Washington Commanders vs New England Patriots 11-5-23

Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots 11/5/23 NFL Week 9 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Washington Commanders (3-5) vs. New England Patriots (2-6)


Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots 11/5/23 – The NFL Week 9 gears up for a compelling matchup as the Washington Commanders (3-5) prepare to clash with the New England Patriots (2-6) at the iconic Gillette Stadium. Both teams are striving to improve their standings in the league, with neither having a dominant record so far. As always, the sports betting community is rife with anticipation, searching for the top NFL free predictions.


Diving into the Commanders’ offensive play, running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a key figure. With 8 games under his belt this season, Robinson has made 95 rushing attempts, amassing a commendable 384 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per rush. His contribution in achieving 26 rushing 1st downs for the team can’t be underestimated. On the receiving end, Terry McLaurin has been exceptional. With 42 receptions from 63 targets, he’s covered 495 yards, showcasing an impressive 11.8 yards per reception. With stats like these, it’s evident that the Commanders will be relying heavily on these two players to penetrate the Patriots’ defense.


For the Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson takes the lead in the running department. In 7 games, he has attempted 87 rushes, covering a distance of 268 yards, with an average of 3.1 yards per rush. While these numbers aren’t astounding, Stevenson’s consistency will be vital against Washington’s defense. In the aerial offensive strategy, Kendrick Bourne is the standout. In 7 games, he’s made 34 receptions from 51 targets, accumulating 370 yards, with an average of 10.9 yards per reception. Bourne’s ability to make crucial catches will be pivotal for the Patriots.


Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots 11/5/23 Game Info

When: Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Sam Howell QB vs. Mac Jones QB


Sam Howell, the Commanders’ quarterback, has had a noteworthy season. In 8 games, he’s achieved a 66.9% completion percentage with 206 completions from 308 passing attempts. Accumulating 2146 passing yards and boasting an average of 268.3 passing yards per game, Howell’s longest pass stretches 41 yards, with a total of 13 passing touchdowns. However, he’s also had 8 interceptions and has faced 41 sacks, which might be a concern for the Commanders.


On the other side, Mac Jones for the Patriots has showcased resilience. Playing 7 games, Jones has a slightly lower completion percentage of 66.7% with 154 completions from 231 attempts. With 1480 passing yards, he averages 211.4 passing yards per game. The longest pass thrown by Jones was 58 yards, culminating in 7 passing touchdowns. However, with 7 interceptions and facing 13 sacks, Jones will have to be wary of the Commanders’ aggressive defense.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: New England Patriots -140, Total Odds: 40


Analyzing the odds, the Patriots have been given a slight edge despite their recent struggles, with a moneyline set at -140. The total has been fixed at 40 points, which indicates the potential of a moderate-scoring game, taking into consideration the strengths and weaknesses of both offenses.


Washington Commanders Betting Trends


Washington’s recent form has been worrisome. With a 1-5 SU in their last 6 games and a distressing 0-6 ATS against opponents from the American Football Conference East division, the Commanders’ betting trends are not in their favor. However, they’ve shown prowess on the road, boasting a 7-3 ATS in their last 10 away games, and a notable 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing away against the Patriots.


New England Patriots Betting Trends


The Patriots have their own set of concerns. They’ve been struggling, especially at home, with a 1-6 ATS in their recent 7 home games. Furthermore, their 2-10 ATS record in their last 12 games showcases a trend that bettors might be wary of. Nevertheless, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games, indicating a potential low-scoring affair against the Commanders.


Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots 11/5/23 Betting Picks


Given the data and recent performances, this game could swing either way. The Commanders, with their superior road stats and the recent form of their key players, might just edge out the Patriots. However, betting against the Patriots at home is always a risk.


Considering the trends, odds, and individual player performances, our lean is towards a close game. The UNDER might be a safe bet given the defensive strengths and offensive struggles of both teams. In such tight games, handicapping top services often look towards individual matchups and recent form, and the Commanders, given their road form, seem poised for an upset.

Free Pick and Prediction: Washington Commanders 21, New England Patriots 17 



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