New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 92123 MLB Odds, Analysis and Picks

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 9/21/23 MLB Odds, Analysis and Picks

New York Mets (70-81) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (83-69)


New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 9/21/23 – As MLB regular season action winds down, the New York Mets head to Citizens Bank Park against Philadelphia Phillies for a match that could determine playoff implications for them both. Both clubs enter this Thursday’s game at 7:15 PM ET looking to make an impression and FOX is broadcasting the match live; bettors also have various options available for wagers on this contest.


The New York Mets have struggled mightily this season, recording just 70-81. While their offensive stats don’t particularly stand out – including a batting average of 0.239 and slugging percentages of 0.407 and 0.318–their pitching staff has performed admirably with 4.32 ERA and 1.36 WHIP figures on their road performance being particularly concerning (30-45 against the spread record). But despite such challenges they have shown they can cover spreads, going 4–1 over their last five games against them against these challenges!


Philadelphia Phillies have put themselves in an advantageous position this season with an 83-69 record and are looking to secure postseason aspirations with their superior stats of 0.258 batting average and 0.44 slugging percentage; their pitching staff has contributed immensely with 4.04 ERA/WHIP figures being carried over from 2016. Although stronger at home, their spread records in road games has been inconsistent as evidenced by 35-42 overall record; though, in their last five games against the spread they have gone 2-3 but remain favorites for this matchup. Check out free expert MLB Picks for insights into their upcoming performances.


New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 9/21/23 Game Info


When: Thursday, September 21, 2023, at 7:15 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park
Stream: MLB.TV


David Peterson (3-8 W-L, 5.22 ERA) vs. Ranger Suarez (3-6 W-L, 3.8 ERA)


David Peterson of the New York Mets enters this game with less-than-stellar statistics, boasting only 3-8 wins-losses and an ERA of 5.22. Additionally, his WHIP stands at an alarming 1.59; in 100 innings pitched he has given up 115 hits and 44 walks; his control issues could prove costly against a formidable Phillies lineup. Furthermore, Peterson has shown himself vulnerable against long balls; having allowed 15 homers this season alone which becomes even more worrying given Phillies’ robust 0.44 slugging percentage.


Conversely, Ranger Suarez of the Philadelphia Phillies has had an outstanding season so far, boasting a 3.8 ERA and 1.4 WHIP over 113.2 innings pitched. Although his strikeout-to-walk ratio is similar to Peterson’s with 109 Ks against 44 walks over 113.2 IP, his pitching style – featuring fastballs and breaking balls that keep hitters off balance – could prove pivotal in swinging games in favor of his side; perhaps offering Suarez an opportunity to display his control and poise – qualities which could ultimately swing the game one way or the other way!


MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -165, Total Odds: 9


Betting odds in favor of the Phillies indicate they are clear favorites with a Moneyline of -165 and spread of -1.5 (+120), while the Mets currently stand with an opposite Moneyline +151, spread +1.5 (-140) and total set at 9. Given their recent performances against the spread and their positive numbers against it, bettors may find some value with betting on them.


New York Mets Betting Trends


The Mets have gone 2-3 in their last five games but have fared quite well against the spread, going 4-1 against it. Even with an underwhelming road record, totals have only gone over once during this span – suggesting this matchup may feature a defensive fight.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends


The Phillies have posted three wins out of their last five games, but only managed a 2-3 mark against the spread. While home field advantage may help, three out of their five totals went OVER three times last week at Citizens Bank Park indicating a potential high-scoring affair at Citizens Bank Park.


New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/21/23 Betting Picks


After considering all relevant metrics and performances, this game appears destined to be close. Though the Phillies are the favorites against the spread recently, recent performances by the Mets suggest they might provide better value as an underdog (+1.5).


Given both teams’ recent trends, an OVER 9 at -125 may also provide an attractive option. Ranger Suarez may hold the keys to victory here, yet don’t underestimate the Mets given their recent ATS performances. Check out free latest sports picks for more betting insights.


Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 6, New York Mets 4.


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