrative.


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