North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs 11-10-23 NCAAF Week 11 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs 11/10/23 NCAAF Week 11 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

North Texas Mean Green (3-6) vs. SMU Mustangs (7-2)


North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs 11/10/23 – As the college football season marches into its eleventh week, the North Texas Mean Green and the SMU Mustangs prepare to face off in what promises to be an engaging matchup on Friday, November 10, 2023. With North Texas looking to upset the rhythm of the SMU Mustangs at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, the dynamics are ripe for a riveting college football game prediction. The Mean Green, sitting at a 3-6 record, are seeking to salvage their season, while the Mustangs are galloping ahead with a strong 7-2 standing.


The contrasting fortunes of these teams set the stage for a pivotal showdown under the bright lights of Friday night football, aired on ESP2. With the Mean Green struggling to keep a consistent win record and the Mustangs maintaining a dominant home streak, the layers of intrigue deepen, inviting analysis of form, key players, and betting intricacies.


Gridiron Showdown: North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs – Offensive Powerhouses Clash in High-Stakes Battle


The North Texas Mean Green, despite their less-than-ideal win-loss tally, have been showing resilience against the spread, going 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. Ayo Adeyi, their explosive running back, boasts 716 rushing yards with a notable 7.3 yards per rush attempt, providing a glimmer of offensive firepower. Alongside Adeyi, wide receiver Ja’Mori Maclin emerges as a crucial player for North Texas with his impressive 766 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, becoming a beacon of hope for the Mean Green’s offense.


On the flip side, the SMU Mustangs are riding high on a 5-0 SU streak in their latest games, which is complemented by a perfect home record. The Mustangs’ robust offense is partly attributed to the efforts of their running back, Jaylan Knighton, who has dashed for 511 rushing yards this season. Jake Bailey, though not having found the end zone, has provided a reliable set of hands with 384 receiving yards, playing a pivotal role in SMU’s consistent chain-moving.


North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs 11/10/23 Game Info


When: Friday, November 10, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
Where: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Stream: Sofascore


Chandler Rogers QB vs. Preston Stone QB


Chandler Rogers, quarterback for the North Texas Mean Green, enters this matchup with a commendable 63.5 completion percentage, amassing 2,445 passing yards this season. Despite being under duress with 20 sacks, Rogers has shown resilience, with a passer rating of 151 signaling his ability to lead his team under pressure. His tactical nous, evident through his 21 touchdown passes against 3 interceptions, will be vital in dissecting the Mustangs’ defense.


Conversely, SMU’s Preston Stone has demonstrated his prowess with a slightly lower completion rate of 58.9% but an impressive 8.4 yards per pass attempt, hinting at his downfield threat. Stone’s season has been characterized by precision and productivity, with a balanced 21 touchdowns to 5 interceptions ratio. His ability to evade pressure, taking only 8 sacks, speaks to his agility and spatial awareness in the pocket, critical factors that could steer the game’s outcome.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: SMU Mustangs -901, Total Odds: 67.5


The odds indicate a strong leaning towards the SMU Mustangs, who are favored by 13.5 points, a testament to their formidable performance, especially at home. With the total set at 67.5, the betting lines suggest an expectation of a high-scoring affair, which aligns with the offensive capabilities of both teams.


North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends


North Texas’s recent history against the spread offers a silver lining to their season, displaying a strong ability to outperform betting expectations. Their trend of staying under the total points in four of their last five games hints at a defense that could potentially stifle the Mustangs’ gallop, making them an interesting pick for under bettors.


SMU Mustangs Betting Trends


The Mustangs have been nothing short of spectacular against the spread in recent matchups, particularly when defending their home turf. Their 5-0 ATS record in the last five home games against North Texas cannot be ignored, making them a formidable force in the eyes of bettors.


North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustangs 11/10/23 Betting Picks


Considering the data and trends at hand, the SMU Mustangs appear poised to continue their dominance at home, given their comprehensive performances and the Mean Green’s struggles on the road. The Mustangs’ ability to cover spreads in home games gives them the edge in this matchup. 


While the total points suggest a high-scoring game, North Texas’s recent trend of unders could indicate a tighter game than expected. Therefore, professional game predictions would lean towards a closer contest, with the Mean Green likely to exceed expectations but ultimately falling short to the Mustangs’ offensive firepower.


Free Pick and Prediction: SMU Mustangs 38, North Texas Mean Green 24  



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