Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini 11-11-23

Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini 11/11/23 NCAAF Week 11 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Indiana Hoosiers (3-6) vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-5)


Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini 11/11/23 – As the NCAAF season progresses into Week 11, the Indiana Hoosiers and the Illinois Fighting Illini are set to clash in a game that presents a crucial turning point for both teams’ seasons. With the Hoosiers at 3-6 and the Illini at 4-5, neither team can afford a loss if they hope to salvage a respectable record for the season. This game not only holds significance for the teams involved but also for those keen on NCAAF top picks, as the season’s patterns begin to solidify into tangible betting trends.


The Indiana Hoosiers enter this contest with a key player, running back Jaylin Lucas, who has made a notable impact with 63 rushing attempts accumulating 257 rushing yards and bagging 2 touchdowns. Lucas’s average of 4.1 yards per rush attempt is a testament to his consistency and reliability as a rusher. In the air, wide receiver Donaven McCulley has emerged as a significant threat, pulling in 29 receptions for 387 receiving yards and three touchdowns. McCulley’s ability to stretch the field and his 13.3 yards per reception average could be a pivotal factor in breaking through the Illini’s defense.


On the other side, Illinois counters with their own set of key players. Running back Kaden Feagin has bulldozed his way through defenses, netting 418 rushing yards off 89 attempts, while matching his counterpart with an average of 4.7 yards per rush attempt and two touchdowns. Wide receiver Isaiah Williams complements the ground game with his aerial prowess, tallying 59 receptions for 693 receiving yards. His ability to make plays after the catch could pose a significant challenge for the Hoosiers’ secondary.


Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini 11/11/23 Game Info


When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Memorial Stadium
Stream: Sofascore


Tayven Jackson QB vs. Luke Altmyer QB


Tayven Jackson, quarterback for Indiana, has completed 78 passes on 128 attempts this season, accruing 914 passing yards with a completion percentage of 60.9. Despite the commendable yardage, Jackson’s statistics reveal a critical area of vulnerability with 5 interceptions against only 2 touchdowns. His passer rating of 118.3 reflects these challenges. Jackson’s tendency to take risks can result in high-reward plays, but it can also cost the Hoosiers dearly, especially under pressure.


In contrast, Illinois’ Luke Altmyer has shown a promising blend of productivity and efficiency. With a higher volume of completions and attempts at 175 and 270 respectively, Altmyer has notched 1883 passing yards, thrown 13 touchdowns, and has been intercepted 10 times. Although he’s been sacked 34 times, indicating potential weaknesses in pass protection, his passer rating of 131.9 and completion percentage of 64.8 suggest that he can remain composed and deliver under duress.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini -250, Total Odds: 44


The betting odds favor the Illinois Fighting Illini with a -6.5 spread, indicating that oddsmakers anticipate Illinois to win by at least a touchdown. The total odds set at 44 points reflect the expectation of a moderately scoring game, which seems consistent with the teams’ offensive outputs and defensive capabilities.


Indiana Hoosiers Betting Trends


Indiana has had a mixed season in terms of covering the spread, going 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. However, a trend towards high-scoring affairs is noted, with the total going OVER in 5 of their last 6 games. Their recent history against Illinois is favorable, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 encounters. This could signal that despite their overall record, Indiana finds a rhythm against familiar opposition.


Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends


Illinois, on the other hand, has struggled against the spread lately, going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and a worrying 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. However, they are a stronger team in November, boasting an 8-2 ATS in their last 10 November games. This seasonal trend might be an indicator of their ability to perform late in the season when the pressure mounts.


Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 11/11/23 Betting Picks


Considering the analysis and betting trends, it’s clear that this game is a tale of two narratives. Indiana’s success against Illinois in recent matchups could give them a psychological edge, yet their overall performance this season raises concerns. On the flip side, Illinois shows signs of being a late-season team, which could prove crucial in this encounter.


While Indiana might find a way to keep it close, especially with their ATS record against Illinois, the Fighting Illini seem poised to capitalize on their November prowess. The key battle will be whether Indiana’s Jackson can exploit Illinois’ weaknesses without succumbing to the pressure from the Illini’s defense.


Elite game picks would suggest leaning towards Illinois to cover the spread, considering their home advantage and seasonal strength in November. Additionally, the over/under is a tight call, but with both teams showing a trend towards higher-scoring games, the OVER might be the more enticing bet for those looking to add a little extra excitement to their viewing experience.


Free Pick and Prediction: Illinois Fighting Illini 27, Indiana Hoosiers 20  



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