Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (5-4)
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies 11/11/23 – College football season will conclude this Saturday when Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas A&M Aggies square off for what promises to be an epic Week 11 matchup at Kyle Field in Mississippi State. Both teams came into this contest having defeated each other earlier this season with relative ease, creating an anticipated and compelling showdown – this article provides expert NCAAF game tips to better comprehend this eventful showdown!
Mississippi State Bulldogs’ offensive strategies have been notable and unpredictable this season. Attribute much of their momentum to Jo’Quavious Marks’ incredible running back performance; he amassed 500 yards across 97 attempts with an average 5.2 yards per rush average and four touchdowns. Lideatrick Griffin added depth and energy to their passing attack with 38 receptions yielding 554 yards and three touchdowns to support Marks’ ground game success.
Texas A&M Aggies have also displayed impressive offensive prowess. At the center of their strategy is Le’Veon Moss, who leads his team with 439 rushing yards and four touchdowns from 86 attempts – an average of 5.1 yards per rush attempt that speaks to his consistent performance and ability to exploit defensive gaps. Ainias Smith also makes significant contributions – his 39 receptions for 652 yards have led him to an average 16.7 yard reception that highlights his ability to execute big plays while challenging Bulldog defenses as he poses considerable challenges of its own.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET|
Will Rogers QB vs. Max Johnson QB
Mississippi State quarterback Will Rogers has had an uneven year so far. With only 105 completions from 171 attempts at 61.4% completion rate and 1275 passing yards achieved for 10 touchdowns against 4 interceptions and 14 sacks under pressure; yet Rogers managed to maintain an outstanding 138.7 passer rating; with his longest pass covering 65 yards displaying his game-changing potential.
Max Johnson from Texas A&M has completed 118 of 190 passes with 1452 yards gained for an efficiency rating of 136.7 and nine touchdowns at 62% completion rate. Johnson has shown consistent play but may benefit from less interception and susceptibility to sacks (14 total; 100 yards lost). Johnson maintains offensive momentum through long passes of 42 yards or greater while also boasting an efficiency rating of 136.7.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas A&M Aggies -1100, Total Odds: 43
The betting odds favor the Texas A&M Aggies, reflecting their slightly better season record and strong home performance. The spread of -17.5 points for the Aggies indicates expectations of a dominant performance. However, bettors should consider the Bulldogs’ potential to cover the spread, especially given their recent ATS performance against Texas A&M.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends
Mississippi State has had a challenging time covering the spread, with a 1-7 ATS record in their last 8 games. However, their record against Texas A&M (5-2 ATS in the last 7 games) suggests they could defy expectations. Their struggles on the road (UNDER in 6 of the last 8 games) and within the Southeastern conference (1-5 ATS against conference opponents) highlight their challenges in high-pressure games.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends
Texas A&M has been formidable at home, with a 6-1 SU record in their last 7 home games. However, their overall performance in the Southeastern conference (4-9 SU in their last 13 games) and recent ATS struggles (2-4 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11) suggest some vulnerability. The Aggies have tended to go OVER in total points, particularly against West Division opponents and in November games.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Considering the analysis and betting trends, this game presents a unique challenge for bettors. Mississippi State’s ability to cover the spread against Texas A&M historically, combined with the Aggies’ strong home record, makes for a complex prediction scenario.
When making a pick, it’s essential to weigh the Bulldogs’ potential to outperform their recent struggles against the Aggies’ solid home-field advantage. Prop bets on individual player performances, especially for key players like Marks and Smith, could offer value. The over/under at 43 points is intriguing, given both teams’ tendencies in scoring. This game is poised for surprises, and performance expert picks could lean towards a closer game than the spread suggests.
Free Pick and Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs 20, Texas A&M Aggies 27