Jessica Andrade vs Mackenzie Dern 11-11-23

UFC 295: Jessica Andrade vs Mackenzie Dern 11/11/23 Picks, Prediction, and Odds

UFC 295: Andrade vs Dern 11/11/23 – As the chill of November sets in, the spotlight of the UFC will shine bright upon Madison Square Garden for UFC 295. A compelling Women’s Strawweight bout featuring Jessica Andrade against Mackenzie Dern is on tap for the 11th of November, 2023. Slated for an 11:00 PM ET start, this fight is capturing the attention of MMA enthusiasts, who are on the lookout for sports top selections and breakdowns that can steer them toward making informed betting decisions.


UFC 295: Andrade vs Dern 11/11/23 Game Info


When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 11:00 PM ET
Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY


Jessica “Bate Estaca” Andrade Analysis


Entering the UFC arena with a record that speaks to both her experience and prowess, Jessica Andrade, also known by her fighting epithet “Bate Estaca,” brings to the octagon a commendable history of 24 victories and 12 defeats. Her fighting tenure, as evidenced by an average duration exceeding nine minutes per match, illustrates her proficiency in enduring and strategizing throughout extended bouts, which is a testament to her stamina and analytical fighting approach. At a stature of 5’1″ and maintaining the strawweight standard of 115 pounds, she has consistently demonstrated her capability to be a formidable competitor within her division. With a reach that extends 62 inches complemented by an orthodox stance, Andrade effectively leverages her physical attributes to maximize her fighting style.


Analyzing her striking capabilities, Andrade delivers a noteworthy 6.68 significant strikes each minute, with a precision rate of 50%. Although she receives 5.34 strikes per minute, her defensive tactics are efficient, boasting a rate of 54% and signifying her ability to competently counteract offensive maneuvers from her adversaries. Her grappling credentials are equally compelling, with an average of 2.54 takedowns every 15 minutes and an impressive takedown accuracy of 54%. Crucially, her defense against takedowns is formidable, measured at 70%, a statistic that is likely to play a pivotal role when facing a grappling aficionado such as Dern. In her last bout against Suarez, despite the outcome not being in her favor, Andrade exhibited commendable tenacity and a readiness to confront the multifaceted challenges posed by mixed martial arts engagement.


Mackenzie Dern Analysis


Mackenzie Dern, the opponent, brings a record of 13-3-0 to the contest. Her average fight time of 13:30 shows she’s comfortable in longer bouts, often using time to her advantage to find openings for her world-class grappling. She has a slight height and reach advantage over Andrade, which could factor into both her striking and grappling game plans.


On the striking front, Dern’s numbers are more modest with 3.36 strikes landed per minute at a 40% accuracy. She absorbs 4.09 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 51%. While these figures may not stand out, it’s the grappling stats that tell the story of her fighting style. Averaging 0.81 takedowns per 15 minutes might seem low, but with a takedown accuracy of just 15%, it’s evident that Dern’s strategy is less about scoring takedowns and more about opportunistic grappling. Once on the ground, her submission average of 1.5 per 15 minutes is exemplary. Her recent victory over Angela Hill showcased her persistent pursuit of submissions and her capability to finish fights from any position on the ground.


Jessica Andrade vs. Mackenzie Dern Stats


Andrade Dern
Wins/Losses/Draws 24-12-0 13-3-0
Average Fight Time 9:13 13:30
Height 5′ 1″ 5′ 4″
Weight 115 lbs. 115 lbs.
Reach 62″ 63″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 6.68 3.36
Striking Accuracy 50% 40%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 5.34 4.09
Defense 54% 51%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.54 0.81
Takedown Accuracy 54% 15%
Takedown Defense 70% 40%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.4 1.5


Jessica Andrade vs. Mackenzie Dern Betting Pick


Considering the available data, the pick here is Mackenzie Dern. While Andrade has the striking power and takedown defense that could neutralize many opponents, Dern’s submission expertise is likely to be the decisive factor. Dern’s ability to capitalize on any mistake Andrade makes and turn it into a submission attempt is where the fight will pivot. Additionally, Dern’s improving striking and physical advantages may help her in closing the distance and eventually bringing the fight to the mat.


Free Pick: Mackenzie Dern -185


As UFC 295 beckons, the bout between Jessica Andrade and Mackenzie Dern promises to be an intriguing mix of striking prowess and grappling mastery. With the odds favoring Dern at -185, it reflects the confidence the sportsbooks have in her submission skills to overcome Andrade’s experience and striking advantage. In the realm of MMA game previews and betting, this fight highlights the importance of a multidimensional approach to fight analysis. It’s not merely the fighter’s past performances that one must consider, but also how their stylistic tendencies will interact in the dynamic environment of the octagon. With all variables weighed, Dern’s jiu-jitsu acumen is expected to guide her to a victory in what could be a highly technical and competitive bout.


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