Free MLB Picks For Today 10/7/2023
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Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/7/2023
Rangers at Orioles—Dane Dunning will be primary pitcher for Texas. Dunning appeared in 35 games with an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.26. The righthander is striking out 19.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 46.4% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Andrew Heaney will also see innings in Game 1. He has allowed three earned runs in his past three starts working 14 1/3rd innings. Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish has 30 starts with an ERA of 2.83 and WHIP of 1.04. The righty fans 24.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 49.3% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Bradish, past three starts allowed no runs in sixteen innings. In his past three starts against Texas he allowed two earned runs in 13 1/3rd innings. Rangers’ bullpen on the road with an ERA of 4.40. Team record behind Dunning 5-22 as a road underdog of +100 or higher with a -15.1-unit loss. Play Baltimore -138.
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/7/2023
Twins at Astros—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has 23 starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander strikes out 24.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.8% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in 27 starts delivers an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP of 1.13. The veteran is striking out 21.5% with 6.7% walks. Grounders come in at 35.5% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Ober has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Verlander past four starts allowed nine runs in 26 innings. He faced the Twins twice last year allowing no runs in fourteen innings with one hit. Verlander 26-8 to the under facing a team with an OBP of .320 or worse. Ober is 14-5 to the under on 5-6 days rest. Play Minnesota and Houston under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/7/2023
Phillies at Braves—Rangers Suarez will start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 22 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander is fanning 22% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.5% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider has 32 starts with an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has an elite 36.8% strikeout rate with 7.6% walks. Ground balls delivered at 34.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.85 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Suarez past three starts against Atlanta allowed two earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. Strider, past five starts allowed 17 runs in 27 1/3rd innings. The team record behind Suarez 18-9 against winning teams with a +12.3 unit return and 6-0 in playoff games past two seasons. Play Philadelphia +182.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/7/2023
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 25.9% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 45.2% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Clayton Kershaw to start for Los Angeles. Kershaw in 24 starts has an ERA of 2.46 with WHIP of 1.06. The veteran fans 26.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.5% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.02 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Kelly past three starts against Los Angeles this year allowed eleven runs in 16 2/3rd innings. In sixteen lifetime starts against the Dodgers he has an ERA of 5.70 and WHIP of 1.70. Hot weather in Los Angeles means the ball will carry. Kershaw 16-4 to the over when he starts Game 1 of a playoff series. Play Arizona and Los Angeles over 8.